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Jets vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2024

Jets at Patriots

5:00 pm • CBS

New York Jets

5-12
22
22 - 25

New England Patriots

4-13
25

Jets at Patriots Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jets
5-12
-4.5
-7-112
o41.5-104
-340
Patriots
4-13
u41.5
+7-108
u41.5-108
+270
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 27, 2024
Gillette StadiumFoxborough
Jets vs. Patriots Expert Picks
Proptology _
Proptology _
73d ago
Last 30d: 18-13-0 (+10.8u)
B.Hall Anytime TD Scorer Yes-147
3u
Anders
Anders
73d ago
Last 30d: 16-26-0 (-6.0u)
Over 40.5-115
0.96u
H.Henry o34.5 Rec Yds-112
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
73d ago
Last 30d: 117-95-2 (+5.9u)
Over 41-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
73d ago
Last 30d: 172-197-4 (+7.3u)
NYJ -7-105
2.1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
73d ago
Last 30d: 102-80-3 (+15.2u)
NE +7.5-125
0.8u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Patriots and Jets face off in a battle of struggling offenses, with New England’s low-scoring performance countered by a Jets team on a losing streak and weak on third downs. Jets' defense, exposed by Steelers, shows vulnerabilities Patriots aim to exploit through short-yardage passes. Injuries in the Jets’ offensive line and thin receiving corps add pressure on QB Aaron Rodgers, while Patriots’ Rhamondre Stevenson may set game pace.
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
73d ago
Last 30d: 85-79-2 (+1.8u)
NE +7-110
2.73u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
73d ago
Last 30d: 272-223-4 (+49.3u)
Under 41-110
1.1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
74d ago
Last 30d: 24-20-1 (+1.2u)
D.Reed u4.5 Tackles + Ast-130
1u
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
74d ago
Last 30d: 41-23-0 (+9.4u)
G.Wilson o4.5 Recs-130
0.77u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
74d ago
Last 30d: 51-42-3 (+20.2u)
K.Bourne Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750
0.25u
Proptology _
Proptology _
74d ago
Last 30d: 18-13-0 (+10.8u)
D.Douglas 5+ Receptions Yes+180
2u
🔬Just a ridiculous advantage here on BET365 but I’d take it at +124 on FanDuel just the same, Demario had 2 receptions on the first drive last week and was just sick. He’s clearly Mate’s favorite target 🔬After netting 7 catches on 9 targets in his first game vs the jets this season, Demario has an even better environment for receptions here with with maye at center 🔬Per Jacob Gibbs - Demario has a 40.5% target share with Maye & his target share per route run Vs cover 1 is 27%, vs cover 4 is 24% ( jets run cover 1 4th most and cover 4 6th most)
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
75d ago
Last 30d: 4-13-0 (-6.7u)
D.Douglas 5+ Receptions Yes+120
1u
Adding a unit here.
D.Douglas o3.5 Recs-135
1.35u
I'm throwing out last week for Douglas. He was sick and played a season-low 33% of the snaps. Douglas has been removed from the injury report, so he should be a full go this week. That means we should see more of the awesome Drake Maye/Douglas connection. Jacob Gibbs of CBS Sports pointed out that Douglas has a 40.5% target share when playing with Maye. He racked up 6 catches on 9 targets for 92 yards in Maye's first start in Week 6. That was nearly twice as many targets as the next-closest pass catcher (Hunter Henry, 5). This matchup also sets up well for Douglas. The Jets play man coverage at the 5th-highest rate. They play Cover 1 more than any other coverage. Douglas has a 20.5% target share and a 26% target per route run against man coverage, which both lead the team. He's at just 13% and 13% against zone, respectively. Against Cover 1 specifically, Douglas has a 22.2% target share and a 27% TPPR. Nearly half of his catches this season (12 of 26) have come against Cover 1.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
77d ago
Last 30d: 79-108-4 (+0.2u)
NE +7-108
0.5u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
78d ago
Last 30d: 15-11-0 (+3.4u)
NE +7-110
0.91u
Have this at 4.1 after bumping the Patriots up for Drake Maye. Would be 5.7 without that bump, so regardless, don't think the Pats should be catching seven at home in a game with a low total.

PRO Insights

Jets logo

Jets

NYJ Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Jets logoThe Jets have sacked the quarterback 21 times this season -- 6th-most in NFL; Patriots QBs have been 25 sacked this season -- 2nd-most in NFL.
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Patriots logo

Patriots

NE Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Patriots logoThe Patriots have allowed 6.4 yards per dropback on first down this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Jets have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt on first down this season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.
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Jets vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis

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Jets vs. Patriots Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Jets vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages

Jets

Public

Home Logo

Patriots

77%

Bets%

23%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Patriots are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Patriots are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Patriots are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Patriots' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Patriots' 8 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots		7-9-13-4-14-4N/A7-9-1
Jets		6-113-53-55-61-5

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Patriots		11-67-13-5N/A11-6
Jets		10-6-14-46-1-16-4-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots		4-13N/AN/AN/A4-13
Jets		5-12N/AN/A5-60-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 20th@JACL 16-32+7 LO 42.5JAC +255
Oct 13thHOUL 21-41+6.5 LO 39.5HOU +230
Oct 6thMIAL 10-15+2 LU 36.5MIA +110
Sep 29th@SFL 13-30+10.5 LO 42.5SF +425
Sep 20th@NYJL 3-24+6.5 LU 39.5NYJ +240

Jets vs. Patriots Injury Updates

Jets Injuries

  • C.J. Mosley
    LB

    Mosley is out with neck

    Out

  • Tyron Smith
    OL

    Smith is out with neck

    Out

  • Morgan Moses
    OL

    Moses is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Chuck Clark
    S

    Clark is questionable with shin

    Questionable

  • Solomon Thomas
    DE

    Thomas is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Tyler Conklin
    TE

    Conklin is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Greg Joseph
    K

    Joseph is out with abdomen

    Out

  • Zack Bailey
    OL

    Bailey is out with back

    Out

  • Quinnen Williams
    DE

    Williams is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Leki Fotu
    DT

    Fotu is doubtful with knee

    Doubtful

  • Jake Hanson
    OL

    Hanson is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Alijah Vera-Tucker
    G

    Vera-Tucker is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Kene Nwangwu
    RB

    Nwangwu is out with hand

    Out

  • Michael Carter
    CB

    Carter is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Sauce Gardner
    CB

    Gardner is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Tony Adams
    S

    Adams is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Braiden McGregor
    DE

    McGregor is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

Patriots Injuries

  • Hunter Henry
    TE

    Henry is out with foot

    Out

  • Jabrill Peppers
    S

    Peppers is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Sione Takitaki
    LB

    Takitaki is questionable with groin

    Questionable

  • Kyle Dugger
    S

    Dugger is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Anfernee Jennings
    LB

    Jennings is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Cole Strange
    G

    Strange is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Marcus Jones
    CB

    Jones is out with hip

    Out

  • Ben Brown
    C

    Brown is out with concussion

    Out

  • Christian Gonzalez
    CB

    Gonzalez is out with concussion

    Out

  • Alex Austin
    CB

    Austin is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Titus Leo
    LB

    Leo is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Jaquelin Roy
    DT

    Roy is out with foot

    Out

  • Ja'Lynn Polk
    WR

    Polk is out with shoulder

    Out

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Team Stats

Total

336
Total Yards
247
57
Total Plays
63
5.9
Yards Per Play
3.9

Passing

233
YDS
155
17/28
Comps/Atts
18/30
7.724
YPA
4.25
2/0
TDs/INTs
0/0
1/9
Sacks/Yards
2/19

Rushing

112
Rush Yards
111
28
Attempts
31
4
YPC
3.581
1
TDs
3

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

3/5 60%
Redzone
3/4 75%
4/10 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

22
Total
19
12
Pass
7
6
Rush
10
4
Penalty
2

Misc

8/55
Penalties/Yards
5/50
29:34
Possession
30:26

Jets vs. Patriots Odds Comparison

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Jets at Patriots Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Jets
5-12
o24.5-108
u24.5-112
Patriots
4-13
o16.5-115
u16.5-105