Phillies vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2025
Phillies at Astros
6:10 pm • SCHNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 2.43 | 12-9 | |
![]() | ![]() | 2.50 | 13-5 |
Phillies at Astros Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Phillies 0-0 | +1.5 | +1.5-184 | o7-117 | +129 |
![]() Astros 0-0 | u7 | -1.5+160 | u7-101 | -154 |

Daikin ParkHouston
Phillies vs. Astros Expert Picks

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 126-105-2 (+22.9u)
PHI +160 (Live)
1u

Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 45-58-0 (-10.6u)
Over 3.5 (Live)+110
0.77u
Live hedge

The Degenerates
Last 30d: 72-62-2 (+4.9u)
HOU -145
1u

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 114-113-8 (-4.4u)
H.Brown u6.5 Ks+100
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 55-58-2 (-11.2u)
PHI +124
1u

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 28-38-0 (-4.5u)
H.Brown u6.5 Ks+100
1u
Hunter Brown is enjoying a breakout year with a career-high 31.6% strikeout rate and currently sits 3rd in AL Cy Young odds. My expected K model supports the idea that this is a career year as he’s sporting a personal-best 28% whiff rate and has improved in several key underlying metrics.
That said, there’s one red flag: opposing hitters are swinging at just 60% of his pitches in the zone, a career low. That’s a level very few pitchers can sustain long-term and Brown was right around league average in that stat during his first three seasons, so I expect that number to regress. If hitters start swinging more at those in-zone pitches, his strikeout rate should dip slightly.
The Phillies could accelerate that regression. They swing at pitches in the zone at the 11th-highest rate in MLB and rank top-6 in whiff rate against both four-seamers and sinkers which are the two pitches Brown throws over 60% of the time. That could limit his ability to get to two-strike counts and use his devastating knuckle curve (38% whiff rate) as much as he normally does.
Philly’s most strikeout-prone bat is Brandon Marsh (38% K probability in his first PA), but he’s buried in the 9-hole and likely only gets two looks against Brown.
This sets up as a spot where Brown could still pitch well but land right on 6 Ks more often than not. I have the fair price for the under closer to -140

Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 45-58-0 (-10.6u)
Under 7+107
1.07u

The Degenerates
Last 30d: 72-62-2 (+4.9u)
HOU -145
1u

Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 45-58-0 (-10.6u)
Under 7-110
1u

Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 40-113-7 (-5.2u)
K.Schwarber o0.5 HR+500
0.5u

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 103-129-6 (+24.5u)
HOU o3.5+100
1u

Bet Labs
Last 30d: 22-13-0 (+7.6u)
HOU -145
1u

Capper Central
Last 30d: 94-56-1 (+24.5u)
HOU -136
1u

Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 7-7-1 (-1.3u)
PHI +118
1u

Picks Office
Last 30d: 62-80-3 (-14.7u)
Under 7-110
0.91u
Follow @PicksOffice on X for more.

Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 75-104-3 (-9.5u)
PHI +126
1u

Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 87-89-3 (-8.8u)
Under 7-110
1u

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 126-105-2 (+22.9u)
H.Brown o4.5 Hits Allowed+105
1u
C.Sanchez o2.5 Earned Runs+129
1u

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 94-114-1 (-28.6u)
Under 7-105
1u
Good teams under
Overall: 267-163-22,62% (ROI:19%)
Season:15-13-1,54% (ROI:2%)
PHI +124
1u
avoid the sweep
Overall: 828-532-0,61% (ROI:11%)
Season:21-15-0,58% (ROI:7%)

Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 47-48-0 (-3.1u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-154
0.32u
Under 7.5-140
0.71u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 148-171-6 (-11.3u)
Under 7+100
0.5u
Bet to -105
Phillies vs. Astros Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Astros are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Astros' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Phillies vs. Astros Injury Updates

Phillies Injuries

Astros Injuries
- Pedro LeonRF
Leon is out with knee
Out
- Hayden WesneskiRP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Phillies vs. Astros Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 99 | 6 | 11 | 1 | |
![]() | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 96 | 7 | 9 | 0 | |
![]() | 22 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 22 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Astros Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Phillies at Astros Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Phillies 0-0 | o3.5+116 | u3.5-148 |
![]() Astros 0-0 | o3.5-124 | u3.5-105 |