Broncos vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2024

- Since last year the Jets are 5-0 when rushing for 120+ yards - Since last year the Broncos average 136+ rush yards per game allowed, which ranks 31st/32 in the NFL - Broncos haven't covered back to back weeks in 12 weeks, and after covering and winning outright as (+6) underdogs last week, I can't see this week being the week where they cover b2b weeks

@ChrisRaybon

under 30 in all 3 this season and 5 of 7 dating back to last season

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-today-for-garrett-wilson-brian-thomas-jr

Bet365

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-bets-brock-bowers-pick-for-week-4

#ProSystem . low wind low total overs (No Thursday) Overall: 424-300-12,59% (ROI:14%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-4%)

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NFL WEEK 4 INT PICK 1 OF 2. Article coming shortly.

I may have sprayed the board PICKEM

Bo Nix over 31.5 Passing Attempts Going back to Nix after a sweat free cash from him last week. This week Bo will be on the road to face the Jets and Aaron Rodgers, which should give us a positive game script on this line. Last week the Broncos destroyed the Buccaneers and yet we still saw Bo almost hit this line at halftime. Nix has hit this line in 3/3 games with 43,35,36 pass attempts and 2/2 on the road. HC Sean Peyton loves to air it out with his young gunslinger and even after he said "we are gonna run the ball more to help Bo out", the Broncos still had Nix throw the ball 36 times. This was in a blowout.... This week the Jets are -7.5 favorites, so we should see Nix passing plenty in this one with his team trailing. The Jets do have a top rated pass defense, but that isn't gonna matter on this line since the Broncos struggle to run the ball. The Broncos main RBs Williams and McLaughlin are averaging just 2.7 YPC and Nix has actually been their best rusher. On the road vs a good defense with no run game, I like Bo to air it out like we have seen week after week to start his career.

Increasing touches and overall snaps in each game. It’s clear he will get neutral gamescript touches, and this is also a game with a lot of potential for a positive gamescript (don’t see the broncos offense succeeding against this jets defense). And the Broncos run defense continues to be a funnel, and they’ll just lost Alex Singleton for the season. Pat Surtain on Garrett Wilson also takes away the Jets best weapon in the pass game. Same reason we rode Bucky Irving last week - Allen should hit this at 7+ attempts, with the potential for more volume.