Browns vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - November 9, 2025

NoVig

Unfortunately has to be done

Luck Rankings C grade

In the games the Browns have kept it relatively close/won, they have fed Judkins. Granted it’s only been 4 games but in those games he had 18, 21, 23 and 25. I strongly think this will be one of the worst games today BUT that should help this. Don’t expect a lot of points and the Jets haven’t been good against the run and they just traded 2 of their best defensive players away at the deadline. Should be a busy day for him

Feed the beast

Exhange

Taylor has cleared this in back-to-back games and was the clear No. 1 target with 13 targets over that stretch, but that was also with Garrett Wilson out. With Wilson expected to return this week, Taylor should slide back to being the No. 2 target. This is also a game where I expect the Jets to lean on the run more. As 1.5-point underdogs, they’re projected to trail at a 31% lower rate than their season average, meaning they should be able to lean on the run at a higher rate here. It’s also a much tougher matchup for Taylor. The Browns use man coverage at the highest rate in the league, and his yards per route run drops from 1.12 vs zone to just 0.47 vs man. They run Cover 1 on a league-high 35% of snaps, and Taylor has a brutal -0.03 yards per route run across 30 routes against it. The Browns aren’t going to let him sit down in open zones like he’s been able to for a lot of his targets and he’ll likely have a defender glued to him on most routes, and that usually leads to Fields either finding another option or taking off to run. The Jets also just added AD Mitchell and John Metchie III, who could chip away at his target share as they get more involved. I’m projecting him closer to 24 yards with about a 64% chance to stay under 29.5

This looks like one of the ugliest games of the year — two bad, tanking teams that probably both prefer to lose in a windy, rainy game with a line that flipped from Jets -2.5 to Browns -2.5 after New York traded away its two best defensive players. Both offenses have been terrible all season, and both teams are coming out of the bye. Typically, trends tell us to bet the under there, and this thing screams ugly, rainy, unwatchable 13-9 game at first glance. Surprise! We're going over, and we're taking the escalator. When both teams are rested in a game with a total under 40, games are actually 8-2 to the over in the last two decades, going over by 6.8 PPG, almost a full touchdown. When the total is 38 or below like this one, they're 5-0 to the over with at least 44 points in every game and an average of 50.6 PPG. That's a tiny sample, but dig a little deeper and you find some glimmers of hope. As ugly as Browns games have been, they've still hit at least 37 points all but three times this season, including three at 44+ and a 58. And though the Jets have memorably awful games with 19 and 24 total points, the rest of their games are at 40 or higher, and the average total in those games finished at 57.7 PPG with total scores of 56, 59, 66, and 77 — forgot about those weird Jets shootouts, didn't you? The Jets defense has been terrible, so that's part of it. New York ranks 30th in DVOA defensively, and that was before trading away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams. The Browns enter this game with a new play caller in OC Tommy Rees too. That's an unknown, but it can hardly get worse for this Browns offense, so maybe Rees has some magic up his sleeve against a beatable defense. The other side of the ball is a tougher sell, since the Browns defense has looked so good. But check the home-road splits. Cleveland has allowed 11.0 PPG in three home games, and not exactly easy opposition: Joe Burrow, Jordan Love, and Mike McDaniel's Dolphins. But on the road, the Browns have allowed 32.5 PPG, a massive difference. Weird, right? But here's what's weirder. Two years ago, when Jim Schwartz's defense was elite, it had the exact same splits: 13.9 PPG allowed at home but 31.3 PPG on the road. Jets games are also 11-4 to the over in their last 15. I've seen enough. Give me the over 37.5 — but we're not stopping there. Ugly unders are a sweat, because any score at any time threatens our total. But those games can go way over, because when the scoring does start, it can fly over the number in a hurry. That's right, we're taking an ugly Browns-Jets over escalator. Start with over 43.5 at +220, right below that key totals number. Even the Browns have hit that number four times already this season in games. Then keep going all the up — and I do mean all the way. Sprinkle over 49.5 at +390, over 55.5 at +830, over 59.5 at +1300, and over 65.5 at +2500, all at FanDuel. With any luck, this will turn into one of those goofy 39-38 shootouts that leads the Sunday recap. Everyone else will be shocked. We'll just be counting our winnings.

@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/tbtPO5p36Xb

ESPN

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/fo0oUthH6Xb

@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/EvaZ2p3F6Xb

PX

Jets were just getting 6.5 vs the Bengals(i know they’ll have some guys back unless they sell everyone at the deadline)… How are we here? Elite teaser leg as well Fading a bad team(35% win rate<) off of a win going into the bye: 32-19(63%, 22.5% ROI)… fwiw 4-0 All Time when the opponent is also off a bye as well(Browns)

2.35% ev play to +100