Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2025

Cavaliers at Heat

5:00 pm • TNT

Cleveland Cavaliers

4-0

124

124 - 87

Miami Heat

0-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cavaliers 4-0	-3.5	-5-110	o211.5-109	-188
Heat 0-4	u214.5	+5-110	u211.5-111	+158

Saturday 5:00 p.m.

April 26, 2025

Kaseya CenterMiami

E.Mobley o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

D.Mitchell o5.5 Ast-115

1.15u

Under 212.5-110

0.91u

Riding low

Under 215-110

0.91u

Playoff basketball = slower pace, tougher shots. Miami allows 110.2 PPG at home, elite tempo control (88.5 opp FGA/gm). Cleveland clamps too – 112.2 opp PPG, 45.5% opp FG%. After two straight high-scoring games, expect heavy regression here. Heat thrive at home by grinding games – limit FGA, force bad looks. Cavs elite inside (Allen 10+ RPG) + strong perimeter D (36% opp 3P%). Heat offense not explosive – 110.5 PPG, 46.6 FG%. Playoff energy = fewer possessions, less transition. Last meeting popped for 233 pts – expect huge slowdown tonight. Bam owns the paint, Miami limits open looks. Cavs defense thrives ugly. Heat 7-2 ATS at home, control tempo well. Intensity up, scoring drops – perfect spot for an Under.

T.Herro o25.5 Pts+100

MIA +5.5-110

1.1u

T.Herro u5.5 Rebs-150

0.67u

MIA +5.5-108

1.08u

MIA +6-110

1.1u

T.Jerome o11.5 Pts-104

0.96u

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CLE o109.5-105

K.Ware u6.5 Rebs+100

Has grabbed 3 and 4 rebounds over the first two games of the series, but more important for me is that it’s off an average of 8.5 rebound chances. Assuming he sees a similar amount here, he’d need to convert on about 80% of his chances to clear o6.5. Also a small chance his role shrinks as the Heat are down 0-2. Could see more small-ball lineups with Haywood Highsmith or Nikola Jovic, who each saw 25+ mins last game while Ware was at 19 mins.

MIA +6-108

D.Mitchell o17.2 Pts+Ast-110

0.91u

Run it back - 18 potentials last game too!

Under 213.5-110

2.73u

Under 213.5-110

0.45u

CLE -6-110

0.91u

MIA +205

0.25u

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Heat' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	39-42-1	22-19	17-23-1	21-24	18-18-1
Cavaliers	48-33-1	22-18-1	26-15	42-31-1	6-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	44-38	25-16	19-22	26-19	18-19
Cavaliers	50-31-1	25-16	25-15-1	46-27-1	4-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	0-4	N/A	N/A	26-19	11-26
Cavaliers	5-4	N/A	N/A	60-14	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	@CLE	L 112-121	+12 W	O 213	CLE +475
Apr 20th	@CLE	L 100-121	+12.5 L	O 216	CLE +540
Apr 18th	@ATL	W 123-114	-2 W	O 221	MIA -130
Apr 16th	@CHI	W 109-90	+2 W	U 220	MIA +110
Apr 13th	WAS	L 118-119	-8.5 L	O 215.5	WAS -350