Jets vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Jets at Bills

9:25 pm • CBS

New York Jets

4-10

6 - 32

Buffalo Bills

11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jets 4-10	+7.5	+8.5-110	o39.5-105	+300
Bills 11-3	u39.5	-8.5-110	u39.5-109	-380

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

November 19, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

B.Hall o39.5 Rec Yds+998

NYJ +8.5-110

B.Hall u3.5 Recs-110

NYJ +8.5-110

0.55u

Under 39.5-110

0.5u

J.Allen o26.5 Rush Yds-130

D.Kincaid u18.5 Longest Reception-110

aDOT of 3.9 prior to a 22 yard TD grab last week against denver who sucks vs TE, Jets are way better. what even is this line (H/T Ben Wolby on Twitter)

Over 39.5-108

$1.00

G.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer+240

@charliedisturco

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1100

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

BUF -8.5-110

$100.00

BUF -8.5-110

0.91u

Under 19.5 (1H)+100

@ChrisRaybon

Under 40-114

BUF o24-110

0.91u

Haven’t covered this line in 3 games - new coordinator

Under 20 (1H)-110

1.1u

J.Cook u14.5 Longest Rush-120

J.Cook o12.5 Longest Rush-114

1.14u

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1100

0.25u

Bet at FanDuel. Would play to +1000.

NYJ +7-110

1.5u

Every Game Every Team! https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-week-11-betting-preview-for-every-game-every-team

D.Kincaid o4.5 Recs-140

B365. Good at DK @ -145 Over in 4/L4, with a 22% target share now as the sole TE. Tougher matchup for him, but an even worse spot for Diggs and Davis. 4.6 aDOT should keep his production minimally affected by any potential weather.

Under 20 (1H)-105

BUF -6.5-122

0.82u

Available at FanDuel. Betting on the Bills just burned me last night, but the circumstances in that game were wild. There were a bunch of turnovers, and the Broncos ran super hot on late downs. Even after adding in data from that game, my model still makes the Bills 9.5-point favorites here. Even when looking at just 2023 data, the Bills rank third in my model's offensive power rankings after adjusting for schedule. Their defense is a legitimate, concerning problem, but the Jets rank dead last -- by a mile -- in that model's offensive power rankings. It's possible the Jets' (very good) defense can force Chaos Josh Allen into mistakes to keep the game close. But that's the only true path to a cover I see for them.

BUF -7-110

$100.00

Heavy model. 7.6% edge has this at -14

Featured Insight
Jets RBs have 55.0 receiving yards per game since Week 7 -- fifth-best in NFL. The Bills have averaged 59.5 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since Week 7 -- third-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Bills TEs have 4 receiving touchdowns this season -- tied for 10th-most in NFL. The Jets have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to TEs this season -- tied for most in NFL.

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How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football
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Nov 20, 2023 UTC
Jets vs. Bills: Ignore the Doomers & Back Buffalo
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Nov 19, 2023 UTC
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NFL Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite ATS & Total Picks
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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Bills' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	9-5	4-2	5-3	7-3	2-2
Jets	5-9	2-4	3-4	4-6	1-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	9-5	5-1	4-4	8-2	1-3
Jets	8-5-1	3-3	5-1-1	5-4-1	3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	11-3	N/A	N/A	9-1	2-2
Jets	4-10	N/A	N/A	4-6	0-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 14th	DEN	L 22-24	-7.5 L	U 47.5	DEN -390
Nov 6th	@CIN	L 18-24	+1.5 L	U 50.5	CIN +105
Oct 27th	TB	W 24-18	-10 L	U 43	BUF -500
Oct 22nd	@NE	L 25-29	-7.5 L	O 41.5	NE -395
Oct 16th	NYG	W 14-9	-15.5 L	U 43.5	BUF -1200

C.J. Mosley
LB
Mosley is out with neck
Out
Tyron Smith
OL
Smith is out with neck
Out

Morgan Moses
OL
Moses is questionable with knee
Questionable
Chuck Clark
S
Clark is questionable with shin
Questionable
Solomon Thomas
DE
Thomas is questionable with knee
Questionable
D.J. Reed
CB
Reed is out with groin
Out
Zack Bailey
OL
Bailey is out with back
Out
Leki Fotu
DT
Fotu is out with knee
Out
Jake Hanson
OL
Hanson is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Alijah Vera-Tucker
G
Vera-Tucker is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Kene Nwangwu
RB
Nwangwu is out with hand
Out
Brandin Echols
CB
Echols is out with shoulder
Out
Xavier Newman
OL
Newman is out with groin
Out

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
Rasul Douglas
CB
Douglas is out with knee
Out
Dawuane Smoot
DE
Smoot is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is questionable with neck
Questionable
Damar Hamlin
S
Hamlin is questionable with back
Questionable
Quintin Morris
TE
Morris is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
Tylan Grable
OL
Grable is out with groin
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Jets

Total

Bills

155

Total Yards

393

Total Plays

2.9

Yards Per Play

5.5

Jets

Passing

Bills

132

YDS

275

15/30

Comps/Atts

20/32

2.556

YPA

7.97

1/2

TDs/INTs

3/1

6/40

Sacks/Yards

1/12

Jets

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

130

Attempts

3.5

YPC

3.421

TDs

Jets

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Jets

Efficiency

Bills

1/1 100%

Redzone

1/4 25%

0/11 0%

3rd Down

5/13 0%

4/5 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Jets

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Jets

Misc

Bills

5/35

Penalties/Yards

8/77

23:09

Possession

36:51

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MatchupOverUnder
Jets 4-10	o14.5-115	u14.5-113
Bills 11-3	o23.5-115	u23.5-114

Jets vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Jets at Bills

New York Jets

Buffalo Bills

Jets at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Jets

Bills

Jets vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football

Jets vs. Bills: Ignore the Doomers & Back Buffalo

Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 11

NFL Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite ATS & Total Picks

Jets vs. Bills Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Jets vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

Jets

Public

Bills

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Jets vs. Bills Injury Updates

Jets Injuries

Bills Injuries

Jets vs. Bills Odds Comparison

Jets at Bills Team Totals