Browns vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Predictions - September 14, 2025

Boyd / FanDuel

10-15 snaps likely still =5.7 carries after Ford 6-8 and Sampson 12-29 last week. They think more of him than Sanders who got 3 last week.

Projection: 0.97 TDs, -462. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.

Yeah

365

Quinshon Judkins is expected to make his debut this week, and while the Browns will obviously ease him in after missing all of camp and preseason, he’s still likely to mix in on early down/short yardage work and eat into Sampson’s role there (Sampson was the lead back on early downs last week). The Browns had the 4th highest early-down pass rate in Week 1, and that was in a close game throughout. Against the Ravens in what could turn into more of a blowout, I’d expect a much heavier passing attack, especially with how strong Baltimore’s run defense is. The Browns also ran 71 plays in Week 1, so we should see a massive dip in overall play volume as well. Sampson should still mix in as a pass catcher.. he was far more effective there than as a runner in Week 1. But if we get garbage time with the Browns trailing big, I think mop-up carries are more likely to go to Judkins or even Raheim Sanders (if active). Typically when teams break in a back, even in preseason, they give them at least 4–5 carries. That’s about where I project Judkins right away, and with the Browns needing to get him up to speed quickly (especially with a potential suspension looming), there’s a good chance he gets more work than the market expects. If Judkins doesn’t suit up, I wouldn’t play this. In that case I’d pivot to fading Sampson’s rush yards instead. But assuming Judkins is active, I project Sampson closer to 8–8.5 attempts with about a 60% chance to stay under 9.5. It’s a volatile spot, but there are way more outs for his floor to hit than the market realizes.

#Tailing @nick_giffen

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Hopkins flashed in his Ravens debut with a 2/35/1 line, highlighted by a vintage one-handed 29-yard score. It was the type of catch he’s made many times in his potential Hall of Fame career. But the underlying usage tells a different story. Hopkins only ran 11 routes (55% route rate) and was used strictly in 11 personnel.. a grouping the Ravens deploy at one of the lowest rates in the league. Baltimore leaned on it more in Week 1 because Patrick Ricard and Isaiah Likely were out, and both will be out again this week. Even so, the Ravens stayed relatively run-heavy in a back-and-forth game. Now, as double-digit favorites, the script points to an even more run-centric approach, which could further cap Hopkins’ routes. He was efficient on limited volume last week, catching both of his targets, but according to Next Gen Stats his touchdown grab had only a 33% chance of being completed. Without that low-probability catch, he would have finished with just 6 yards. That highlights the volatility here: Hopkins can always pop for a 20-plus yard gain, but his floor is much lower than the line suggests. I project his median closer to 17.5 yards with about a 60% chance he stays under 22.5. Adding to the concern, the Browns’ CB duo of Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome looked excellent in Week 1, and Cleveland allowed the 8th-lowest yards per route run to WRs in 11 personnel.. against the Bengals, no less.

See note from rec yds prop I tracked

@Stuckey2 Favorite Total https://myaction.app/ZxcCww53zWb

Could see this moving either way so small position at 45 while monitoring market

Think the Ravens' offense should be able to name its score here. Joe Flacco also makes the Browns faster due to how pass-heavy they tend to be with him in there.