UConn vs. Bulldogs Odds & Betting Predictions - March 26, 2023

UConn at Bulldogs

12:59 am • TBS

Connecticut Huskies

27-3

82 - 54

Gonzaga Bulldogs

28-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
UConn 27-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Bulldogs 28-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Sunday 12:59 a.m.

March 26, 2023

T-Mobile ArenaLas Vegas

CONN -2-110

Under 153.5 (Live)-108

FD: have to figure UConn will start slowing the pace down here, Timme will foul out soon, Zags will be leaning on 3PA, and eventually waive the white flag. Good time to buy in on the under

CONN o79.5-107

GONZ +3.5-120

0.4u

South Point

GONZ +3-110

1.1u

GONZ +1.5 (1H)-110

1.1u

Over 153.5-110

1.1u

CONN -150

0.67u

CONN -145

1.38u

CONN -135 (1H)

0.74u

A.Watson u7.5 Rebs-120

FanDuel: Watson has cleared this in 4 straight but this is a good spot to sell high. UConn plays at a slow pace, ranks 29th in eFG%, is an excellent rebounding team, and turns the ball over at above average rate. All of these factors should lead to fewer rebound chances than usual, which is why we are projecting Watson closer to 6.5 with a 62% chance of staying under 7.5

CONN o77.5-114

0.22u

CONN -3-105

CONN -2.5-110

0.45u

UConn has the bigs to limit Timme and if that happens, Gonzaga is in trouble. Both offense elite but UConn plays D too. Huskies should score and I think the D can slow Zags too. Honestly think there might be a path where UConn rolls and wins big tonight. Looked at title odds but not enough margin, I’ll just keep playing game by game.

M.Smith u8.5 Pts-155

0.65u

A.Karaban o7.5 Pts-130

0.77u

T.Newton o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.5u

M.Smith u4.5 Rebs-165

0.61u

CONN -145

CONN -2-110

0.91u

A.Karaban o7.5 Pts-139

Projection - 9.6: For more, check out BettingPros.

CONN -2.5-110

2.73u

GONZ +2.5-110

1.1u

M.Smith u8.5 Pts-111

Given on BBOC

CONN -135

$0.74

CONN -2.5-107

Over 153.5-112

CONN -132

0.5u

GONZ +120

0.5u

CONN -135

$3.00

CONN -2-110

$2.00

Over 153-113

2.26u

CONN -130

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Our tournament ratings give Connecticut 58.7% odds to win this game and advance to the Final Four.

As of the start of the Sweet 16, the most likely team to make the Final Four from this region was No. 4 Connecticut, with 33.7% odds.

Gonzaga was the most popular No. 3 seed pick by the public in this round, and was selected to reach the Final Four in 19% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Entering the First Round, Gonzaga was the most likely No. 3 seed to make the Final Four, with 17.9% odds (breakeven moneyline +460).

Since 2002, No. 3 seeds like Gonzaga are 1-2 against No. 4 seeds like Connecticut in the Elite Eight (33.3% win rate, breakeven moneyline +200).

No. 4 Connecticut has played in 13 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 32-10 straight up and 25-16-1 against the spread in 42 total games.

No. 4 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 2-1 ATS (66.7% cover rate, average spread -1.8).

No. 3 Gonzaga has played in all of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 34-20 straight up and 22-31-1 against the spread in 54 total games.

Elite Eight matchups pitting a No. 3 seed against a No. 4 seed have gone over the full game total 66.7% of the time (2-1, average over/under line 135.8).

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Bulldogs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bulldogs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bulldogs are 8-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Bulldogs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Bulldogs' 17 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bulldogs	17-14	9-8	8-6	15-13	N/A
UConn	10-20	5-15	5-5	9-16	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bulldogs	10-21	5-12	5-9	9-19	N/A
UConn	15-15	10-10	5-5	13-12	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bulldogs	28-3	N/A	N/A	25-3	N/A
UConn	27-3	N/A	N/A	22-3	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 24th	@UCLA	W 79-76	-	-	-
Mar 20th	TCU	W 84-81	-	-	-
Mar 17th	GC	W 82-70	-	-	-
Mar 8th	@SMC	W 77-51	-	-	-
Mar 7th	SF	W 84-73	-	-	-

Jaylin Stewart
F
Stewart is probable with undisclosed
Probable

Jalen Warley
G
Warley is questionable with thigh
Questionable

Braden Huff
F
Huff is out with knee
Out

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UConn

Bulldogs

30-72 (42%)

Field Goals

20-60 (33%)

11-14 (79%)

Free Throws

12-22 (55%)

11-31 (35%)

2-20 (10%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
UConn 27-3	N/A	N/A
Bulldogs 28-3	N/A	N/A

UConn vs. Bulldogs Odds & Betting Predictions - March 26, 2023

UConn at Bulldogs

Connecticut Huskies

Gonzaga Bulldogs

UConn at Bulldogs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

UConn vs. Bulldogs Previews & Analysis

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Dr. Nick's Player Props For Saturday's Elite 8 Games

2 Player Props for Saturday's Elite Eight Games

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UConn vs. Bulldogs Public Betting Percentages

UConn

Public

Bulldogs

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

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Straight-Up (ML) History

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UConn vs. Bulldogs Odds Comparison

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