Vikings vs. Titans Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

@The_Oddsmaker

30% profit boost

🔬Levis has only hit this mark in 2 games early in the year and has been one of the worst qb’s vs pressure in the league….Vikings bring pressure at on of the highest rates in the league. 🔬The Vikings while playing above avg pace should control the game clock here vs Tennessee as Pat Thorman has this highlighted as one of the slowest paced projected games of the week 🔬The Vikings over the past 2 games allowed Mac Jones -111 passing yards and joe Flacco 179

Model makes this 7.97. Per Action Labs, Levis is 4-11 (27%) ATS in his career, and Week 11 outdoor road favorites -8 or less are 36-17-4 (68%) ATS since 2005, covering by 3.4 points per game.

This line is already set at 13.5 on Caesars and FanDuel, suggesting a lean towards fewer carries. There are several factors that reinforce this pick: 1. Reduced Workload: Titans' offensive coordinator Brian Callahan publicly stated that they would be scaling back Pollard's workload, and last week proved this wasn't just coach speak. Pollard had only 9 carries, playing on 54% of the snaps, while his backfield counterpart, Tyjae Spears, took 7 carries on 46% of the snaps. This shift indicates a more balanced split moving forward, especially considering Pollard's lingering foot injury, which visibly hampered him during the game. Pollard was seen taking himself out of plays on multiple occasions, a clear sign the injury is still affecting him. 2. Game Script and Opponent Trends: The Titans enter this game as 5.5-point underdogs at home, suggesting a likely scenario where the Titans are playing from behind or are forced to pass more, reducing the need for a high rushing volume from Pollard. Moreover, looking at Minnesota's recent performances, opposing lead running backs have struggled to rack up carries in Vikings' wins: Travis Etienne: 11 carries Jonathan Taylor: 13 carries Breece Hall: 9 carries Josh Jacobs: 9 carries Cam Akers: 9 carries This trend highlights how Minnesota’s game flow tends to limit the opposing lead back’s carry count. When they get ahead, teams often abandon the run game or just don't move the ball well against their MIN defense.

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-11-picks-calvin-ridley-zay-flowers-bijan-robinson

Was hoping to save for my writeup but the line has been moving

Raybon 2

Weekly NFL QB INT Picks. Article coming shortly.