Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2024
Chiefs at Chargers
8:25 pm • CBSChiefs at Chargers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chiefs 0-0 | -3 | -7-111 | o42-108 | -285 |
 Chargers 0-0 | u49 | +7-110 | u42-111 | +240 |
SoFi StadiumInglewood
Chiefs vs. Chargers Expert Picks
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 44-59-1 (-17.7u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+190
1u
Bet with 3 mins left in 1H
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 34-38-3 (-5.7u)
KC +2.5 (Live)-120
1.5u
X.Worthy o48.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 44-59-1 (-17.7u)
X.Worthy o47.5 Rec Yds (Live)-120
1u
Tailing @rsura_
KC +100 (Live)
2u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 12-15-2 (+0.3u)
KC -120 (Live)
0.21u
Boyd
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 18-18-0 (+2.8u)
KC -130 (Live)
2.5u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 73-87-6 (-14.8u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1u
Action Network Luck Rankings
Last 30d: 9-6-0 (+2.2u)
LAC +7-115
1u
Prop Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
P.Mahomes o1.5 Pass TDs-110
1.1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 18-18-0 (+2.8u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 44-59-1 (-17.7u)
T.Kelce o50.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
KC -7-120
1.2u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 192-206-1 (-38.6u)
KC -7-110
2.5u
Bettingqueen
JB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135
1u
Andrew A
Last 30d: 3-7-0 (-6.4u)
KC -7-115
1.15u
Anders
Last 30d: 10-10-0 (-3.3u)
LAC +7.5-115
0.96u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 73-87-6 (-14.8u)
Under 41.5-110
1u
The Faves Five
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LAC +7.5-115
1u
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
P.Mahomes u250.5 Pass Yds-115
0.87u
@The_Oddsmaker
Under 41.5-110
0.91u
@The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 12-15-1 (-1.3u)
Under 41.5-108
1u
P.Mahomes u250.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 90-80-0 (+20.3u)
KC -7-110
3u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.8u)
J.Dobbins u14.5 Longest Rush-117
0.85u
I’m not sure The Chargers are going to be in possession of the ball long enough for Dobbins to find a breakaway rush of this magnitude. The quarterback is already without full mobility, and the defense couldn’t possibly be more prepared for a Jim Harbaugh/Greg Roman produced run-the-damn-ball offense today. The Chiefs could absolutely roll, and there are way more trials in a 10,000x simulation of this game where Dobbins fails to get into open space for 15 yards than the alternative.
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -6.5-120
1u
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
W.Dissly o10.5 Rec Yds-120
0.83u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.8u)
P.Mahomes o17.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
We’re suspicious of the Charger offense in this spot, and that could mean the Chiefs dominate the time of possession or at the very least the scoreboard. We don’t mistake the Chiefs for a team that is designing run plays for the QB often, but with additional play volume comes additional opportunities to scramble. We didn’t make any special consideration for this narrative in projections, and he was still projecting over the number at a decent win rate.
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 31-38-1 (-1.0u)
P.Mahomes o17.5 Rush Yds-113
1.13u
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
LAC +7.5-110
1u
BIG BALLS BET OF THE WEEK presented by Tommy John
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 31-38-1 (-1.0u)
KC -7-118
1.18u
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 91-78-3 (+4.1u)
C.Steele o5.5 Rush Att-135
3u
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Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 12-30-0 (+4.0u)
Over 39.5-110
1u
Chargers have faced Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young, and Justin Fields so far. Even with some key turnovers, the Chiefs have still put up 27, 26, and 22 points so far. Could see this move down if Justin Herbert can't go (along with Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater), but this one is still too low after accounting for those in my model.
PRO Insights
Chiefs
KC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Chiefs have allowed 10+ yards on 9.0% of carries to RBs since the 2023 season -- T-9th-best in NFL; Chargers RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 6.0% of 404 carries since the 2023 season -- 2nd-worst in NFL.
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Chargers
LAC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Chargers have gained at least 5 yards on 45.0% of first down plays this season -- T-10th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed at least 5 yards on 50.0% of first down plays this season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.
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Chiefs vs. Chargers Previews & Analysis
Chiefs vs. Chargers Props
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Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds Comparison
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Chiefs at Chargers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Chiefs 0-0 | o24.5+100 | u24.5-120 |
Chargers 0-0 | o16.5-122 | u16.5-102 |