Ravens vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - November 9, 2025

Too many bets in this game but okay

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Starks has played well in his rookie season, averaging 6.1 tackles per game and clearing this number in 4 of 8 games. However, he’s gone under in three straight since the Ravens traded for Alohi Gilman, which has shifted Starks’ role. Since that move, his box alignment rate is down about 4%, while Kyle Hamilton has lined up in the box at a career-high rate over that same stretch..lining up in the box at a 50%+ rate in 3 straight games, a career high. That shift alone eats into Starks’ tackle chances. He’s also more dependent on tackle opportunities from completed passes as a result (since the shift in usage with Gilman in the mix, his tackle rate on rush attempts has plummeted), and the Ravens have faced 24.8 completions per game this year. But JJ McCarthy’s completion prop is just 19.5, so we could see around 5 fewer tackle chances through the air, which directly hurts Starks’ expected output. On top of that, the Vikings have been the single worst team in the league in terms of providing tackle opportunities to opposing safeties. Starks has had a pretty soft schedule for safeties so far, and this will be his toughest matchup yet..just the third team he’s faced that ranks below average in tackle opportunities for his position. I’m projecting him closer to 4.8 tackles, with around a 64% chance to stay under 5.5.

2.47% ev play to +193

The Ravens feel like the right side here, but paying above the key number of three feels hefty. The Vikings offense looks like the weakest unit of the four. It's too soon to trust J.J. McCarthy yet, though the Ravens defense is also a question mark but seems to be getting healthy and improving with Kyle Hamilton in a new role. The question is what the best unit is — Ravens offense or Vikings defense? Brian Flores had some tricks up his sleeve the last time his defense faced Lamar Jackson, blitzing him into oblivion and really blowing up Jackson's season, but Lamar has grown since then and will be ready now, especially with Baltimore on extra rest. Minnesota's defense was outstanding last week but has been subpar against the run and inconsistent bringing pressure. The Vikings have also been hurt by scrambling QBs this season like Caleb Williams and Justin Herbert, and it's always tough for an NFC opponent to stop Lamar Jackson when it just hasn't seen him much before. If you want a side, I prefer Ravens but the number isn't there. You can duck under the key number with Ravens 1H, since Jackson is 63% ATS 1H for his career and the Vikings are 2-6 ATS 1H, though one of those two Minnesota wins just came last week. Instead, I prefer to avoid the unknowns when Minnesota's offense attacks Baltimore's defense and just attack the Ravens offense. Baltimore averages 33.8 PPG with Jackson this season, and the Ravens have scored at least 28 points in all five games with him on the field. In fact, they've scored 28+ in nine straight with Jackson and in all 15 Baltimore wins since the start of last season. That makes a Ravens team total over 26.5 something of a proxy (-115, BetRivers) for a much more juiced Ravens moneyline. The Vikings have faced two backup QBs this season but allow 26.5 PPG against starting QBs this year. That's right at that number, but the Ravens are no average offense with Jackson healthy. In 15 wins since the start of last season, the Ravens average 34.3 PPG and have scored 34+ in over half of them. Put a bit of your bet on Ravens over 33.5 points too at +270 (DraftKings).

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