Marlins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2023

Marlins at Braves

4:20 pm • MLB Network

Miami Marlins

19-28

5 - 4

Atlanta Braves

24-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Wright			6.97	1-3
B.Garrett			3.66	9-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 19-28	+1.5-130	o8.5-108	+145
Braves 24-24	-1.5+110	u8.5-112	-175

Thursday 4:20 p.m.

April 27, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

MIA u3.5-112

Over 4.5 (F5)-112

Thought it was being rained out, let’s get heartbroken

MIA +152

0.76u

K.Wright o5.5 Ks+120

0.6u

K.Wright o4.5 Ks-137

0.36u

MIA +1+105

2.1u

Over 4.5 (F5)-121

1.21u

MIA +151

0.45u

ATL o4.5-105

0.6u

Best bet at Caesars: The Braves are mushing lefties this year (143 wRC+). Garrett has danced and dodged his way to a nice ERA so far but he’s allowing a lot of hard contact which is trouble for against this Braves lineup. The Marlins pen is also among the worst in baseball, so I’m targeting full game I also like this home team team total over because I also don’t have much faith in Kyle Wright so they may well get the bottom of the ninth still

MIA +1.5-140

ATL -0.5 (F5)-120

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

0.58u

Bet to -120

MIA +170

0.85u

Bet to +160

Thursday's Sneaky MLB Sharp Betting Pick
PJ Walsh•
Apr 27, 2023 UTC
Our Staff's Best Bets From Thursday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Apr 27, 2023 UTC
Marlins vs. Braves: Expect Atlanta's Bat to Stay Hot
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 27, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 5-3 (.625) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Yuli Gurriel is slugging just .367 since last season -- 10th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Kyle Wright has allowed a SLG of just .303 vs right-handed batters since last season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm has a groundball rate of 60% this season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% against Kyle Wright this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (250/514) with two-strikes since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (172/272) against Kyle Wright since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 10-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Braves' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	22-26	12-10	10-16	15-21	7-5
Marlins	24-23	14-13	10-10	2-4	21-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	18-26-4	7-13-2	11-13-2	14-20-2	4-6-2
Marlins	29-18	16-11	13-7	3-3	26-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	24-24	15-7	9-17	20-16	4-8
Marlins	19-28	13-14	6-14	4-2	15-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -145
Apr 25th	MIA	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9	ATL -245
Apr 24th	MIA	W 11-0	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -275
Apr 23rd	HOU	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8	HOU -136
Apr 22nd	HOU	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU -120

Ronald Acuna
RF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	48	3	3	0
RM.Barnes, P	34	1	1	4
LS.Okert, P	7	1	1	0
LD. Smeltzer, P	34	2	2	0
LA.Puk, P	14	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1
2G.Cooper, DH	1-5	0	2
3B.De La Cruz, LF	0-5	0	0
4L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	1	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-3	0	0
5J.Soler, PH	0-1	0	0
5J.Soler, RF	0-1	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	2-4	1	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-4	1	1
8N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0
9G.Hampson, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Garcia, PH	1-1	0	1
9J.Berti, PR	0-0	1	0
9J.Berti, SS	0-0	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Wright, P	45	3	6	0
RC. McHugh, P	23	2	1	0
LD.Lee, P	12	1	2	0
RK.Yates, P	21	1	0	0
RN.Anderson, P	11	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	23	0.2	2	5
RJ.Chavez, P	10	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-3	0	1
2M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0
4O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0
5S.Murphy, DH	0-3	1	0
6V.Grissom, SS	1-4	1	0
7E.Rosario, LF	2-4	1	0
8K.Pillar, CF	1-2	1	1
8S.Hilliard, PH	0-1	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	1-3	0	1
9E.Adrianza, PH	0-1	0	0