Saints vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - January 4, 2026

@gneiffer07 https://myaction.app/Rn4JKP7ZBZb

You know how the ACC had Duke play Virginia in the conference championship but then sent Miami to the playoff instead? I'd love to see the NFC South send the Saints to the playoffs — because New Orleans has been the best team in the division for half a season. The Saints have won five of seven, including 3-1 against the division in that span. Over the last eight weeks — that's two months! — the New Orleans Saints are a top 12 team by both DVOA and EPA. The defense has been especially good during that stretch, second in EPA per play and first in Success Rate. The run defense has been strong all season, and now the pass D is way up too, with a defense effectively equal to Seattle in metrics these past two months. That great run defense will be key against Bijan Robinson and the Falcons, and New Orleans also plays a lot of single-high looks, which Atlanta's offense ranks bottom five against by EPA. If the Panthers lose to the Bucs on Saturday, this game determines the NFC South champion, and Tampa would need a Saints win to keep their season alive. I like their chances. Tyler Shough looks legitimately good, like New Orleans has found its QB of the future, and the Saints have a good shot to finish the season on a five-game win streak and head into the offseason with aplomb. A win here would also make Shough a pretty attractive Rookie of the Year bet at +195 (FanDuel). The Falcons have a higher ceiling but are wildly inconsistent. The Saints are the better team and are worth playing past the key number at +3.5, with a portion of the bet on the +160 moneyline (bet365).

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/lgLexYHQBZb

@BKPicks https://myaction.app/KrRUZsYMBZb

@sundaysixpack @Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/SNKRu2nuBZb

@Stuckey2 3 https://myaction.app/SNKRu2nuBZb

Full disclosure. I this is a bit of a middle opportunity for me. My biggest preseason bet was on the saints team total under 6.5…I bet it the day Derek Carr announced his retirement. I’m greedy and I want to hit both bets here. But this is a saints spot through and through…falcons off a fluke win on Monday night, the rams had about 5 opportunities to win that game in regulation…its just a natural letdown spot for a team off a big win on a short week. The Saints have found something in Tyler Shough, but the real impressive part of what they’ve done has been on defense. Over the 4-game win streak, they’ve held opponents to just 17ppg. Since their blowout loss to the Rams in Week 9, the Saints have the NFL's No. 1 total defense and No. 2 scoring defense.