Jets vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2024
Jets at Patriots
5:00 pm • CBSJets at Patriots Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Jets 1-0 | -4.5 | -7-112 | o41.5-104 | -340 |
![]() Patriots 1-0 | u41.5 | +7-108 | u41.5-108 | +270 |

Gillette StadiumFoxborough
Jets vs. Patriots Expert Picks

Proptology _
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
B.Hall Anytime TD Scorer Yes-147
3u

Anders
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-6.3u)
Over 40.5-115
0.96u
H.Henry o34.5 Rec Yds-112
1u

Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
NYJ -7-105
2.1u

Picks Office
Last 30d: 74-73-1 (+8.1u)
NE +7.5-125
0.8u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Patriots and Jets face off in a battle of struggling offenses, with New England’s low-scoring performance countered by a Jets team on a losing streak and weak on third downs. Jets' defense, exposed by Steelers, shows vulnerabilities Patriots aim to exploit through short-yardage passes. Injuries in the Jets’ offensive line and thin receiving corps add pressure on QB Aaron Rodgers, while Patriots’ Rhamondre Stevenson may set game pace.

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-72-1 (-3.5u)
NE +7-110
2.73u

Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 41-110
1.1u

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
D.Reed u4.5 Tackles + Ast-130
1u

Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
G.Wilson o4.5 Recs-130
0.77u

Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 16-43-0 (+11.0u)
K.Bourne Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750
0.25u

Proptology _
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
D.Douglas 5+ Receptions Yes+180
2u
🔬Just a ridiculous advantage here on BET365 but I’d take it at +124 on FanDuel just the same, Demario had 2 receptions on the first drive last week and was just sick. He’s clearly Mate’s favorite target
🔬After netting 7 catches on 9 targets in his first game vs the jets this season, Demario has an even better environment for receptions here with with maye at center
🔬Per Jacob Gibbs - Demario has a 40.5% target share with Maye & his target share per route run Vs cover 1 is 27%, vs cover 4 is 24% ( jets run cover 1 4th most and cover 4 6th most)

Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+2.2u)
D.Douglas 5+ Receptions Yes+120
1u
Adding a unit here.
D.Douglas o3.5 Recs-135
1.35u
I'm throwing out last week for Douglas. He was sick and played a season-low 33% of the snaps. Douglas has been removed from the injury report, so he should be a full go this week. That means we should see more of the awesome Drake Maye/Douglas connection.
Jacob Gibbs of CBS Sports pointed out that Douglas has a 40.5% target share when playing with Maye. He racked up 6 catches on 9 targets for 92 yards in Maye's first start in Week 6. That was nearly twice as many targets as the next-closest pass catcher (Hunter Henry, 5).
This matchup also sets up well for Douglas. The Jets play man coverage at the 5th-highest rate. They play Cover 1 more than any other coverage. Douglas has a 20.5% target share and a 26% target per route run against man coverage, which both lead the team. He's at just 13% and 13% against zone, respectively. Against Cover 1 specifically, Douglas has a 22.2% target share and a 27% TPPR. Nearly half of his catches this season (12 of 26) have come against Cover 1.

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 98-115-3 (-8.2u)
R.Stevenson o45.5 Rush Yds-120
0.83u

JC Cornell
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+5.3u)
D.Adams o56.5 Rec Yds-118
1.18u
B.Hall o75.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
NYJ -7-110
1.1u

Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +7-108
0.5u

Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-52-0 (-13.5u)
NE +7-110
0.91u
Have this at 4.1 after bumping the Patriots up for Drake Maye. Would be 5.7 without that bump, so regardless, don't think the Pats should be catching seven at home in a game with a low total.
PRO Insights

Jets
NYJ Insights
- Featured Insight
The Jets have sacked the quarterback 21 times this season -- 6th-most in NFL; Patriots QBs have been 25 sacked this season -- 2nd-most in NFL.
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Patriots
NE Insights
- Featured Insight
The Patriots have allowed 6.4 yards per dropback on first down this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Jets have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt on first down this season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.
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Jets vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis
Jets vs. Patriots Props
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Jets vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Patriots are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Patriots are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Patriots are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Patriots' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Patriots' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
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Jets vs. Patriots Odds Comparison
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Jets at Patriots Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Jets 1-0 | o24.5-108 | u24.5-112 |
![]() Patriots 1-0 | o16.5-115 | u16.5-105 |