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Collin Wilson's Picks
Today
Pending
OSU -11.5-115
IU
@
OSU
1.15u
11/23 5:00 PM
Project Ohio State -13.5; Massive strength of schedule disparity. Michigan defense created 8 tackles for loss, 3 QB hurries. Indiana outside T50 in creating contested catches
128
MISS -6.5-110
MISS
@
FLA
1.1u
11/23 5:00 PM
From SEC Preview: Number is spot on but the spot is horrific for Florida. Ole Miss will come off a bye week, while the Gators will have their 4th consecutive brutal game after Georgia, Texas and LSU
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
141
BGSU -10.5-110
BGSU
@
BALL
1.1u
11/23 7:00 PM
Project BGSU -13.5; Ball State defense near dead last in every category. Cards better passing offense than rush, but Falcons 11th defensive passing success rate
152
KU +3-110
COLO
@
KU
1.1u
11/23 8:30 PM
Project Kansas -1
174
CAL -14-105
STAN
@
CAL
1.05u
11/23 8:30 PM
Project 14.5; Havoc play of the week. Both misleading box scores from Week 12, Stanford 9% post game win v Louisville.
134
ND -14-110
ARMY
@
ND
1.1u
11/24 12:00 AM
Project Notre Dame -16; would buy to -120 with low total. Irish should dominate on the ground, Army horrific v Inside Zone and a strength of schedule at 133rd. Notre Dame limited play action v Navy
117
Over 55.5-110
WSU
@
ORST
1.1u
11/24 12:00 AM
Project 59; no resistance to either rushing attack. Both defenses bottom 15 v rush explosives, the primary strength for each offense
129
USC -4.5-110
USC
@
UCLA
1.1u
11/24 3:30 AM
Project USC -9; UCLA bottom 10 in creating contested catches, 129th defensive finishing drives
218
Futures
Clemson +750
Odds to Win College Football Championship
3u
23
Georgia +1200
Odds to Win College Football Championship
2u
16
Phillies +1800
Odds to Win the 2019 World Series
1u
Oklahoma +3000
Odds to Win College Football Championship
1u
21
Georgia Bulldogs+500
2024 NCAAF Championship - To Win
2u
82
Utah Utes o9.5+105
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 9.9
102
SMU Mustangs o7.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 8.9
121
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Yes)-150
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
3u
Project Notre Dame 10.6 wins, only 9 teams projected double digits wins. Return 77% of offense and upgrade at OC w Mike Denbrock. Favorable home schedule, only 5 roadies, bye week before hosting Florida State
124
Baylor Bears u5.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Project 3.2 despite huge positive numbers in TARP. Only 55% of OL back, DeQuan Finn horrific career numbers w pressure. Downgrade OC from Grimes to Spavital (buy Baylor single game Overs). Project 6 games as double digit underdogs
154
Arizona State Sun Devils u4.5-140
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.8u
Project 2.2; Downgrade at OC with Arroyo, Dillingham expected to change offense to two back set because of depth. 3-star Leavitt expected to win QB. Tough Non-Con, both Utah and KState get a bye in conference play
154
Colorado Buffaloes u5.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 4.2; improvement in the starters, zero depth on the roster. Brutal schedule where depth will factor after NDSU-Nebraska-Col State. Trip to Bounce House. Kansas State off bye to Boulder; tough November with all games project TD underdogs
209
Kansas Jayhawks o8-115
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Project 8.9; number at DK. Favored jn 10 games to start the season. New OC Grimes not a downgrade, gets BYU and Baylor on schedule. 91% of defense returns. Jalon Daniels gets 90% of receiving yards back, 3rd string QB Marshall shined in Spring.
136
Stanford Cardinal u3.5-122
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.75u
Project 2.2; 5 teams on schedule are on bye weeks. Back to back East coast travel v Syracuse/Clemson. Brought in just 4 portal players
146
Virginia Tech Hokies o7.5-144
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Project 8.2; return all OL snaps. Drones getting Heisman mention. Boost to DL through portal. Easy hedge games to end season w Duke/UVA
88
Washington Huskies o7.5+110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Should be the floor for this number; perfect schedule for new coach/schemes w 4 home games v Weber, EMU, Wazzu, Northwestern. Plenty of talent at WR, 87% of passes defended return to secondary
162
Michigan Wolverines o9-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.81u
Project 10.2; number at DK; no drop off on Defense w 72% returning and Wink Martindale takeover. 8 home games on the schedule, double digit favorites in 8. Can hedge v Texas, Oregon, tOSU
120
Michigan State Spartans u5.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.81u
Project 4.4; Number at BetSaracen; would take through Under 4.5 +money. Returning less than half of an offense ranked bottom 10 efficiency and explosiveness. 22 players hit the portal since weekend of Spring game
104
Oklahoma Sooners o7.5+122
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Project 8.1; new OL held up in Spring game. Transfer WR Burks huge for QB Arnold. Big defensive pickup in portal w Damonic Williams. Stutsman returns at LB. 5 games as minimum 14 point favs; 7 other games projected within one possession.
132
Rice Owls o6.5+110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 7.4; Highest TARP team with at least 90% returning both sides of the ball. EJ Warner transfers in from Temple. Numerous hedge spots on November schedule
55
Rice Owls o6.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 7.4; Second hit after juice adjustment. Two wins to start w Sam Houston/Tex Southern. Host Houston Army. Rice will have seen triple when Navy visits. Bye week before toughest opponent UTSA.
60
Tulsa Golden Hurricane u4.5+128
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 3.7; Return 66% offense and 53% of a defense that finished near dead last success rate and havoc. Three roadies surrounding a host spot v Oklahoma State.
105
Air Force Falcons u6.5-138
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.76u
Project 5.6; return just 32% offense, 13% defense. No Quarterback stood out in spring, new talent at full back. Plenty of hedge spots with 7 games projected less than 6 points
115
San Diego State Aztecs u5.5-134
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 3.9; ‘Aztec Fast’ expected to replicate Kent State offense (and no defense) for Sean Lewis. Double Digit underdogs in 6, favored in just two games.
132
Fresno State Bulldogs o7.5-130
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 9.3; Return nearly all of a defense that might be best in G5. DL dominated spring game. Keene will be challenged by Jayden Mandal, Tedford back with the team.
105
UTEP Miners u4.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project UTEP 2.1 wins; less than 33% returning in both sides of the ball. Do not have Miner Nation favored in a single game, three coin flip underdog. Only 5 games in El Paso
116
Marshall Thundering Herd u6.5+110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project Marshall 5.4; offense finished near dead last in EPA and Finishing drives. Pennington and Parachek beaten in spring by rebuilt D. Brutal non-con w Va Tech/Ohio State. Four opponents come off a bye week. Back to back road underdogs to end season
58
Appalachian State Mountaineers o7.5-135
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project App State 10; highest returning amount of experience on defense in all of Sun Belt. 78% returns on offense. Double digit favorites in 6 games.
111
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns o7.5-150
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project ULL 8.3; offense finished top 25 in success rate, defense returns 82% of experience. Collier may eclipse Wooldridge at QB. Should start 3-0. TD or greater favs in conference v SMiss, Coastal, SBama and ULM
93
Texas State Bobcats o7.5-125
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project Texas State 9.5; best offense in Sun Belt returns 93% adding Sun Belt Player of the year WB Jordan McCloud. QB three deep depth chart. Could start 3-0, should steam roll the November schedule
101
Jacksonville State Gamecocks u8-115
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project Jacksonville State 7.2; just 35% of Rich Rod offense returns. Only 9 possible wins on schedule with road trips to Louisville, Liberty and WKU
66
UCF Knights+1000
2024 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
2u
From Big 12 Preview: UCF offensive pieces from Portal may be best in B12 w KJ Jefferson and Peny Boone. Every unit top 5 in B12 except special teams. Hedge against Utah in season finale
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
129
TCU Horned Frogs u7.5-140
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.8u
From Big 12 Preview: New DC Ávalos will run four man front, TCU lost best defensive interior to portal. B12 road travel to Kansas, Utah. SMU rivalry sandwiched between conference games. OL and special teams roster wipe and portal dependent.
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
101
Texas Tech Red Raiders u7.5+100
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From Big 12 Preview: OL just 65% of snaps back from a unit outside T100 in stuff rate and line yards, no blocking for Tahj Brooks. Red Raiders TD+ underdogs in 3 games. Must win 8 of remaining 9 games
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
101
Utah Utes+260
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
2u
From Big 12 Preview: Utah has just a 15% chance to finish 3rd or worse in the Big 12 standings. As a Championship Game appearance guarantees a hedge of this ticket
https://action.onelink.me/eqFB/dn2txmhw
122
Tennessee Volunteers (No)-220
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
2.2u
From SEC Preview: Tennessee schedule has 2 games that are out of reach w Georgia and Alabama. Other games against NC State, OU and Florida could expose the secondary
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
57
Alabama Crimson Tide+800
2024 NCAAF SEC Conference - To Win
2u
From SEC Preview: Marriage of DeBoer’s playbook and Milroe’s deep ball will do damage. OL is addition by subtraction. No fall off on defense despite the loss of Caleb Downs
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
91
Texas Longhorns u9.5+160
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From SEC Preview: Alternate team total with too much juice on 10.5. Horns always struggle week after Red River, draw Georgia this season. Michigan game a coin flip, best version of TAMU will be last game of season w Elko. Red Zone and Finishing Drives decline without RoCat Package
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more
85
South Carolina Gamecocks u5.5+102
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From SEC Preview: RPO offense coming w Sellers and Rocket, potentially worst offensive and defensive line in the conference. Will be favored in all Non-Con and Vandy games, project 8 underdog spots
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
80
Vanderbilt Commodores o3-120
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
From SEC Preview: Project exactly 3 with non-con supplying three wins, GaState about a field goal game but expected to finish bottom of Sun Belt. Will need an SEC upset to go over, Kill/Beck/Pavia get Hugh Freeze for a 3rd straight upset
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-sec-preview-odds-futures-picks-best-bets-georgia-texas-alabama-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
71
Rutgers Scarlet Knights o6.5+120
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From B1G Preview: Project 6.7, giving value to +juice. B1G schedule softens up, especially Nov stretch. Howard/Akron non-con wins. 8 games projected within 6 points
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
70
Penn State Nittany Lions (Yes)-140
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
1.4u
From B1G Preview: Fresh coordinators w Kotelnicki/Allen. Project over 10 wins with a soft schedule that drops Michigan. Projected heavy favorite in every game but Ohio State and USC
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
91
Ohio State Buckeyes (No)+450
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
1.11u
From B1G Preview: Questions around Will Howard deep passing, RB depth for Chip Kelly’s offense with Caleb Downs potentially moving over, OL issues w poor grading in projected starting 5. Single possession spreads v Oregon, Michigan, Penn State
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
60
Indiana Hoosiers o5.5-110
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.2u
From B1G Preview: Heavy Favs in non-con, short fav in 3 conference games. Short road dog spots Northwestern and UCLA all winnable
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-big-ten-odds-picks-preview-futures-best-bets-ohio-state-oregon-michigan-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
82
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs u5-115
2024 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.3u
From CUSA Preview: Cumbie loses AD that hired him after two 3-9 seasons. Jack Turner below replacement level at QB. New tackles on OL. Only two fav spots, Nicholls and UTEP. Kennesaw St only team projected within a possession
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-conference-usa-odds-picks-preview-best-bets-futures-liberty-western-kentucky-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
76
Sam Houston State Bearkats+2500
2024 NCAAF Conference USA Conference - To Win
1u
From CUSA Preview: Number at Rivers. No offensive identity LY w injuries. Jase Bauer CMU transfers in AB, Nolan Smith WR returns 2.1 yRR. Easiest conference road schedule.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-conference-usa-odds-picks-preview-best-bets-futures-liberty-western-kentucky-more?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
82
Miami (FL) Hurricanes+180
2024 NCAAF ACC Conference - To Win
3u
From Green Dot Daily. Remaining list of ACC defenses expected to finish outside the top 50 in defensive havoc, the primary variable against Cam Ward. Dodge Clemson on schedule. Short favorites over Louisville and FSU, double digit favorites v remaining conference opponents
99
James Madison Dukes+1200
2024 NCAAF To Make The Playoff
1u
Number at FanDuel; Project JMU minimum 8 point favorites over the remainder of the schedule. Need some help from the Mountain West
86
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 13-15-0 | 46% | -4.00u |
| Last 30 Days | 65-49-0 | 57% | 7.57u |
| All Time | 4627-4437-200 | 50% | 35.90u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 1783-1586-66 | 52% | 147.91u |
| NCAA_BASEBALL | 155-129-6 | 53% | 7.97u |
| MLB | 1150-1156-68 | 48% | 3.88u |
| NCAAW | 3-2-0 | 60% | 2.00u |
| UFL | 3-1-0 | 75% | 1.50u |
| UFC | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.00u |
| USFL | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.50u |
| NBA | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.55u |
| NFL | 272-267-12 | 49% | -17.03u |
| Golf | 63-96-6 | 38% | -25.40u |
| NCAAB | 1190-1196-41 | 49% | -88.66u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Collin has supported the Kansas City Royals since before he could walk, growing up in Arkansas just a few hours away from Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, the Royals faced Jon Lester and the Athletics in the AL Wild Card game. Collin decided to wager 8 grand to cover the cost of his family seats behind the Royals dugout. The A's had a commanding lead late in the game before Salvador Perez painted the 3rd base line giving Kansas City the win, and an emotional and financial win for Collin.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
As sketched by Action Network with DraftKings in 2020, Collin left his grandmothers birthday party at Chili's when Cincinnati came back to beat Duke in the 2012 Belk Bowl. Collin had a sizable wager, and Duke's lead in the game helped Collin converse with 20 family members to celebrate the 79th birthday of his beloved grandmother. When Travis Kelce his the explosive touchdown, Collin threw a $100 bill on the table and left his family instantly.
Specialties
- College Football
- MLB
- NFL
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- Academy Awards