Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 29, 2024

Timberwolves at Mavericks

12:30 am • TNT
105 - 100

Timberwolves at Mavericks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves
1-4
+2
+1.5-110
o211.5-110
+100
Mavericks
4-1
u210.5
-1.5-110
u211.5-110
-120
location pinWednesday 12:30 a.m.
May 29, 2024
American Airlines CenterDallas
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
167d ago
Last 30d: 27-52-0 (-18.2u)
D.Gafford o11.5 Rebs+700
0.25u
K.Irving o23.5 Pts-115
1.15u
D.Gafford o7.5 Rebs+104
1.04u
D.Gafford o9.5 Rebs+250
0.25u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
167d ago
Last 30d: 109-97-5 (+6.5u)
N.Reid o16.5 Pts+Rebs-115
2.3u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
167d ago
Last 30d: 83-109-1 (-4.0u)
DAL +110 (Live)
1.1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
167d ago
Last 30d: 191-219-3 (-26.5u)
MIN -120 (Live)
4u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
168d ago
Last 30d: 81-69-0 (+2.5u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts+100
1u
Over in 3/3 this series so far, and there are so many angles for him to get minutes tonight. - He’s been much better than KAT - Gets minutes with KAT or Gobert foul trouble (a very real possibility with the Luka/Kyrie PnR) - Might get more minutes if the Wolves are down and need points One of the above has happened in each game this series. Plus, no Lively, which eliminates the Mavs best interior defender. I see Naz getting 24+ minutes again - and he’s hit this mark in all 5 playoff games where he’s played 23+ mins.
Mike Randle
Mike Randle
168d ago
Last 30d: 22-11-0 (+8.4u)
MIN +1.5-110
0.91u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
168d ago
Last 30d: 13-12-0 (+0.2u)
A.Edwards u2.5 3pt M-128
1u
Ant must be super aggressive if MIN wants to avoid elimination and think this is still factoring in the L10 average 3PA with Game 1’s spike in 12 attempts inflating the line. If we remember, Edwards was gassed by the end of the 3rd quarter guarding Kyrie all game, and adjustments being off-ball is bringing him energy to create downhill. Since then, it’s noticeably gone down each game from 7 3PA to last game’s 2 3PA. As mentioned previously, guarding low usage players has allowed Ant to be a lot more aggressive and decisive in driving, getting to the line and because of that he’s seeing his average drives go from 15.5 the first 2 games to :rocket:28.0 in the most recent one. And with Dereck Lively out of the game, it’s a no-brainer to take a chance and switch on Gafford in PnR coverages. Mavs defenders are quick to contest at the perimeter and Ant gets his 3’s from transition or from pull-up (67% of attempts) - where the Mavs are the 2nd best overall playoff for this playtype + allow the 2nd fewest 3PT Pull-Up volume (Remember we faded Harden’s 3PA vs. them). For tonight, I’m projected at 3-7 3PA from Ant Man. He has a 72.7% hit rate in games playing 35+ MIN w/ the starters when seeing this volume: 16/22 hit rate. Ant’s prediction for KAT was that “he wants to make 8 3PM” so volume can come there. #PlayerProps
YBK Picks.com
168d ago
Last 30d: 48-51-1 (-7.8u)
MIN +1.5-105
2.86u
Over 211.5-105
2u
Joe Nelson
Joe Nelson
168d ago
Last 30d: 4-4-0 (-0.1u)
MIN +1.5-110
0.23u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
168d ago
Last 30d: 72-77-1 (+16.1u)
A.Edwards o6.5 Rebs+106
1.06u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
168d ago
Last 30d: 48-100-1 (-1.8u)
A.Edwards o6.5 Rebs+106
0.53u
#Tailing @PropBomb
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
168d ago
Last 30d: 13-12-0 (+0.2u)
A.Edwards o6.5 Rebs+106
1.06u
9 rebound on team-high 17 rebound chances last game. New defensive assignment changing from primary point of attack to helper as a low man in PnR coverages. He essentially went from “I want Kyrie” to now guarding Derrick Jones Jr. for 64% of the time in Game 3. And now because DJJ is a low-usage player, this has helped him conserve energy on offense, where he’ll need to play 40+ minutes in an elimination game. Over the L30 games, DAL averages 6th most REB vs. SG as compared to the 2nd fewest REB vs. C. Copy + paste from the last series, we saw the same strategy with SGA manning the DJJ assignment and he averages 8.0 RPG because of it. And like Chet, Gobert will have trouble converting on his rebound chance if he’s involved in Luka’s PnR or boxing out Gafford down low to contest looks. In the end, Ant should benefit. #PlayerProps
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
168d ago
Last 30d: 58-61-1 (-7.7u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115
1.15u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
168d ago
Last 30d: 83-109-1 (-4.0u)
Over 211-111
1.1u
DAL -1.5-110
1.1u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
168d ago
Last 30d: 44-62-0 (-11.9u)
L.Doncic o8.5 Rebs-105
0.95u
@JoeDellera
MIN o104.5 Team Total-110
0.91u
@ChicagoFlow
A.Edwards o33.5 Pts+Rebs-151
0.66u
@JoeDellera
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
168d ago
Last 30d: 52-69-2 (+0.3u)
A.Edwards o26.5 Pts-125
0.4u
Going down with the ship, square edition. Elimination game Ant w/ more open paint now that Lively is hurt
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
168d ago
Last 30d: 24-24-0 (+0.3u)
MIN +105
3.15u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
168d ago
Last 30d: 48-100-1 (-1.8u)
K.Anderson o7.5 Pts+Ast-125
0.63u
#Tailing @TheBMatt
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
168d ago
Last 30d: 72-77-1 (+16.1u)
K.Anderson o7.5 Pts+Ast-130
1u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
168d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN +2-110
0.91u
Under 211.5-115
0.87u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
168d ago
Last 30d: 10-19-0 (+9.9u)
K.Anderson o7.5 Pts+Ast-125
1.25u
Anderson has hit this line in his last 8 games against the Mavericks, racking up 17, 8, 11, 8, 8, 13, 12, 12 P+A in those games.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
168d ago
Last 30d: 58-78-2 (-8.9u)
A.Edwards o33.5 Pts+Rebs+100
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
168d ago
Last 30d: 52-69-2 (+0.3u)
A.Edwards o12.5 Rebs+Ast-124
0.4u
12 or more in all 3 games this series (18, 12, 19) and now that Lively is out, Edwards should see an uptick in rebound chances. All attention on Ant, which means he’ll still have to distribute given his oft-double teamed nature from DAL
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
168d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN +1.5-110
0.91u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
168d ago
Last 30d: 99-111-0 (-15.1u)
D.Gafford Double-Double Yes+340
1u
D.Gafford o10.5 Pts-115
1u
K.Towns o27.5 Pts+Rebs-115
1u
R.Gobert o10.5 Rebs-140
1.35u
A.Edwards o33.5 Pts+Ast-108
0.93u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
168d ago
Last 30d: 74-60-2 (+2.3u)
Under 211-110
0.91u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
168d ago
Last 30d: 117-118-0 (+3.0u)
MIN +106
$53.00
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
168d ago
Last 30d: 52-69-2 (+0.3u)
MIN +110
0.55u
K.Towns o18.5 Pts-125
0.4u
A good friend once told me the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. Well my friends, here we are.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
168d ago
Last 30d: 58-78-2 (-8.9u)
MIN +110
1.1u
My Game Guide: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/minnesota-timberwolves-vs-dallas-mavericks-game-4-prediction-nba-expert-pick-odds-tuesday-may-28
L.Doncic o8.5 Rebs-125
0.8u
Luka has been tremendous during this series and now will have to pick up even more slack with the injury to Dereck Lively (neck). Without Lively, we should see more minutes where Luka is looked at as the best Mavericks’ rebounder if Gafford is not on the floor. Without Lively but with Gafford, Luka has averaged 10.4 rebounds per game with 9+ in 7/8 games. This is likely because we see more minutes where Dallas either goes small or gets some minutes from Dwight Powell or Maxi Kleber (Questionable - Shoulder), neither of whom are great rebounders. While Luka has only averaged 7.7 rebounds on 11.7 chances this series, the absence of Lively is a significant intervening factor. Couple the history with the fact that he has played 40+ minutes in all three games this series, and there is room for Luka to grab 9+ rebounds.
L.Doncic o9.5 Rebs+120
0.12u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
169d ago
Last 30d: 50-46-4 (+6.5u)
MIN +120
3.6u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
169d ago
Last 30d: 48-100-1 (-1.8u)
J.McDaniels o10.5 Pts-105
0.53u
#Tailing @TheBMatt
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
169d ago
Last 30d: 10-19-0 (+9.9u)
J.McDaniels o10.5 Pts-105
1.05u

PRO Insights

Timberwolves logo

Timberwolves

MIN Insights
  • Timberwolves logoThe Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds/game this season -- 7th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds/game this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.
TRY FOR FREE
Mavericks logo

Mavericks

DAL Insights
  • Mavericks logoThe Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three in close and late situations this season -- 4th-worst in the NBA.
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Previews & Analysis

  • NBA Player Props for Wolves vs. Mavs Game 4 article feature image

    NBA Player Props for Wolves vs. Mavs Game 4

    Alex Hinton
    May 28, 2024 UTC
  • Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4: Can Minnesota Avoid Sweep? article feature image

    Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4: Can Minnesota Avoid Sweep?

    Joe Dellera
    May 28, 2024 UTC
  • Our 'Buckets' Best Bet for Tuesday article feature image

    Our 'Buckets' Best Bet for Tuesday

    Action Network Staff
    May 28, 2024 UTC
  • +575 SGP for Wolves vs Mavs Game 4 article feature image

    +575 SGP for Wolves vs Mavs Game 4

    Gilles Gallant
    May 28, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Public Betting Percentages

43%

Bets%

57%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mavericks
48-3421-2027-1432-1815-16
Timberwolves
40-40-218-22-122-18-129-31-211-9

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mavericks
36-45-116-2520-20-122-2813-17-1
Timberwolves
41-40-118-22-123-1829-32-112-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mavericks
13-9N/AN/A37-1312-19
Timberwolves
9-7N/AN/A47-159-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 27thMINW 116-107-1.5 WO 207.5DAL -120
May 25th@MINW 109-108+6 WO 207DAL +205
May 23rd@MINW 108-105+4.5 WO 207DAL +160
May 19thOKCW 117-116-4 LO 208.5DAL -180
May 16th@OKCW 104-92+4.5 WU 213DAL +157

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates

Mavericks Injuries

  • Dante Exum
    PG

    Exum is out with wrist

    Out

Timberwolves Injuries

    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Luka Doncic logo
      Luka Doncic
      28
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Luka Doncic logo
      Luka Doncic
      15
      rpg
    • assists
      Luka Doncic logo
      Luka Doncic
      10
      apg
    • shooting
      Daniel Gafford logo
      Daniel Gafford
      100
      fg%
    Team Stats
    39-74 (53%)
    Field Goals
    34-81 (42%)
    16-25 (64%)
    Free Throws
    18-21 (86%)
    11-24 (46%)
    3P
    14-41 (34%)
    40
    Rebounds
    38
    23
    Assists
    23
    Turnovers
    9
    Steals
    6
    4
    Blocks
    4
    23
    Fouls
    22

    Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds Comparison

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    Timberwolves at Mavericks Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Timberwolves
    1-4
    o105.5-106
    u105.5-114
    Mavericks
    4-1
    o106.5-104
    u106.5-118