Falcons vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - December 31, 2023

Falcons at Bears

6:00 pm • CBS
17 - 37

Falcons at Bears Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons
8-7
+2.5
+2.5+100
o39-112
+125
Bears
4-11
u39
-2.5-120
u39-110
-148
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
December 31, 2023
Soldier FieldChicago
Falcons vs. Bears Expert Picks
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
357d ago
Last 30d: 5-6-1 (-2.5u)
ATL +800 (Live)
0.5u
ATL +13.5 (Live)+100
0.7u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
357d ago
Last 30d: 55-40-0 (+11.8u)
T.Allgeier Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290
0.29u
Boyd
B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
0.25u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
357d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 39-110
0.55u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
357d ago
Last 30d: 92-74-4 (+16.4u)
J.Fields o53.5 Rush Yds-110
2.2u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
357d ago
Last 30d: 113-114-4 (+7.3u)
B.Robinson o24.5 Rec Yds-112
$56.00
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
357d ago
Last 30d: 65-81-1 (+8.4u)
B.Robinson o23.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
357d ago
Last 30d: 289-267-6 (+1.6u)
ATL +130
1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
357d ago
Last 30d: 34-25-1 (+5.6u)
K.Herbert o28.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
357d ago
Last 30d: 31-39-2 (-10.1u)
CHI -2.5-120
0.83u
@The_Oddsmaker
V.Jefferson u12.5 Rec Yds-121
1u
@ChrisRaybon
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
357d ago
Last 30d: 23-30-3 (-7.1u)
CHI -2.5-120
0.83u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
357d ago
Last 30d: 17-19-0 (-3.1u)
V.Jefferson u12.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
#ConvinceMe
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
357d ago
Last 30d: 83-67-0 (+4.6u)
ATL +130
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
357d ago
Last 30d: 87-76-2 (+22.8u)
ATL +3-112
3u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
358d ago
Last 30d: 34-25-1 (+5.6u)
CHI -2.5-115
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
358d ago
Last 30d: 60-72-0 (+32.1u)
Under 38-110
1.1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
358d ago
Last 30d: 61-58-1 (-2.7u)
CHI -2.5-110
1u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
358d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -2.5-110
0.91u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
359d ago
Last 30d: 126-96-6 (+14.1u)
ATL +3-130
1.3u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
360d ago
Last 30d: 10-20-0 (-12.4u)
ATL +3-115
1.15u
Stuckey 2
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
361d ago
Last 30d: 5-6-1 (-2.5u)
K.Pitts o35.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
K.Pitts 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+188
0.5u
CHI -3-105
0.95u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
361d ago
Last 30d: 66-63-2 (-1.8u)
ATL +3-110
0.6u
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
362d ago
Last 30d: 22-15-0 (+5.0u)
CHI -3-105
$100.00
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
362d ago
Last 30d: 13-17-0 (-3.9u)
ATL +3-115
0.7u
Available at FanDuel. Layering this with the Falcons' moneyline to get upside in case they win. Atlanta has played well under Taylor Heinicke, who has averaged 0.15 Passing NEP per drop back, up from -0.01 for Desmond Ridder. It doesn't necessarily mean Heinicke is an upgrade, but he certainly hasn't been a downgrade. They're facing a Bears defense that has been much, much better since adding Montez Sweat, but they've also benefited from plentiful good matchups in that time. The Falcons are that, too, but it's more to say that we shouldn't over-adjust for the Bears' recent showings. My model tends to hate Atlanta, so I'm willing to trust it more when it shows value in them, as it does here.
ATL +136
0.3u
Available at FanDuel. See notes on the Falcons +3 for outlining why the model is high on the Falcons in general. AS far as the moneyline, I've got this game as basically a toss-up, so with the implied odds at 42.4%, you could easily justify taking the moneyline without layering in the spread.

PRO Insights

Falcons logo

Falcons

ATL Insights
  • Falcons logoThe Falcons have allowed a passer rating of 39.6 when the opposing QB was scrambling since Week 13 -- T-4th-best in NFL; Bears QBs have a 33.3 passer rating when scrambling since Week 13 -- 5th-worst in NFL.
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Bears logo

Bears

CHI Insights
  • Bears logoBears has allowed their opponent to run 10.0% of plays in the red zone since Week 13 -- T-3rd-best in NFL; the Falcons have run 10.0% offensive plays in the red zone since Week 13 -- 6th-worst in NFL.
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Falcons vs. Bears Previews & Analysis

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    Gallant's Week 17 ATD Picks & Game Previews

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    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
  • Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks article feature image

    Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks

    Stuckey
    Dec 31, 2023 UTC
  • Our NFL Best Bets for Sunday's 1 p.m. ET Slate article feature image

    Our NFL Best Bets for Sunday's 1 p.m. ET Slate

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Falcons vs. Bears Props

Prop Projections

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Falcons vs. Bears Public Betting Percentages

33%

Bets%

67%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bears
7-7-14-2-12-53-14-6-1
Falcons
6-93-53-45-51-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bears
6-94-31-62-24-7
Falcons
5-102-63-44-61-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bears
4-11N/AN/A3-11-10
Falcons
8-7N/AN/A7-31-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 24thARIW 27-16-4.5 WO 42.5CHI -218
Dec 17th@CLEL 17-20+2.5 LU 38CLE +124
Dec 10thDETW 28-13+3 WU 44.5CHI +136
Nov 28th@MINW 12-10+3 WU 43.5CHI +138
Nov 19th@DETL 26-31+8 WO 48DET +320

Bears vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Bears Injuries

  • Tarvarius Moore
    S

    Moore is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Ryan Bates
    OL

    Bates is out with concussion

    Out

  • Travis Homer
    RB

    Homer is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Jaylon Johnson
    DB

    Johnson is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Darrynton Evans
    RB

    Evans is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Teven Jenkins
    OL

    Jenkins is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Braxton Jones
    OL

    Jones is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Doug Kramer
    OL

    Kramer is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

  • Gervon Dexter
    DE

    Dexter is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Kiran Amegadjie
    OL

    Amegadjie is questionable with calf

    Questionable

Falcons Injuries

  • Lorenzo Carter
    OLB

    Carter is questionable with groin

    Questionable

  • Mike Hughes
    CB

    Hughes is questionable with neck

    Questionable

  • KhaDarel Hodge
    WR

    Hodge is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • James Smith-Williams
    DE

    Smith-Williams is out with tibia

    Out

  • Ta'Quon Graham
    DE

    Graham is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Troy Andersen
    LB

    Andersen is out with knee

    Out

  • Jase McClellan
    RB

    McClellan is out with knee

    Out

  • Casey Washington
    WR

    Washington is out with concussion

    Out

Team Stats
307
Total Yards
432
59
Total Plays
72
5.2
Yards Per Play
6
180
YDS
268
13/33
Comps/Atts
20/32
4.943
YPA
6.857
1/4
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/7
Sacks/Yards
3/28
134
Rush Yards
192
24
Attempts
37
5.583
YPC
5.189
1
TDs
3

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
4
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

0/1 0%
Redzone
4/5 80%
4/13 0%
3rd Down
6/16 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

15
Total
22
5
Pass
12
8
Rush
10
2
Penalty
0
1/15
Penalties/Yards
5/55
22:46
Possession
37:14

Falcons vs. Bears Odds Comparison

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Falcons at Bears Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Falcons
8-7
o18.5-115
u18.5-115
Bears
4-11
o20.5-110
u20.5-118