Penn State vs. Texas A&M Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023

Penn State at Texas A&M

2:16 am • TBS

Penn State Nittany Lions

16-15

76 - 59

Texas A&M Aggies

22-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Penn State 16-15	+2.5-110	o136-110	+120
Texas A&M 22-10	-2.5-110	u136-110	-140

Friday 2:16 a.m.

March 17, 2023

Wells Fargo ArenaDes Moines

TXAM -145

1.45u

Under 137.5-105

0.95u

TXAM +10.5 (Live)-117

TXAM -5 (2H)-110

1.1u

TXAM +5.5 (Live)-115

0.1u

PSU +2.5 (Live)-115

0.09u

TXAM -140 (1H)

1.2u

TXAM -2-125

1.75u

PSU +2.5-110

W.Taylor o17.5 Pts-114

0.3u

Via @PropBetGuy

W.Taylor o17.5 Pts-128

1.28u

Checks all my boxes: over in 9/L11, and shot really well on the road this season. Highest usage on the team, and his strength as a scorer (the above the break three) is PSU’s weakness (allowed 35% at an above average rate). Averaged 16.9 ppg in conference in 30.1 mpg, but I have him closer to 34 in a very plus matchup.

PSU +3-120

0.83u

Fuck it

PSU +1.5 (1H)-110

PSU +2.5-105

TXAM -2.5-110

C.Wynter u3.5 Rebs-115

Wynter has cleared this in 7 of his last 12 starts but two of those were assisted by OT. A&M gets to the FT line at the 3rd highest rate in the country and has the 6th best offensive rebound rate. They also lean a ton on 2 point shots which means Wynter (6’2”) will # be in position for a rebound at a lower rate based on this matchup. Projecting him closer to 2.9 with a 64% chance of staying under

J.Marble u12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

Projection - 11.2: For more, check out BettingPros.

PSU +3-110

0.91u

#mattcox #stuckey @threemanweave @Stuckey2

TXAM -2.5-110

TXAM -140

0.25u

#KeepRollingItUp Adding TAMU since we lost Miss St in play-in

J.Marble u8.5 Pts-130

FD: This is a tempo-down game for Marble as Penn St. plays at a bottom 50 pace in the country. They also allow a bottom 50 rate of points scored at the line, and that's where Marble scores 20.5% of his points from (compared to 18.3% nationally). And although Penn St. doesn't draw fouls, I definitely like taking unders on Marble, as he is prone to foul trouble. Projecting him for 6.9 points.

TXAM -3-110

1.1u

Play of the year

A.Funk u3.5 Rebs-120

1.2u

Given out on podcast

PSU +3-110

$100.00

Over 134.5-110

PSU +3-107

0.47u

PSU +135

0.68u

PSU +3-108

0.5u

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See more NCAAB Coverage

Penn St. is the public's third favorite No. 10 seed upset pick, showing up in 42% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Since 2002, No. 7 seeds like Texas A&M are 49-30 against No. 10 seeds like Penn St. in the First Round (62.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -163).

No. 7 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 45-34 ATS (57.0% cover rate, average spread -1.5).

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Texas A&M are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Texas A&M are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texas A&M are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Texas A&M' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Texas A&M' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texas A&M	17-13-2	10-7-1	7-6-1	11-9-1	6-4-1
Penn State	16-15	8-9	8-6	7-10	9-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texas A&M	13-19	8-10	5-9	9-12	4-7
Penn State	12-18-1	8-8-1	4-10	6-10-1	6-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texas A&M	22-10	N/A	N/A	16-5	6-5
Penn State	16-15	N/A	N/A	13-4	3-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 12th	@ALA	L 63-82	+5 L	U 145.5	ALA +180
Mar 11th	VAN	W 87-75	-5.5 W	O 139.5	TXAM -250
Mar 11th	ARK	W 67-61	-1 W	U 138.5	TXAM -115
Mar 4th	ALA	W 67-61	-1.5 W	U 153.5	TXAM -125
Mar 1st	@MISS	W 69-61	-5 W	U 136.5	TXAM -225

Puff Johnson
G/F
Johnson is questionable with hand
Questionable
Yanic Konan Niederhauser
F
Konan Niederhauser is questionable with foot
Questionable

Eli Rice
G
Rice is out for season with undisclosed
Out for Season

Zach Clemence
F
Clemence is out with groin
Out

See more NCAAB Injuries

Penn State

Texas A&M

27-56 (48%)

Field Goals

20-59 (34%)

9-11 (82%)

Free Throws

9-12 (75%)

13-22 (59%)

10-34 (29%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Penn State 16-15	N/A	N/A
Texas A&M 22-10	N/A	N/A

Penn State vs. Texas A&M Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023

Penn State at Texas A&M

Penn State Nittany Lions

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Penn State at Texas A&M Odds

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Penn State vs. Texas A&M Public Betting Percentages

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