Our NFL Luck Rankings can be used to bet on unlucky teams that meet one of three criteria:
- A difference of at least 24 places in our weekly NFL Luck Rankings
- A Luck% difference of at least 50% between two opposing teams at any point in the season
- A Luck% difference of at least 30% between two opposing teams in Week 13 or later
Unlucky teams meeting at least one of these three criteria 117-68-5 (62.9%) against the spread (ATS) in regular-season games other than the last week of the season when using closing lines, which are the hardest to beat.
Last week, the unlucky teams in the seven Luck Rankings matchups went just 2-5-0 ATS giving the unlucky team in luck-based matchups a 4-7-0 (36.4%) start ATS on the season marking the first time since 2020 that luck-based matchups haven't returned a positive ROI through Week 3.
There were no luck-based totals from last week, and both Luck Overs and Luck Unders are in play for Week 4. As a reminder, for Luck Totals we use the following criteria:
- A Luck Total above +10 after Week 3.
- A Luck Total above +5 after Week 11.
- A Luck Total below -5 after Week 2.
NFL Week 4 Preview
We have six Luck Matchups and six Luck Totals for Week 4. All of the below will be tracked as official Luck Rankings plays when compiling the season-long records cited above, but I'll also note whether or not I'm following along with the Luck Rankings recommendation or not for each game.
As a rule of thumb just for this week, while I make a continued dive into some changing landcape trends for the NFL, I'll personally wait on all Luck Totals for one more week so I won't analyze them here. They will still count in the Luck Totals record, though, so I'll list those at the end.
NFL Week 4 Predictions With Action Network's Luck Rankings
MONDAY
Seahawks vs. Lions
Luck Difference: 17
Luck Gap: 56.2%
