Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2024
Mavericks at Timberwolves
12:30 am • TNTMavericks at Timberwolves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks 4-1 | +4.5 | +4.5-110 | o207-110 | +160 |
Timberwolves 1-4 | u207 | -4.5-110 | u207-110 | -191 |
Thursday 12:30 a.m.
May 23, 2024Target CenterMinneapolis
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
Matt Moore
183d ago
Last 30d: 92-131-1 (-4.7u)
MIN +142 (Live)
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
183d ago
Last 30d: 268-266-8 (-2.9u)
N.Reid o9.5 Pts (Live)-115
0.87u
Forgot to track collab with Sosa
💰🦡 Jake
184d ago
Last 30d: 105-101-4 (-7.6u)
L.Doncic o8.5 Ast-105
1.05u
D.Lively o13.5 Pts+Rebs-110
1.5u
Sir Lockselot
184d ago
Last 30d: 34-91-0 (-56.1u)
M.Conley o6.5 Ast+120
2u
ASA Inc
184d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 207-110
1u
The Degenerates
184d ago
Last 30d: 73-77-3 (-11.8u)
R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-113
1.13u
Gilles Gallant
184d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-120
0.5u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Charlie DiSturco
184d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
K.Towns o19.5 Pts-120
0.5u
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-122
0.41u
Green Dot Daily
184d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
T.Hardaway o5.5 Pts+105
1u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
DAL +155
1.55u
@HPBasketball
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
@bryanfonseca
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-123
0.81u
@TurveyBets
Stephen Nover
184d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
Don't trust the Timberwolves in a favorite's role and Luka Doncic has had a few days to rest up.
Kyle Murray
184d ago
Last 30d: 104-118-1 (-8.8u)
K.Towns o28.5 Pts+Rebs-117
1.17u
L.Doncic o8.5 Rebs-120
1.2u
A.Edwards o5.5 Rebs-120
1u
Mjaybrod
184d ago
Last 30d: 130-100-1 (+17.8u)
L.Doncic o39.5 Pts+800
0.25u
40 chicken nuggets
DAL +4.5-110
0.91u
Luka is pulling up in braids I hear
Top Shelf Action 🥃
184d ago
Last 30d: 268-266-8 (-2.9u)
K.Towns o19.5 Pts-125
1u
Sandy Plashkes
184d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
DAL +4.5-110
$50.00
Scott Pritchard
184d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 206.5-110
0.91u
Mjaybrod
184d ago
Last 30d: 130-100-1 (+17.8u)
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-120
0.83u
Luka to the moon
Bruce Marshall
184d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DAL +4.5-105
0.95u
Under 207-110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
184d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-116
$50.00
Kevin Thomas
184d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
Under 206.5-111
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
184d ago
Last 30d: 268-266-8 (-2.9u)
R.Gobert o12.5 Rebs-112
1u
M.Conley u6.5 Ast-135
0.74u
P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-120
0.83u
Scott Rickenbach
184d ago
Last 30d: 78-63-2 (+5.4u)
Under 207.5-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
184d ago
Last 30d: 268-266-8 (-2.9u)
K.Towns u3.5 Ast-140
0.71u
Brian Bitler
184d ago
Last 30d: 60-57-1 (+7.4u)
Under 208-110
3u
Joe Dellera
184d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
D.Jones o0.5 Blk-145
1u
1+ block in 10/12 Playoff Games averaged 1.3 this season against Minn with 0, 1, 3
D.Jones o1.5 Blk+300
0.1u
L.Doncic o28.5 Pts-105
0.95u
The Mavericks face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Conference Finals. I’m targeting Luka Doncic to have a big game.
Luka’s points prop is set at 28.5 a number he has crushed this season. Overall, Luka has averaged 32.9 ppg but has had some difficulty in the Playoffs scoring just 27.3 ppg. Much of this was due to matchup though. The Clippers could throw a mix of Kawhi and Terrance Mann at him while Oklahoma City deployed Lu Dort. While the Timberwolves have elite wing defenders such as Jaden McDaniels (who I expect to start of Luka), Luka’s size should give him the edge.
Also, Luka was seemingly dealing with a knee injury throughout the Oklahoma City series, but got into his stride to finish the series with 31 and 29 point performances.
Here, I think Minnesota has better options to defend everyone else on the Mavericks with Ant on Kyrie and Gobert clogging up the interior.
Minnesota’s defense is elite, but Luka is a tough cover due to his skill but also because of Minnesota’s personnel.
I’ll grab Luka to exceed 28.5 points, especially with him playing on extra rest.
Mike Randle
184d ago
Last 30d: 22-10-0 (+9.8u)
P.Washington o12.5 Pts-110
0.91u
Markus Markets
184d ago
Last 30d: 85-83-3 (+35.3u)
K.Irving o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130
0.77u
Matt Moore
185d ago
Last 30d: 92-131-1 (-4.7u)
Over 207.5-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
185d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
M.Conley u18.5 Pts+Ast-125
0.5u
#Tailing @PropBomb
Prop Bomb 🏝
185d ago
Last 30d: 14-12-0 (+1.0u)
M.Conley u18.5 Pts+Ast-125
1u
Veteran leader on the team that’s coming off a season-high 39 minutes after fighting an ankle injury and a game 7 bloodbath vs. the Denver Nuggets. With just two days of rest going into a new series, I am anticipating a looser rotation as teams feel the water, and one player that I expect playing fewer minutes is Mike Conley.
For Game 1 vs. Dallas, I’m expecting the minutes to be around 29-33. Unlike in the DEN series where the Wolves needed to put out two bigs to match Jokic/Gordon, we can see a little more NAW playing time as he’ll be needed for help vs. Kyrie Irving. And being that the Mavs are the best remaining PnR BH defense (37% of his FREQ%), getting to his shots with elite defenders contesting won’t be easy. It’s a telling sign with books shoting his 3PT line juiced under 2.5 at -188.
As for assists, I really like tackling it on because he’s only getting 36% of his conversions coming from the 3PT. He’s getting a lot of his success from the PnR with Rudy Gobert, but with centers Dereck Lively and Daniel Gafford playing drop coverage, those will be tough to come by. Kyrie will be on Ant and PJ Washington should be on KAT, contesting looks at the 3PT line.
And as for the historical data, overall, in games where Conley plays 29-34 minutes with the key rotation and only makes 2 3PTs he averages 15.4 PA, going under this line in 11 of the 13 games (85.9% rate). #PlayerProps
Matt Moore
185d ago
Last 30d: 92-131-1 (-4.7u)
DAL +152
3.8u
DAL +4.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
186d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
R.Gobert o15.5 Rebs+350
0.15u
R.Gobert o11.5 Rebs-122
1.5u
Give me all the Rudy boards against Dallas
PRO Insights
Mavericks
DAL Insights
- Featured InsightThe Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three in close and late situations this season -- 4th-worst in the NBA.
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Timberwolves
MIN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Timberwolves have shot 39% from three (525/1,358) at home this season -- T-4th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three on the road this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Timberwolves are 22-18 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Timberwolves' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 40-40-2 | 18-22-1 | 22-18-1 | 29-31-2 | 11-9 |
Mavericks | 48-34 | 21-20 | 27-14 | 32-18 | 15-16 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 41-40-1 | 18-22-1 | 23-18 | 29-32-1 | 12-8 |
Mavericks | 36-45-1 | 16-25 | 20-20-1 | 22-28 | 13-17-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 9-7 | N/A | N/A | 47-15 | 9-11 |
Mavericks | 13-9 | N/A | N/A | 37-13 | 12-19 |
Last 5 Matchups
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates
Mavericks Injuries
- Dante ExumPG
Exum is out with wrist
Out
- Luka DoncicSG
Doncic is out with wrist
Out
Timberwolves Injuries
- Mike ConleyPG
Conley is questionable with toe
Questionable
- Naz ReidC
Reid is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Rob DillinghamPG
Dillingham is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Player Stats
- scoringJaden McDaniels24ppg
- reboundingAnthony Edwards11rpg
- assistsAnthony Edwards8apg
- shooting-62.5fg%
Team Stats
43-87 (49%)
Field Goals
38-89 (43%)
16-17 (94%)
Free Throws
11-18 (61%)
6-25 (24%)
3P
18-49 (37%)
48
Rebounds
40
21
Assists
23
Turnovers
5
Steals
8
8
Blocks
3
15
Fouls
17
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison
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Mavericks at Timberwolves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Mavericks 4-1 | o101.5-115 | u101.5-115 |
Timberwolves 1-4 | o105.5-110 | u105.5-120 |