Browns vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2023

Browns at Steelers

12:15 am • ABC

Cleveland Browns

3-14

22 - 26

Pittsburgh Steelers

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Browns 3-14	-2.5-111	o39-110	-140
Steelers 0-1	+2.5-110	u39-110	+112

Tuesday 12:15 a.m.

September 19, 2023

Acrisure StadiumPittsburgh

T.Watt o3.5 Tackles + Ast-105

0.95u

G.Delpit o4.5 Tackles + Ast-130

0.77u

N.Harris o23.5 Rush Yds (Live)-105

CLE -2.5-104

1.04u

PIT +2.5-110

0.91u

N.Harris o13.5 Rush Att-130

Almost forgot about this lil cutie

N.Chubb u84.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

Tailing my good friend Devi

PIT +115

1.15u

G.Pickens o42.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

E.Moore o3.5 Recs+132

J.Warren u1.5 Recs+135

PIT +2.5-110

D.Peoples-Jones Anytime TD Scorer+330

0.25u

E.Moore Anytime TD Scorer+320

0.25u

D.Watson Anytime TD Scorer+500

0.25u

N.Harris u13.5 Rush Att-114

0.5u

Via @The_Oddsmaker

CLE -130

1.3u

Call it a gut feeling

N.Harris u14.5 Rush Att-114

Under 39.5-115

@millmanc

N.Chubb o79.5 Rush Yds-140

Via Prop Bomb

J.Warren o12.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

@charliedisturco

Under 39-105

3.15u

G.Pickens o42.5 Rec Yds-113

0.88u

CLE -7.5+250

0.6u

Hedging teaser off a good week. I’m not greedy.

N.Harris o13.5 Longest Rush-110

0.91u

Cmon baby get on your fucking horse

N.Harris o99.5 Rush Yds+750

0.25u

Najee finna put up Wilt numbers

PIT +2.5-118

0.85u

Seeing +1.5 some places, trusting my guy

Over 38.5-112

0.89u

Under should be free guys go ahead and rip it

G.Pickens u46.5 Rec Yds-110

Offshore book - tailing Steak

G.Pickens u43.5 Rec Yds+100

0.28u

N.Harris 2+ TDs+900

0.25u

You thought I wasn’t gonna sprinkle this too?

CLE -130

1.3u

Over 38.5-110

N.Harris o13.5 Rush Att-114

0.29u

Mjay tail

N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer+130

It’s not Najee day without a TD

N.Harris u52.5 Rush Yds-115

D.Watson o0.5 Int+115

1.15u

@nick_giffen

N.Harris u13.5 Rush Att-119

0.84u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Warren Anytime TD Scorer+230

0.5u

D.Watson o0.5 Int+115

1.15u

As given out on Green Dot Daily

N.Harris u13.5 Rush Att-105

E.Moore o40.5 Rec Yds-110

Fading Patrick Peterson again

K.Pickett o12.5 Rush Yds-115

Best number at FD

G.Delpit o4.5 Tackles + Ast-130

E.Moore o41.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

N.Harris o19.5 Rush Att+290

0.25u

Hajee Narris oh my gosh are you serious!

N.Harris o17.5 Rush Att+170

0.5u

Cmon baby give me my Najee coin

N.Harris o79.5 Rush Yds+300

0.25u

There goes Najee! Go go go

N.Harris o59.5 Rush Yds+140

0.5u

Hard nose real american football

N.Harris o52.5 Rush Yds-101

Najee goes for 100, ladder incoming

Over 38.5-110

0.91u

C.Austin o2.5 Recs-160

D.Njoku Anytime TD Scorer+300

0.5u

N.Chubb o83.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

I know this line has crept up over the course of this week, but where we stand today, I see plenty of value. No Cam Heyward for the Steelers looms large - CMC went absolute bonkers after Hayward left the game last week. Chubb cleared this line in 11/17 games last season, with 4 of those misses in games where the browns lost by 2 TDs or more. I really don’t see a path for the Steelers to dominate tonight - the run game continues to project as subpar, and Kenny Pickett will be without his WR1, Diontae Johnson. I also feel the Browns defense is underrated by sportsbooks - and they looked sharp in week 1. No amari cooper (most likely), so the Browns should be even more inclined to run tonight.

E.Moore 50+ Receiving Yards+155

E.Moore o3.5 Recs+110

G.Pickens o45.5 Rec Yds-114

0.44u

G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer+270

1.35u

A.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+300

PIT +2-110

1.5u

CLE -130

P.Freiermuth Anytime TD Scorer+310

0.5u

Bet at FanDuel.

D.Njoku Anytime TD Scorer+333

0.5u

Bet at BetMGM.

Under 39-110

0.55u

PIT +2.5-110

0.91u

G.Delpit o5.5 Tackles + Ast+110

1.1u

Under 39-110

1.5u

TAN Best Bets pod 🎙 Trends love PIT but I don't trust Pickett with no Diontae and meh OL vs this Schwartz D that looked incredible vs CIN, constant pressure. But I don't trust CLE offense either. RT Conklin out so 4th rd rookie RT starts vs TJ Watt & elite pass rush, and Watson esp bad vs pressure since returning and still doesn't look himself. Week 2 unders with total 40 and below since 04: 45-16-3 (74%) Primetime unders l4 yrs 60%, home underdog unders l2 yrs 61%, Watson 42 and below totals 78% to the under, Stefanski <43 69% unders, trend landslide

CLE -2-110

TBH, kinda regret this one. Loved it at first, then realized how public a play it was and I was doing what I avoided with the rest of the board: falling for a team’s week 1 hype.

A.Cooper o48.5 Rec Yds-123

Analysis to come.

CLE -1.5-115

$115.00

Under 42.5-110

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Steelers have scored 7.3 points per game in the first half since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- third-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed 6.0 PPG during the first half since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- second-best in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Steelers have run successful plays on 38.0% of pass attempts on their opponent's side of the field since the 2022 season -- tied for third-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on 44.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth-best in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Steelers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Steelers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Steelers are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Steelers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Steelers' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Steelers	11-6	6-2	5-4	5-3	6-3
Browns	4-13	2-6	2-7	0-4	4-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Steelers	8-9	2-6	6-3	4-4	4-5
Browns	7-10	3-5	4-5	2-2	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Steelers	10-7	N/A	N/A	5-3	5-4
Browns	3-14	N/A	N/A	0-4	3-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	SF	L 7-30	+1.5 L	U 41.5	SF +100
Aug 24th	@ATL	W 24-0	-6.5 W	U 38.5	PIT -261
Aug 19th	BUF	W 27-15	+1 W	U 42.5	PIT -110
Aug 11th	@TB	W 27-17	-2.5 W	O 39.5	PIT -160
Jan 8th	CLE	W 28-14	-2.5 W	O 39.5	PIT -156

Joel Bitonio
G
Bitonio is questionable with back
Questionable

Jordan Hicks
LB
Hicks is out with concussion
Out
David Njoku
TE
Njoku is out with knee
Out
Ogbo Okoronkwo
DE
Okoronkwo is questionable with knee
Questionable
Denzel Ward
CB
Ward is out with shoulder
Out
Joe Tryon-Shoyinka
DE
Tryon-Shoyinka is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Teven Jenkins
G
Jenkins is out with calf
Out
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
LB
Owusu-Koramoah is out with neck
Out
Pierre Strong
RB
Strong is out with concussion
Out
Jerome Ford
RB
Ford is out with ankle
Out
Michael Woods
WR
Woods is questionable with knee
Questionable
Cedric Tillman
WR
Tillman is out with concussion
Out
Cameron Mitchell
CB
Mitchell is questionable with knee
Questionable
Blake Whiteheart
TE
Whiteheart is questionable with knee
Questionable
Mike Hall
DT
Hall is questionable with knee
Questionable
Myles Harden
DB
Harden is questionable with tibia
Questionable

Robert Woods
WR
Woods is questionable with hip
Questionable
Cole Holcomb
LB
Holcomb is out with knee
Out
Calvin Anderson
T
Anderson is questionable with groin
Questionable
Juan Thornhill
S
Thornhill is questionable with calf
Questionable
Esezi Otomewo
DE
Otomewo is questionable with calf
Questionable
Dylan Cook
T
Cook is out with foot
Out
Roman Wilson
WR
Wilson is out with hamstring
Out
Mason McCormick
OL
McCormick is questionable with hand
Questionable
Logan Lee
DE
Lee is out with calf
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Browns

Total

Steelers

408

Total Yards

255

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

4.8

Browns

Passing

Steelers

235

YDS

222

22/40

Comps/Atts

15/30

4.565

YPA

6.25

1/1

TDs/INTs

1/1

6/25

Sacks/Yards

2/22

Browns

Rushing

Steelers

198

Rush Yards

Attempts

5.657

YPC

2.619

TDs

Browns

Turnovers

Steelers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Browns

Efficiency

Steelers

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

0/0 0%

5/16 0%

3rd Down

4/14 0%

0/2 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Browns

First Downs

Steelers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Browns

Misc

Steelers

8/81

Penalties/Yards

5/31

35:28

Possession

24:32

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MatchupOverUnder
Browns 3-14	o20.5-102	u20.5-123
Steelers 0-1	o18.5-120	u18.5-110

Browns vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2023

Browns at Steelers

Cleveland Browns

Pittsburgh Steelers

Browns at Steelers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Browns

Steelers

Browns vs. Steelers Previews & Analysis

McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5

How We're Live Betting The MNF Doubleheader

Stuckey's Browns vs. Steelers MNF Breakdown

Gallant's Anytime TD Picks for Browns vs. Steelers

Browns vs. Steelers Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Browns vs. Steelers Public Betting Percentages

Browns

Public

Steelers

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Browns vs. Steelers Injury Updates

Browns Injuries

Steelers Injuries

Browns vs. Steelers Odds Comparison

Browns at Steelers Team Totals