Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

2:30 am • TNT
97 - 112

Timberwolves at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves
4-3
+4.5
+4.5-110
o205-110
+155
Nuggets
3-4
u206
-4.5-110
u205-111
-185
location pinWednesday 2:30 a.m.
May 15, 2024
Ball ArenaDenver
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
K.Towns o19.5 Pts (Live)-120
1.5u
Under 100.5 (1H)-110
1.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 25-31-0 (+0.7u)
M.Porter o22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Late add sorry
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 31-30-2 (+3.7u)
N.Jokic o8.5 Ast-115
0.87u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 18-18-0 (-1.6u)
M.Porter o15.5 Pts-110
1.1u
K.Towns o19.5 Pts-105
1u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 58-85-0 (-34.0u)
MIN +4-110
1.1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 58-87-0 (-5.4u)
M.Porter To Make 3+ Threes Yes-115
0.58u
M.Porter To Make 4+ Threes Yes+216
0.25u
J.McDaniels o10.5 Pts+Ast+105
0.65u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 148-98-4 (+30.7u)
J.McDaniels o8.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -147 giving value to this number
Action NCAA Baseball
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+1.5u)
N.Jokic o1.5 Stl-160
$0.63
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 55-58-1 (-8.3u)
A.Edwards o34.5 Pts+Rebs-115
1.15u
M.Porter o20.5 Pts+Rebs-120
1.2u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 79-76-0 (-11.1u)
DEN -174
0.57u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Gordon o4.5 Ast-108
0.93u
@JoeDellera
C.Braun o8.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-135
0.74u
@JoeDellera
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN -3.5-115
0.87u
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 18-8-1 (+8.5u)
Under 206-109
3u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 32-51-2 (-3.0u)
J.Holiday o4.5 Pts-135
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 37-52-1 (+13.0u)
C.Braun o8.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1u
One other adjustment Denver has made is playing Christian Braun more minutes. His quickness and physicality has been useful on the defensive side of the ball and he can at least make Anthony Edwards’ life a little bit more difficult on that side of the ball. He also is important offensively. He is a better roll man and screener than both Reggie Jackson and Justin Holiday and as a result has solidified has place as the sixth man for this Nuggets team and played 25 minutes off the bench in Game 4. When Braun has played 15+ minutes this season, he has exceeded 8.5 PRA in 81% of games. While averaging 13.8 PRA, in 20+ minutes, this jumps to a 95% hit rate on 16.3 PRA. After a strong performance in Game 4, I expect Braun to see extended run once again in Game 5. I like him to exceed 8.5 PRA.
A.Gordon o4.5 Ast+112
1.12u
The Nuggets evened up the series in Game 4 and made a few critical adjustments in that game. One of those adjustments was using Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic to bring the ball up to help free up Jamal Murray and take alleviate some of the torture that Jaden McDaniels and Nickel Alexander-Walker have subjected him to. While this also freed up Murray, it has thrown Karl-Anthony Towns into space, which is not an advantageous position for him. They have best been able to do this best when Rudy Gobert is on the floor because KAT needs to defend closer to the level since Rudy is already in a drop. In the three games Gobert has played this seres Gordon has recorded 6, 5, and 6 assists on 8, 7, and 11 potentials. The potentials were highest in Game 4 because of the adjustments I just mentioned. I like Gordon to exceed 4.5 Assists tonight and am happy to grab it at a plus number.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 58-87-0 (-5.4u)
Over 205.5-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 65-61-0 (+13.4u)
Under 206-110
3u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 92-105-3 (+45.4u)
K.Towns o7.5 Rebs-111
1.11u
M.Porter o5.5 Rebs-115
1u
K.Towns o28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 25-31-0 (+0.7u)
DEN -2-150
0.67u
Bought two points

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    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

    Away Logo

    Timberwolves

    Public

    43%

    Bets%

    57%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets
    38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10
    Timberwolves
    39-42-117-23-122-1927-3612-6-1

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Nuggets
    48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8
    Timberwolves
    44-3824-1720-2132-3112-7

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets
    7-7N/AN/A40-2110-11
    Timberwolves
    9-6N/AN/A40-239-10

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    May 13th@MINW 115-107+4 WO 205DEN +142
    May 11th@MINW 117-90+3.5 WO 205.5DEN +133
    May 7thMINL 80-106-7 LU 209.5MIN -292
    May 4thMINL 99-106-4.5 LU 209.5MIN -182
    Apr 30thLALW 108-106-6.5 LU 217.5DEN -247

    Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates

    Nuggets Injuries

    • DaRon Holmes
      SF

      Holmes is out with achilles

      Out

    Timberwolves Injuries

    • Terrence Shannon
      PF

      Shannon is questionable with foot

      Questionable

    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      40
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Aaron Gordon logo
      Aaron Gordon
      10
      rpg
    • assists
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      13
      apg
    • shooting
      player logo
      -
      100
      fg%
    Team Stats
    38-78 (49%)
    Field Goals
    44-80 (55%)
    13-19 (68%)
    Free Throws
    15-18 (83%)
    8-26 (31%)
    3P
    9-19 (47%)
    33
    Rebounds
    38
    30
    Assists
    30
    Turnovers
    7
    Steals
    6
    7
    Blocks
    5
    20
    Fouls
    17

    Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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    Timberwolves at Nuggets Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Timberwolves
    4-3
    o100.5-115
    u100.5-115
    Nuggets
    3-4
    o104.5-115
    u104.5-115