Falcons vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - December 31, 2023

Falcons at Bears

6:00 pm • CBS
17 - 37

Falcons at Bears Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons
0-0
+2.5
+2.5+100
o39-112
+125
Bears
0-0
u39
-2.5-120
u39-110
-148
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
December 31, 2023
Soldier FieldChicago
Falcons vs. Bears Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 12-15-2 (+0.3u)
T.Allgeier Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290
0.29u
Boyd
B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
0.25u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 179-182-3 (+4.6u)
Under 39-110
0.55u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 5-3-0 (+1.7u)
CHI -2.5-115
1u
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +3-115
1.15u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 61-58-1 (-3.7u)
J.Fields o53.5 Rush Yds-110
2.2u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 14-11-1 (+1.3u)
B.Robinson o23.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 106-110-5 (-10.1u)
ATL +130
1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 12-15-1 (-1.3u)
K.Herbert o28.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -2.5-120
0.83u
@The_Oddsmaker
V.Jefferson u12.5 Rec Yds-121
1u
@ChrisRaybon
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
V.Jefferson u12.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
#ConvinceMe
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 64-78-6 (-23.6u)
ATL +130
1u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 2-3-0 (-1.3u)
ATL +2.5-105
1.05u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -150
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 90-80-0 (+20.3u)
ATL +3-112
3u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 12-15-1 (-1.3u)
CHI -2.5-115
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 55-84-3 (-26.0u)
B.Robinson o3.5 Recs+106
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 17-70-0 (+3.1u)
Under 38-110
1.1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 3-6-0 (-4.1u)
CHI -2.5-110
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +3-115
1.15u
Stuckey 2
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 17-11-1 (-0.5u)
ATL +3-110
0.6u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 12-30-0 (+4.0u)
ATL +3-115
0.7u
Available at FanDuel. Layering this with the Falcons' moneyline to get upside in case they win. Atlanta has played well under Taylor Heinicke, who has averaged 0.15 Passing NEP per drop back, up from -0.01 for Desmond Ridder. It doesn't necessarily mean Heinicke is an upgrade, but he certainly hasn't been a downgrade. They're facing a Bears defense that has been much, much better since adding Montez Sweat, but they've also benefited from plentiful good matchups in that time. The Falcons are that, too, but it's more to say that we shouldn't over-adjust for the Bears' recent showings. My model tends to hate Atlanta, so I'm willing to trust it more when it shows value in them, as it does here.
ATL +136
0.3u
Available at FanDuel. See notes on the Falcons +3 for outlining why the model is high on the Falcons in general. AS far as the moneyline, I've got this game as basically a toss-up, so with the implied odds at 42.4%, you could easily justify taking the moneyline without layering in the spread.

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Falcons vs. Bears Previews & Analysis

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    Stuckey's NFL Week 17 ATS Picks

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Falcons vs. Bears Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Falcons vs. Bears Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Falcons

Public

33%

Bets%

67%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bears
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Falcons
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bears
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Falcons
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bears
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Falcons
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 24thARIW 27-16-4.5 WO 42.5CHI -218
Dec 17th@CLEL 17-20+2.5 LU 38CLE +124
Dec 10thDETW 28-13+3 WU 44.5CHI +136
Nov 28th@MINW 12-10+3 WU 43.5CHI +138
Nov 19th@DETL 26-31+8 WO 48DET +320

Falcons vs. Bears Injury Updates

Falcons Injuries

  • C.J. Henderson
    CB

    Henderson is out with neck

    Out

Bears Injuries

    Team Stats
    307
    Total Yards
    432
    59
    Total Plays
    72
    5.2
    Yards Per Play
    6
    180
    YDS
    268
    13/33
    Comps/Atts
    20/32
    4.943
    YPA
    6.857
    1/4
    TDs/INTs
    1/0
    2/7
    Sacks/Yards
    3/28
    134
    Rush Yards
    192
    24
    Attempts
    37
    5.583
    YPC
    5.189
    1
    TDs
    3

    Turnovers

    0
    Fumbles Lost
    0
    4
    Interceptions
    0

    Efficiency

    0/1 0%
    Redzone
    4/5 80%
    4/13 0%
    3rd Down
    6/16 0%
    0/1 0%
    4th Down
    1/2 0%

    First Downs

    15
    Total
    22
    5
    Pass
    12
    8
    Rush
    10
    2
    Penalty
    0
    1/15
    Penalties/Yards
    5/55
    22:46
    Possession
    37:14

    Falcons vs. Bears Odds Comparison

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    Falcons at Bears Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Falcons
    0-0
    o18.5-115
    u18.5-115
    Bears
    0-0
    o20.5-110
    u20.5-118