Colts vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Predictions - November 2, 2025

Boyd / FanDuel

Boomer’s Book

Sharp prop betting often ties back to projected game scripts. When I see value on a team ATS, I’ll usually look for correlated prop value within that same script..but in this case, the spread itself is where I’m showing the most value. I’m projecting this closer to Steelers +2.5, and while I checked for value in “Steelers covering” game script props, nothing stood out as much as simply backing the side. The Colts look like a legit Super Bowl contender, but this could also be the point where their market perception peaks (though I could be wrong and they’re just one of the best teams of the last decade, it’s certainly possible). Either way, getting Pittsburgh +3.5 at home (Colts winning by 3 exactly is the most likely outcome) is where I’m showing the most value in this matchup.

This sure looks like a clear Rah Rah spot for the Steelers and a chance to back Mike Tomlin, with Pittsburgh at home coming off a loss and a defense totally embarrassed, but I can't do it. Some trends die at the end of a great career, and we might be reaching that point for Tomlin and/or Aaron Rodgers, and this Colts offense has been so good that it sure looks on paper like Indianapolis could put the final nail in this Steel Curtain defense. I'd rather invest in another tight end against Pittsburgh. We played a flurry of TEs last week for National Tight Ends Day. Tucker Kraft was my favorite going in, and he didn't disappoint, smashing the Steelers to the tune of 7/43/2. Pittsburgh has also allowed 8/90/2 to Hunter Henry and 7/81 to Harold Fannin. The Steelers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing TEs, the second-most touchdowns, and the most yards per game at 79. This old defense just can't cover tight ends. Tyler Warren has had an outstanding rookie season. He's caught at least 38 yards in every game, and he has at least four catches for 53 yards in six of his eight games. That would be enough to hit the over 52.5 receiving yards line at BetMGM, and it's well below Pittsburgh's average. Warren has scored a touchdown in four of his last five, and he gets short rushing opportunities sometimes, too. Pittsburgh has already allowed six TE touchdowns, so Warren is worth an Anytime TD play at +145 (bet365) — just be careful you bet Tyler, not Steelers RB Jaylen Warren. You can bet over 52.5 yards and a score together at +225 (Hard Rock), and perhaps a touch on two scores at +1100 (bet365) in case Tyler Warren does what Kraft and Henry did against Pittsburgh already.

2.5 home vs GB but now getting the hook at home vs an overvalued Indy team that has benefited from strength of schedule and their only 3 road games being @ LAC, LAR(no real HFA), and the corpse of the Titans. Pitt should be able to keep up vs a Colts defense that has some issues at the moment. Media is treating em like a juggernaut, but look who they’ve played. This has to be peak of the market for Indy Tomlin Home Dog: 21-8-3(72.4%) Tomlin Home Dog off L: 11-4(73.3%)

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/Ejv6Hiy9UXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/o8f8S6B7UXb

@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/UF42Qup2UXb

Px POD

@sundaysixpack @Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/4zetPc3nTXb

@Stuckey2 1 https://myaction.app/4zetPc3nTXb