Pacers vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2025

Pacers at Thunder

12:30 am • ABC

Indiana Pacers

1-0

111

111 - 110

Oklahoma City Thunder

0-1

110

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pacers 1-0	+9.5	+10-108	o229.5-112	+375
Thunder 0-1	u230.5	-10-112	u229.5-109	-500

Friday 12:30 a.m.

June 06, 2025

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

IND +800 (Live)

Fuck it. Let’s start the party early

T.Haliburton u31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

0.42u

Cason Wallace starting to help defend Haliburton. Taking the u31.5 PRA here with this news.

T.Haliburton u2.5 3pt M-120

No Isaiah Hartenstein in the starting lineup!! Cason Wallace come in. Reacting to the news that Haliburton will have no one after the high pick and roll to come off and pick on in drop after what happened in past series: Robinson, Jarrett Allen. Over the last 5 games, Haliburton took 34 of his 37 3-pointers via pull-up, but with more agile and quicker defenders on top of him, that space will be gone and hard to create similar to what OKC did to Edwards as the series ended. #PlayerProps

C.Wallace o13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100

0.11u

C.Wallace o1.5 3pt M+215

0.15u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander First Basket (incl. FT) Yes+410

0.41u

A.Nembhard First Basket (incl. FT) Yes+1000

0.1u

C.Holmgren o27.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.55u

Adding to this after the news of IHart out of starting lineup.

P.Siakam o6.5 Rebs+110

0.11u

Under 2.5 TOV: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-145

0.27u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u2.5 TOs-145

0.69u

Tailing @ChrisRaybon

Under 2.5 TOV: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-145

1 TOV in 69 min vs IND. Under 2.5 in 8/9 (89%)post, 36/49 (73%) reg+post combined.

C.Holmgren o1.5 3pt M+126

0.79u

P.Siakam o1.5 3pt M+132

0.76u

T.Haliburton u8.5 Ast+110

1.1u

7.5 in losses, 9.9 in wins last 2 postseasons and Finals Game 1 dogs 2-18 SU last 20 years. 5.5 APG in 32.0 MPG vs OKC this season in 2g (both losses).

OKC -9.5-115

Finals G1 favs 18-2 SU, 17-3 ATS last 2 decades. OKC NBA-best +16.0 MOV, 70.8% ATS Win Pct, +6.2 ATS Diff reg+post.

L.Dort To Record 4+ Rebounds Yes+102

2.04u

🔑 L.Dort To Record 4+ Rebounds +102 (FanDuel) 2u Built this using BetAlytics NBA player prop dashboard. 4 ⭐️ grade, 53.2% expected win probability Join 👉🔗 https://www.betalytics.com/ Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off

T.Haliburton u8.5 Ast-105

0.1u

IND +400

Not too much upset talk

A.Nembhard o4.5 Ast-120

O.Toppin To Make 2+ Threes Yes+225

1.19u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts-108

T.Haliburton u17.5 Pts-122

A.Caruso u8.5 Pts-130

1.3u

I.Hartenstein o6.5 Rebs-135

OKC -9.5-114

1.14u

I.Hartenstein o7.5 Pts-120

O.Toppin o8.5 Pts-115

Under 230.5-105

1.9u

B.Mathurin o7.5 Pts-104

1.04u

O.Toppin o8.5 Pts-111

I.Hartenstein o6.5 Rebs-128

OKC -9.5-114

1.14u

Good teams in Game 1 of NBA Finals Overall: 12-1-0,92% (ROI:80%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 230.5-114

0.88u

C.Holmgren Double-Double Yes+115

Under 113 (1H)-110

OKC u120.5-115

SGA +2.5 Assists vs Haliburton in Game 1-140

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Rebs-115

Shai has been excellent against the Pacers and has been dominant in every aspect of the game. Here, I’m targeting his rebounds. He’s cleared this 5.5 line on all four games against Indiana in the last two seasons with 7, 7, 10, and 9 rebounds. He likely starts off aligned against Nembhard defensively and that should help him as he’d have a size advantage. In a matchup where I expect OKC to control the game, SGA should see plenty of rebounding opportunities. He’s averaging 5.7 rebounds per game during the Playoffs and that’s been against stronger rebounding teams than the Indiana Pacers.

T.Haliburton u27.5 Pts+Ast-125

0.8u

Grouperrrrr @TurveyBets @wheatonbrando

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u33.5 Pts-120

Typo on my last post, so I’m logging it again to give you the correct stats; SGA with Chet on the floor; 13 overs 33 unders SGA with Chet on the bench; 21 overs 25 unders & the last 5 MVP’s to make the Finals had someone else lead game 1 of those Finals in points Join my 60,000 followers on Instagram @itsbucketsnba

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u33.5 Pts-120

Hear me out… THE LAST 5 TIMES A MVP MADE THE FINALS (2008 Kobe, 2012 LeBron, 2013 LeBron, 2015 Curry, 2016 Curry)… all 5 times someone else lead game 1 of those Finals in points Also, when Chet is off the court SGA has gone UNDER 33 times and only OVER 13 times. But when Chet is on the court SGA has gone UNDER 21 times and OVER 25 times. A lot of Shai’s unders came during the time Chet was not playing. I love Shai Under 33.5 tonight in game 1 Join my 60,000 followers on Instagram @itsbucketsnba and message me for my 10 NBA Finals props and series bets

J.Williams o33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+114

0.88u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Rebs-115

1.15u

T.Haliburton u9.5 Ast-145

A.Nembhard o15.5 Pts+Ast-125

0.8u

OKC -19.5+340

0.29u

OKC -9-115

2.3u

I.Hartenstein u2.5 Ast-170

0.59u

OKC -9.5-110

1.1u

P.Siakam o1.5 3pt M+140

OKC -9.5-110

1.1u

OKC -9.5-110

1.1u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Rebs-118

1.18u

OKC -9.5-110

1.1u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Rebs-118

1.18u

OKC -9-110

2.2u

Under 9.0: Tyrese Haliburton Assists per Game in NBA Finals -120

7.0 APG in playoff losses (-3.7 from wins). 8.5 APG in reg season losses (-1.4). Facing OKC D that allowed 4th fewest APG. u8.5 OK too.

Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebound Leader in NBA Finals +550

Hartenstein 7.9 RPG, Holmgren 8.6 RPG in playoffs and Hartenstein 16.0 reb chances in 23.9 min, Holmgren 16.2 reb chances in 29.6 min. Hartenstein led Holmgren 10.7 to 8.0 in regular season with a similar spread when they share floor, and IND/Turner a better matchup for Hartenstein than MIN/Gobert last round, so good chance he's back to his usual mins instead of the 19.6 MPG he played last round. No Pacer with more than 6.9 in regular season and 6.1 in playoffs. Would play to +200

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assist Leader in NBA Finals +350

SGA 7.0 APG in playoff wins, 6.8 in losses. Hali 7.0 APG in playoff losses, 10.7 in wins. OKC D 4th lowest APG allowed reg szn, 21.8 playoff avg would lead all teams. Would play to +200 regardless of feeling on series, +150 for those most bullish on OKC.

Assist Leader in NBA Finals +350

OKC 4-2: NBA Finals Exact Outcome +450

0.62u

NBA Finals No. 1 seeds 16-2 against non-No. 1 seeded dogs since 1984, winning 4-2 31% of the time.

OKC 4-0: NBA Finals Exact Outcome +325

0.8u

Finals favs -270 or better 16-1 since 1984, sweep 19% of the time.

OKC 4-1: NBA Finals Exact Outcome +240

Finals No. 1 seeds 16-2 as favorites since 1984, winning 4-1 50% of time.

Over 231-110

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T.Haliburton u27.5 Pts+Ast-125

0.6u

G1 best bet (despite being Indy boi)

SGA pts / iHart reb / SGA ast G1 leaders+1500

0.25u

Discussed on Cash That pod. SGA PA but play iHart rebounds with a book discount ahead of a potential minutes fade later in the series

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Rebs-115

0.58u

#Tailing @wheatonbrando

P.Siakam o1.5 3pt M+140

0.5u

🌶️SPICY P FOR 3 🌶️

OKC -9-110

NBA Finals. Game 1. Loud City. Thunder are 43-7 at home – 8-1 in playoffs, winning by double digits. Finals debut at Paycom hits different. 106.0 DRTG at home, just 106 PPG allowed, 10.4 TOs forced. March 29? OKC smoked IND by 21. This crowd overwhelms. Best team in basketball – 80-18, +12.5 net rating, elite on both ends. OKC swept IND in reg season, Shai dropped 33 last time out. Haliburton had 18, got clamped. Finals pressure + Dort/Jalen’s defense = nightmare matchup for IND’s guards in loud territory. IND’s defense isn’t Finals-ready – 114.8 DRTG. OKC puts up 119.9, spreads the floor with Chet/Jalen. If Shai draws doubles, others eat. Pacers rely on Haliburton + Siakam. If they stall, it’s over early. Thunder too deep, too locked in.

Under 231-108

1.39u

J.Williams o22.5 Pts-110

1.1u

@Mjaybrxd mega fixer

J.Williams o22.5 Pts-106

Play ball

SGA game 1 assists leader+245

Fading Hali assists is one of my strongest reads of the series. OKC just has so many tough defenders to throw at him and won’t let him break them down with his passing bc of it. Hali only 5.5 apg on 11.5 potentials vs OKC, both his lowest of any opponent and over 10 fewer assist points created, which is consistent with what OKC did to Jokic Ant Ja in playoff series. This feels much more like a 6-7 apg Hali series, maybe not even ahead of Nembhard on his own team and likely behind SGA especially if OKC wins the series comfortably.

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Rebs-114

1.5u

Just playing a series angle early, fading iHart minutes and Turner reb, should mean a smaller series and more boards for guys like SGA who has gone from 5.3 to 6.3 rpg in last 2 playoffs from regular season. SGA has 10-7-7 reb vs Indy last 2 years, 8.0 rpg on 65%.

T.Haliburton u9.5 Ast-141

0.53u

OKC -33.5+1800

0.1u

Finals home team G1 is one of the best bets in sports: 16-3 ATS by almost 5ppg over the past two decades. Favs over 5pts are 12-0 SU by 13.4ppg, with every win by 8+ and all but two by double digits. This is the best team that played all season to get this exact spot, ain’t overthink it. OKC +24.7 net at home in playoffs, 122 ortg 97 drtg. Pacers road 1h -6 net in reg sn a weak spot. Could set up for blowout script and OKC has 6 of its 12 wins this postseason by 19+, with over a third of its wins this season by 20 and over a quarter by 24+. With OKC don’t let the high line scare you- play alts too.

OKC -19.5+350

0.25u

OKC -23.5+700

0.25u

OKC -9-112

1.4u

OKC -9.5-114

2.2u

I.Hartenstein u2.5 Ast-150

0.67u

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C.Holmgren o27.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-108

0.54u

OKC -9.5-105

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 25-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Thunder' 43 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	54-26-3	29-13-1	25-13-2	50-25-3	3-1
Pacers	36-44-2	17-22-2	19-22	20-28-2	16-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	46-37	25-18	21-19	44-34	2-2
Pacers	45-37	21-20	24-17	23-27	21-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	12-5	N/A	N/A	64-14	3-1
Pacers	13-4	N/A	N/A	35-15	15-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 29th	MIN	W 124-94	-9 W	U 222	OKC -390
May 27th	@MIN	W 128-126	-3 L	O 219.5	OKC -155
May 25th	@MIN	L 101-143	-3 L	O 217	MIN -144
May 23rd	MIN	W 118-103	-8 W	O 218	OKC -330
May 21st	MIN	W 114-88	-7 W	U 219	OKC -290