Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

9:25 pm • CBS

Kansas City Chiefs

4-3

21 - 30

Buffalo Bills

4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chiefs 4-3	-1	+2.5+100	o47-115	+125
Bills 4-2	u48	-2.5-122	u47-105	-150

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

November 17, 2024

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

KC +2.5+100

KC +5.5 (Live)+103

Pressing the Chiefs here. Lots of time for a cover. Mahomes in the 4th with a perfect record at risk.

KC +132

KC +120

K.Hunt Anytime TD Scorer Yes-105

KC +125

Under 46.5-110

1.1u

Over 46.5-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Chiefs’ offense thrives with Mahomes, Kelce, and Hunt, ranking top ten in yards per game but struggles in pass defense. Bills, led by Allen, excel in scoring, red-zone efficiency, and rushing balance, despite injuries. Both teams consistently hit high point totals, setting up a potential shootout in a clash of dynamic offenses.

BUF -140

0.71u

KC +114

🔑 Chiefs ML +114 (FanDuel) 2u I know the chiefs have been playing with fire but I am not not going to bet on Mahomes as an underdog. He’s 12-1-1 as a dog and I’ll take those odds all day.

KC +115

I will always take Mahomes at (+) money. He wants the perfect season that includes a 3 Peat. Public is all over Buffalo because they are at home. Mahomes is comfortable in any environment.

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290

D.Knox 2+ TDs Yes+3000

0.25u

POD

D.Knox o28.5 Rec Yds-112

0.98u

K.Hunt o14.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

BUF -134

$1492.54

BUF -125

0.5u

K.Shakir o57.5 Rec Yds-130

BUF -120

2.5u

BUF -1.5 (1Q)+130

3.9u

BUF -1.5 (3Q)+144

BUF -1.5 (4Q)+134

4.02u

BUF -0.5 (1H)-105

BUF -1.5 (2Q)+112

M.Hollins o25.5 Rec Yds-110

0.5u

KC +2.5-110

1.1u

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550

3.3u

KC +115

0.87u

Under 46.5-108

@SimonHunterNFL and @nick_giffen

KC +2.5-112

1.12u

D.Knox o2.5 Recs-150

1.67u

Boyd

D.Knox o29.5 Rec Yds-110

🔬KC runs 2 high at the 3rd highest rate in the league while Knox has seen a 51.4% boost in yards per route run vs 2 high. Match that with the fact Kincaid is out (Knox hit in 5/L8 without Kincaid) and that KC has allowed leagues high 698 yards to tight, we have a recipe for a hit here

Under 46.5-108

1.08u

Over 46.5-110

D.Knox o2.5 Recs-140

0.29u

Boyd

KC +2.5-110

1.1u

Under 46-110

1.1u

BUF -2.5-109

BUF -130

Under 46.5-112

@gogo_dino Best Bet

BUF -2-110

$100.00

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+325

0.25u

KC +115

This should be a good game, but I think that, once again, the Chiefs will win.

Under 46-110

1.1u

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

$10.00

D.Hopkins o4.5 Recs+120

K.Hunt o13.5 Rec Yds-113

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330

🎶 Hello Knoxness, My Old Friend…🎶

KC +2.5-110

1.1u

Exec Decision

T.Kelce o65.5 Rec Yds-110

0.75u

TAN pod / best bets

T.Kelce 8+ Receptions Yes+165

0.5u

Extra Kelce escalator

T.Kelce 10+ Receptions Yes+500

0.25u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o9.5 Rush Att+375

0.94u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o6.5 Rush Att-135

0.74u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o30.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards Yes+235

0.59u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o230.5 Pass Yds-115

KC +2.5-115

$50.00

Over 45.5-110

0.91u

Low wind speeds here and two efficient offenses. Have enough wiggle room where I'd still be okay with the over even if both Dalton Kincaid and Amari Cooper are held out.

BUF +1-110

Featured Insight
The Chiefs have been successful on 54.0% of plays they have run with motion since Week 7 -- best in NFL; the Bills have allowed their opponents to be successful on 49.0% of plays against motion since Week 7 -- 5th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bills have been successful on 47.0% of plays they have run against a base rush this season -- T-9th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed their opponents to be successful on 47.0% of plays with a base rush this season -- T-5th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bills' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	2-4	1-3	1-1	1-4	1-0
Chiefs	4-3	3-1	1-1	3-2	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	3-3	3-1	0-2	2-3	1-0
Chiefs	3-4	1-3	1-1	2-3	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	4-2	N/A	N/A	3-2	1-0
Chiefs	4-3	N/A	N/A	3-2	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 10th	@IND	W 30-20	-4.5 W	O 46.5	BUF -230
Nov 3rd	MIA	W 30-27	-6.5 L	O 49	BUF -298
Oct 27th	@SEA	W 31-10	-3 W	U 45.5	BUF -165
Oct 20th	TEN	W 34-10	-9.5 W	O 41	BUF -550
Oct 15th	@NYJ	W 23-20	-1.5 W	O 41.5	BUF -140

Curtis Samuel
WR
Samuel is questionable with ribs
Questionable

Mitch Wishnowsky
P
Wishnowsky is out with back
Out
Tyler Bass
K
Bass is out with hip
Out
Joshua Palmer
WR
Palmer is out with ankle
Out
Dalton Kincaid
TE
Kincaid is questionable with oblique
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Chiefs

Total

Bills

259

Total Yards

366

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.2

Chiefs

Passing

Bills

196

YDS

262

23/33

Comps/Atts

27/40

5.171

YPA

6.55

3/2

TDs/INTs

1/1

2/15

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Chiefs

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

104

Attempts

4.588

YPC

3.355

TDs

Chiefs

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chiefs

Efficiency

Bills

3/3 100%

Redzone

3/4 75%

5/10 0%

3rd Down

9/15 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

1/2 0%

Chiefs

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chiefs

Misc

Bills

6/57

Penalties/Yards

3/24

25:57

Possession

34:03

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MatchupOverUnder
Chiefs 4-3	o22.5-118	u22.5-102
Bills 4-2	o24.5+100	u24.5-120

Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

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Chiefs vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction: Bet Mahomes as a 'Dog

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