Jets vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2024

Jets at Patriots

5:00 pm • CBS
22 - 25

Jets at Patriots Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jets
1-0
-4.5
-7-112
o41.5-104
-340
Patriots
1-0
u41.5
+7-108
u41.5-108
+270
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 27, 2024
Gillette StadiumFoxborough
Jets vs. Patriots Expert Picks
Proptology _
Proptology _
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
B.Hall Anytime TD Scorer Yes-147
3u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-6.3u)
Over 40.5-115
0.96u
H.Henry o34.5 Rec Yds-112
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
NYJ -7-105
2.1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 74-73-1 (+8.1u)
NE +7.5-125
0.8u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Patriots and Jets face off in a battle of struggling offenses, with New England’s low-scoring performance countered by a Jets team on a losing streak and weak on third downs. Jets' defense, exposed by Steelers, shows vulnerabilities Patriots aim to exploit through short-yardage passes. Injuries in the Jets’ offensive line and thin receiving corps add pressure on QB Aaron Rodgers, while Patriots’ Rhamondre Stevenson may set game pace.
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-72-1 (-3.5u)
NE +7-110
2.73u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 41-110
1.1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
D.Reed u4.5 Tackles + Ast-130
1u
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
G.Wilson o4.5 Recs-130
0.77u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 16-43-0 (+11.0u)
K.Bourne Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750
0.25u
Proptology _
Proptology _
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
D.Douglas 5+ Receptions Yes+180
2u
🔬Just a ridiculous advantage here on BET365 but I’d take it at +124 on FanDuel just the same, Demario had 2 receptions on the first drive last week and was just sick. He’s clearly Mate’s favorite target 🔬After netting 7 catches on 9 targets in his first game vs the jets this season, Demario has an even better environment for receptions here with with maye at center 🔬Per Jacob Gibbs - Demario has a 40.5% target share with Maye & his target share per route run Vs cover 1 is 27%, vs cover 4 is 24% ( jets run cover 1 4th most and cover 4 6th most)
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+2.2u)
D.Douglas 5+ Receptions Yes+120
1u
Adding a unit here.
D.Douglas o3.5 Recs-135
1.35u
I'm throwing out last week for Douglas. He was sick and played a season-low 33% of the snaps. Douglas has been removed from the injury report, so he should be a full go this week. That means we should see more of the awesome Drake Maye/Douglas connection. Jacob Gibbs of CBS Sports pointed out that Douglas has a 40.5% target share when playing with Maye. He racked up 6 catches on 9 targets for 92 yards in Maye's first start in Week 6. That was nearly twice as many targets as the next-closest pass catcher (Hunter Henry, 5). This matchup also sets up well for Douglas. The Jets play man coverage at the 5th-highest rate. They play Cover 1 more than any other coverage. Douglas has a 20.5% target share and a 26% target per route run against man coverage, which both lead the team. He's at just 13% and 13% against zone, respectively. Against Cover 1 specifically, Douglas has a 22.2% target share and a 27% TPPR. Nearly half of his catches this season (12 of 26) have come against Cover 1.
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 98-115-3 (-8.2u)
R.Stevenson o45.5 Rush Yds-120
0.83u
JC Cornell
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+5.3u)
D.Adams o56.5 Rec Yds-118
1.18u
B.Hall o75.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
NYJ -7-110
1.1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +7-108
0.5u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-52-0 (-13.5u)
NE +7-110
0.91u
Have this at 4.1 after bumping the Patriots up for Drake Maye. Would be 5.7 without that bump, so regardless, don't think the Pats should be catching seven at home in a game with a low total.

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Jets vs. Patriots Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Jets vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Jets

Public

77%

Bets%

23%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots
7-9-13-4-14-4N/A7-9-1
Jets
6-113-53-55-61-5

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Patriots
11-67-13-5N/A11-6
Jets
10-6-14-46-1-16-4-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots
4-13N/AN/AN/A4-13
Jets
5-12N/AN/A5-60-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 20th@JACL 16-32+7 LO 42.5JAC +255
Oct 13thHOUL 21-41+6.5 LO 39.5HOU +230
Oct 6thMIAL 10-15+2 LU 36.5MIA +110
Sep 29th@SFL 13-30+10.5 LO 42.5SF +425
Sep 20th@NYJL 3-24+6.5 LU 39.5NYJ +240
Team Stats
336
Total Yards
247
57
Total Plays
63
5.9
Yards Per Play
3.9
233
YDS
155
17/28
Comps/Atts
18/30
7.724
YPA
4.25
2/0
TDs/INTs
0/0
1/9
Sacks/Yards
2/19
112
Rush Yards
111
28
Attempts
31
4
YPC
3.581
1
TDs
3

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

3/5 60%
Redzone
3/4 75%
4/10 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

22
Total
19
12
Pass
7
6
Rush
10
4
Penalty
2
8/55
Penalties/Yards
5/50
29:34
Possession
30:26

Jets vs. Patriots Odds Comparison

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Jets at Patriots Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Jets
1-0
o24.5-108
u24.5-112
Patriots
1-0
o16.5-115
u16.5-105