Phillies vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2025
Phillies at Astros
6:10 pm • SCHNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2.43 | 12-9 | ||
![]() | 2.50 | 13-5 |
Phillies at Astros Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | +1.5 | +1.5-184 | o7-117 | +129 |
Astros 0-0 | u7 | -1.5+160 | u7-101 | -154 |

Daikin ParkHouston
Phillies vs. Astros Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 182-170-3 (+17.8u)
PHI +160 (Live)
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 68-90-1 (-12.2u)
Over 3.5 (Live)+110
0.77u
Live hedge
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 56-60-0 (-8.5u)
HOU -145
1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 138-110-4 (+4.3u)
H.Brown u6.5 Ks+100
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 108-111-1 (-14.8u)
PHI +124
1u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 51-42-0 (+4.9u)
H.Brown u6.5 Ks+100
1u
Hunter Brown is enjoying a breakout year with a career-high 31.6% strikeout rate and currently sits 3rd in AL Cy Young odds. My expected K model supports the idea that this is a career year as he’s sporting a personal-best 28% whiff rate and has improved in several key underlying metrics.
That said, there’s one red flag: opposing hitters are swinging at just 60% of his pitches in the zone, a career low. That’s a level very few pitchers can sustain long-term and Brown was right around league average in that stat during his first three seasons, so I expect that number to regress. If hitters start swinging more at those in-zone pitches, his strikeout rate should dip slightly.
The Phillies could accelerate that regression. They swing at pitches in the zone at the 11th-highest rate in MLB and rank top-6 in whiff rate against both four-seamers and sinkers which are the two pitches Brown throws over 60% of the time. That could limit his ability to get to two-strike counts and use his devastating knuckle curve (38% whiff rate) as much as he normally does.
Philly’s most strikeout-prone bat is Brandon Marsh (38% K probability in his first PA), but he’s buried in the 9-hole and likely only gets two looks against Brown.
This sets up as a spot where Brown could still pitch well but land right on 6 Ks more often than not. I have the fair price for the under closer to -140
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 68-90-1 (-12.2u)
Under 7+107
1.07u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 56-60-0 (-8.5u)
HOU -145
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 68-90-1 (-12.2u)
Under 7-110
1u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 39-80-0 (+8.2u)
K.Schwarber o0.5 HR+500
0.5u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 117-134-8 (+0.3u)
HOU o3.5+100
1u
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 18-20-0 (-0.7u)
HOU -145
1u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 84-68-0 (+2.3u)
HOU -136
1u
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 21-16-0 (+8.0u)
PHI +118
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 117-94-4 (+16.1u)
Under 7-110
0.91u
Follow @PicksOffice on X for more.
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 100-110-1 (-2.8u)
PHI +126
1u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 81-99-2 (-24.8u)
Under 7-110
1u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 182-170-3 (+17.8u)
H.Brown o4.5 Hits Allowed+105
1u
C.Sanchez o2.5 Earned Runs+129
1u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 50-48-1 (+0.5u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-154
0.32u
Under 7.5-140
0.71u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 98-117-5 (+5.2u)
Under 7+100
0.5u
Bet to -105
Phillies vs. Astros Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Astros are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Astros' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Phillies vs. Astros Injury Updates

Phillies Injuries

Astros Injuries
- Pedro LeonRF
Leon is out with knee
Out
- Hayden WesneskiRP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Phillies vs. Astros Box Score
Phillies Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 99 | 6 | 11 | 1 | |
![]() | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Astros Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 96 | 7 | 9 | 0 | |
![]() | 22 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 22 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Astros Odds Comparison
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Phillies at Astros Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | o3.5+116 | u3.5-148 |
Astros 0-0 | o3.5-124 | u3.5-105 |




























