Raiders vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - October 5, 2025

No bowers. Don’t really want much of this especially with no Miller too

Sneaky little whore

FD

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Proj him closer to 5.0 with around a 60% chance to stay under 5.5

Ashton Jeanty over 66.5 rush yds (-114 at FD/DK) Jeanty's rushing profile so far in his 4-game NFL career matches up well against the Colts Jeanty has run 66.2% of the time with a zone blocking scheme, with a 46.7% success rate and 5.3 yards per carry compared to 33.3% SR and 1.86 ypc with man/gap schemes The Colts allow the 4th worst success rate and yards per carry to zone schemes Filtering out runs inside the 15-yard line, Jeanty has his best yards per carry on rush attempts to the left, coming in at 5.1 even after removing his 64-yard TD run against the bears, which was also a run to the left, which is also the direction he has the most volume of the three options (left, middle, right) Similarly, on runs 15+ yards away from the end zone, the Colts fare worst on rushes to the left compared to middle or right, allowing 7.4 yards per carry on running back runs to the left for a 52.6% success rate Jeanty's volume has remained relatively game-script proof, running for 16.3 attempts in 3 losses to 19 attempts in their lone win As significant underdogs here, 15.5 attempts is reasonable for Jeanty, meaning he'd need 4.3 yards per carry to clear this line, but with the efficiency profile being about as good as it gets, I have him clearing 4.3 yards per carry. Fanatics has over 65.5 -110 if you have access to that book and BetRivers/Kambi has over 62.5 at -117 if you have that book.

There may be some value on the receptions prop for Adonai Mitchell. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 3.02 receptions, and the oddsmakers are implying 2.43. The model believes there is a 54% chance he records at least 2.5 receptions, so there is value on the over at +148. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

This is my first time at Action Network where I’ve bet a minus odds Anytime TD prop as a single bet. This might blow up in my face but I have his ATD odds at -240 so going to play the value here.

Smaller. Riding with the 6 pack since I just can’t get to this number. Need 7.

@sundaysixpack @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/EndAFkDG7Wb

@ChrisRaybon 2 https://myaction.app/EndAFkDG7Wb

#SundaySixPack

Have the Colts as four-point favorites here. Still skeptical of their defense, and the Raiders' offense has been decent down-to-down. They just need to cut out the implosions, which may be easier said than done.