Panthers vs Saints Odds & Live Scores - December 14, 2025

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Panthers 7-6	-1.5	-2.5-120	o40.5-110	-155
Saints 3-10	u43.5	+2.5+100	u40.5-110	+130

T.Shough u22.5 Rush Yds-115

0.58u

Was going to get to this one soon but @nick_giffen beat me to it

T.Shough u22.5 Rush Yds-115

0.29u

Tailing @nick_giffen

T.Shough u22.5 Rush Yds-115

1.5u

Tyler Shough under 22.5 rush yds (-115 at MGM) I'm showing way under this as this line is severely inflated from a 55 yard performance against Tampa Bay who allows a top-two QB adjusted scramble rate in the NFL. Shough goes from that to a bottom four matchup for scrambles, with the Panthers allowing both the fourth lowest raw QB scramble rate and the fourth lowest QB-adjusted scramble rate. A lot of that stems from the Panthers lack of pressure (31st in PrROE) and their high use of Cover 3 (2nd most), which keeps an extra man in the box in zone coverage facing the QB. When QBs do scramble against Carolina, it comes with the fourth-lowest yards per carry in the league. I'm projecting Shough for 18 with a median closer to 14.5 so there's value at every book out there.

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425

0.35u

T.Hill 2+ TDs Yes+4000

0.15u

J.Johnson o37.5 Rec Yds-110

0.75u

Stop me if you've heard this before, but this is another game I make close to a coin flip. The Panthers are better as underdogs than favorites, and this is a bad matchup with the Saints run defense, especially with Tyler Shough playing surprisingly well. Shough has had good chemistry with TE Juwan Johnson, and tight ends have ravaged Carolina all season. The Panthers rank dead last by DVOA against tight ends and bottom five against middle passes, and they've allowed the sixth most yards to TEs. Johnson's snaps are down of late with Taysom Hill back in the lineup but his stats haven't dropped at all. He's catching almost 80% of his looks, getting a better, more catchable ball from Shough, and averaging 4.4 catches for 49 yards with his rookie QB. Bet Juwan Johnson to go over 37.5 receiving yards (bet365), a line he's hit four games in a row, and let's play a little escalator. Johnson has at least five catches in over half his games (7 of 13), including twice with Shough, so play 5+ receptions at +165 (bet365). He caught four balls for 92 yards against Carolina a month ago and has two other games at 70+ yards, and the Panthers have allowed that number four times this season, so sprinkle 70+ yards at +500 (bet365) too.

J.Johnson 5+ Receptions Yes+165

0.35u

Stop me if you've heard this before, but this is another game I make close to a coin flip. The Panthers are better as underdogs than favorites, and this is a bad matchup with the Saints run defense, especially with Tyler Shough playing surprisingly well. Shough has had good chemistry with TE Juwan Johnson, and tight ends have ravaged Carolina all season. The Panthers rank dead last by DVOA against tight ends and bottom five against middle passes, and they've allowed the sixth most yards to TEs. Johnson's snaps are down of late with Taysom Hill back in the lineup but his stats haven't dropped at all. He's catching almost 80% of his looks, getting a better, more catchable ball from Shough, and averaging 4.4 catches for 49 yards with his rookie QB. Bet Juwan Johnson to go over 37.5 receiving yards (bet365), a line he's hit four games in a row, and let's play a little escalator. Johnson has at least five catches in over half his games (7 of 13), including twice with Shough, so play 5+ receptions at +165 (bet365). He caught four balls for 92 yards against Carolina a month ago and has two other games at 70+ yards, and the Panthers have allowed that number four times this season, so sprinkle 70+ yards at +500 (bet365) too.

J.Johnson 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+500

0.15u

Stop me if you've heard this before, but this is another game I make close to a coin flip. The Panthers are better as underdogs than favorites, and this is a bad matchup with the Saints run defense, especially with Tyler Shough playing surprisingly well. Shough has had good chemistry with TE Juwan Johnson, and tight ends have ravaged Carolina all season. The Panthers rank dead last by DVOA against tight ends and bottom five against middle passes, and they've allowed the sixth most yards to TEs. Johnson's snaps are down of late with Taysom Hill back in the lineup but his stats haven't dropped at all. He's catching almost 80% of his looks, getting a better, more catchable ball from Shough, and averaging 4.4 catches for 49 yards with his rookie QB. Bet Juwan Johnson to go over 37.5 receiving yards (bet365), a line he's hit four games in a row, and let's play a little escalator. Johnson has at least five catches in over half his games (7 of 13), including twice with Shough, so play 5+ receptions at +165 (bet365). He caught four balls for 92 yards against Carolina a month ago and has two other games at 70+ yards, and the Panthers have allowed that number four times this season, so sprinkle 70+ yards at +500 (bet365) too.

J.Johnson o37.5 Rec Yds-110

1u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/WY2kO2TT2Yb

J.Johnson 5+ Receptions Yes+165

0.61u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/WY2kO2TT2Yb

J.Johnson 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+500

0.2u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/WY2kO2TT2Yb

D.Vele Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/Se0f2bFP2Yb

M.Evans Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1100

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/Se0f2bFP2Yb

R.Dowdle o13.5 Rush Att-113

1u

NO +2.5-110

1u

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NFL Public Betting

Saints are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Saints are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Saints are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Saints' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Saints' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	5-8	1-5	4-3	1-1	4-7
Panthers	8-5	4-2	4-3	0-1	8-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Saints	4-9	1-5	3-4	0-2	4-7
Panthers	7-6	4-2	3-4	0-1	7-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	3-10	N/A	N/A	1-1	2-9
Panthers	7-6	N/A	N/A	0-1	7-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 7th	@TB	W 24-20	+7.5 W	O 41.5	NO +322
Nov 30th	@MIA	L 17-21	+5.5 W	U 41.5	MIA +207
Nov 23rd	ATL	L 10-24	-1.5 L	U 41	ATL -122
Nov 9th	@CAR	W 17-7	+5.5 W	U 37.5	NO +200
Nov 2nd	@LA	L 10-34	+14 L	U 44.5	LA +750

Alvin Kamara
RB
Kamara is out with knee
Out
Kendre Miller
RB
Miller is out with knee
Out

David Moore
WR
Moore is out with elbow
Out
Damarri Mathis
CB
Mathis is out with knee
Out

See more NFL Injuries

passing yards
Spencer Rattler
1586
pyds
passing touchdowns
Spencer Rattler
8
ptd
rushing yards
Alvin Kamara
471
ryds
rushing touchdowns
Tyler Shough
2
rtd

	Starter	2ND	3RD	4TH
QB	Spencer Rattler	Tyler Shough	Jake Haener
RB	Alvin Kamara	Kendre Miller	Devin Neal
WR	Devaughn Vele	Dante Pettis
TE	Juwan Johnson	Foster Moreau	Taysom Hill	Treyton Welch	Jack Stoll	Moliki Matavao
LT	Kelvin Banks	Landon Young	Barry Wesley
LG	Dillon Radunz	Easton Kilty
C	Erik McCoy	Luke Fortner
RG	Cesar Ruiz	Torricelli Simpkins
RT	Taliese Fuaga
RDE	Nathan Shepherd	Jonathan Bullard	Jonah Williams
WLB	Pete Werner	Jaylan Ford	Nephi Sewell
MLB	Demario Davis	Danny Stutsman	Nephi Sewell
LCB	Isaac Yiadom	Quincy Riley	Dalys Beanum
SS	Justin Reid	Jordan Howden	Terrell Burgess
FS	Julian Blackmon	Jonas Sanker	Elliott Davison
RCB	Kool-Aid McKinstry	Rejzohn Wright
P	Kai Kroeger
H	Kai Kroeger
PR	Dante Pettis	Jayden Price
KR	Kendre Miller	Jayden Price
LS	Zach Wood
ROLB	Carl Granderson	Chris Rumph	Fadil Diggs
NB	Alontae Taylor	Ugo Amadi	Jayden Price
DT	Bryan Bresee	Vernon Broughton
LOLB	Chase Young	Cameron Jordan
NT	Davon Godchaux	Khristian Boyd	John Ridgeway
LWR	Chris Olave	Mason Tipton	Kevin Austin
K	Charlie Smyth

Total

Passing

2414

YDS

2592

255/400

Comps/Atts

295/446

6.575

YPA

6.316

19/10

TDs/INTs

13/11

30/216

Sacks/Yards

35/225

Panthers

Rushing

Saints

1631

Rush Yards

1227

370

Attempts

336

4.408

YPC

3.652

7

TDs

6

Panthers

Turnovers

Saints

Fumbles Lost

10

Interceptions

11

Panthers

Efficiency

Saints

19/38 50%

Redzone

14/34 41.18%

59/160 0%

3rd Down

64/168 0%

21/30 0%

4th Down

9/27 0%

Panthers

First Downs

Saints

249

Total

237

138

Pass

131

88

Rush

78

23

Penalty

28

Panthers

Misc

Saints

/

Penalties/Yards

/

Possession

Panthers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - December 14, 2025

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