Cubs vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Cubs at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Chicago Cubs

0-0

2 - 3

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
M.Stroman			3.95	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+140	o7.5-110	-120
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-172	u7.5-110	+104

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 28, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

CHC -105

1.05u

CHC -115

0.58u

Project Stroman -150; Fish with one of the lowest wRC+ v righties

MIA +100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-142

0.7u

M.Stroman o4.5 Ks-142

MIA u3.5-112

0.89u

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The Cubs were 31-29 (.517) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Marlins are just 0-13 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The Marlins are just 80-84 (.488) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Patrick Wisdom has struck out in 34% of PA's since last season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 29% since last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Patrick Wisdom is batting just .212 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .207 (79-for-382) against Jesus Luzardo since last season -- tied for 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .593 (27 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 -- first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 9 of 28 batters (32%) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	@ATL	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +145
Apr 26th	@ATL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8	ATL +122
Apr 25th	@ATL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	ATL +198
Apr 24th	@ATL	L 0-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL +222
Apr 23rd	@CLE	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE +106

Sixto Sanchez
P
Sanchez is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	92	6.1	3	2
RM.Leiter, P	5	0.2	1	0
RM. Fulmer, P	12	1	2	0
RM.Rucker, P	14	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	1-2	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5T. Mancini, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7P.Wisdom, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7E. Hosmer, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7N.Madrigal, PR	1-1	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	0	0	0
9N.Velazquez, DH	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	96	6.1	6	2
RH.Brazoban, P	14	0.2	1	0
RD.Floro, P	10	1	0	0
LA.Puk, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	0	0
2G.Cooper, 1B	0-4	0	0
3J.Soler, DH	1-4	0	0
3G.Hampson, PR	0-0	1	0
4L.Arraez, 2B	1-2	1	0
5A.Garcia, RF	1-3	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	2-4	0	2
7J.Sanchez, LF	0-2	1	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	0-3	0	0