Tulane vs. Ole Miss Odds & Betting Predictions - December 20, 2025

Another

Fire works

Tulane got smashed in its first meeting with the Rebels for two reasons. The wave couldn’t throw it, and they couldn’t get a stop to save their life. Jake Retzlaff got benched in that game, and Ole Miss called off the dogs after building up a 45-3 lead midway through the fourth quarter. I don’t put much stock in team morale, or even try to measure it that often, because sometimes overly emotional teams can press too hard or run out of steam once the adrenaline wears off. But in this case, I have to consider the narrative surrounding this game. Lane Kiffin left them in the lurch, tried to take the entire coaching staff with him, and then lied to the media about all the players wanting him to stay on for the CFP run. This team wants to prove that they’re more than Lane Kiffin, and retaining Pete Golding and offensive coordinator Charlie Weis Jr. for this run gives them the kind of coaching stability to repeat their performance from earlier this season against Tulane. Add in a wild scene at Vaught Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, and a blowout win for the Land Sharks has to be on a potential betting menu. Aside from the narratives and the emotion, I’d like to point out that Tulane has some issues to consider, especially on offense. While the Wave improved in AAC play, it was against a handful of lousy defenses. The best defense they faced after the Ole Miss game was East Carolina, which finished 54th in SP+ on that side of the ball. The Green Wave were lucky to pull that one out, squeezing past the Pirates, 26-19. Tulane had to settle for four field goals in that game, three of which came in the red zone. That was an issue all season long for Sumrall’s bunch. Tulane finished 99th nationally in Red Zone touchdown percentage ��� you can’t hang with Ole Miss by kicking field goals. The last piece of this blowout game script is Trinidad Chambliss. I’m shocked that he’s flown so far under the radar; perhaps his absence from award season is to blame. Had he started all 12 games this season, instead of 10, his stats would have looked like this: 29 Total TDs 3,600 Passing 560 Rushing Does that get him to New York City? Probably. He was simply unflappable. And he’s a big-play artist. His 22 big-time throws only trailed Simpson and Pavia in the SEC, but he wasn’t throwing caution to the wind on a game-by-game basis. His 1.8% turnover-worthy play rate (seven TWPs in ‘25) was the third-lowest among Power Conference quarterbacks. Weis Jr. protects him by heavily featuring the quick game, zone reads, and a bevy of RPOs built around the idea that no matter what the defense does, there’s a way to make them wrong. UTSA’s offense shredded Tulane at home, Memphis threw for 368 yards on Tulane (some yardage with a backup QB), and North Texas had 415 yards in total offense; the Mean Green just killed themself with five turnovers. My point here is that Tulane doesn’t have the horses to slow down Chambliss and Kewan Lacy, who is a yards after contact demon (86 missed tackles, first among Power Four backs).

This one’s my gut feeling POD. Shits a route

Plus money on the exchanges, yes please.

@Breese https://myaction.app/J0rH4zigeZb

Path to green wave scoring points appears tricky here. Team isn’t that good and they won’t win the TO battle 5-0 again. Ole miss only punted one time in the first meeting. Left some meat on the bone. Should win by 21+