Miami (FL) vs. Houston Odds & Betting Predictions - March 24, 2023

Miami (FL) at Houston

11:15 pm • CBS

Miami (FL) Hurricanes

7-24

89 - 75

Houston Cougars

30-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Miami (FL) 7-24	+7.5-110	o140.5-106	+280
Houston 30-4	-7.5-110	u140.5-110	-350

Friday 11:15 p.m.

March 24, 2023

T-Mobile CenterKansas City

MIA +7.5-110

HOU +7.5 (Live)-112

0.1u

HOU -136 (Live)

1.36u

HOU -138 (Live)

0.2u

HOU -8-110

1.1u

MIA +8-110

0.91u

MIA +275

1.38u

M.Sasser o2.5 Ast+100

If you exclude the two games he barely played due to his injury, he’s cleared this in 13 of last 18 (72%). Houston averaged 75.3 points/g over that stretch and their team total of 73.3 isn’t too far off from that. Sasser should be closer to 100% with the extra rest and play 33-37 minutes tonight. Miami sends their opponents to the line at the 14th lowest rate and I think that’s the factor that will help him get to 3+ assists tonight. We are projecting him closer to 3.5 with a 65% chance of clearing 2.5

HOU -7.5-105

3.15u

HOU -3.5 (1H)-122

0.61u

HOU -11.5+180

0.75u

Over 139-115

HOU -22.5+700

0.25u

Escalator SZN When Larranaga goes down, he goes down hard. Avg tourney loss by 17.3ppg with losses by 15 18 20 23 24 26 32. Houston has 20 wins by 14+, 14 by 23 to cover this. If Cougars win, they may roll. https://medium.com/sportsraid/2023-second-chance-ncaa-bracket-march-madness-history-college-basketball-alabama-houston-ucla-texas-1717ec265ecf

HOU -13.5+230

0.5u

1s vs 4-5 seeds on 10-3 streak, 77% all time. 1v5 are 30-6, 6-1 when 1 is non power conf. History is clear on who wins this game. Miami D terrible and there for the taking and houston should dominate physically and on the glass and slow Miami down. When Larranaga goes down, he goes down hard. Average tourney loss by 17.3ppg with losses by 15 18 20 23 24 26 32. Houston has 20 wins by 14+ this year and leads nation in kill shot runs. If Cougars win, they may roll. Playing alts. https://medium.com/sportsraid/2023-second-chance-ncaa-bracket-march-madness-history-college-basketball-alabama-houston-ucla-texas-1717ec265ecf

HOU -7.5-110

1.1u

HOU -7-120

HOU -7.5-105

MIA +280

1.4u

Bet at Bet365. Betting in Mexico while drinking. Tail & drink responsibly.

HOU -7.5-110

$55.00

MIA +7.5-110

MIA +3.5 (1H)-105

0.95u

#mattcox @threemanweave

MIA +7.5-108

0.25u

HOU -7.5-108

1.08u

J.Shead u13.5 Pts-115

1.15u

Under this line in 27/33 full games with Sasser. Struggling with his shot of late (36% over the L6 games, 26% from three) and Sampson said he’s been playing at less than 100%. Miami’s pressure defense should force him to be more of a facilitator tonight. Miami does push the pace, but HOU is implied at ~73 points, below their season average of 74. Shead is only averaging 11.5 ppg per 36 mins this season.

MIA +7.5-110

0.91u

M.Sasser o2.5 Ast+105

1.05u

Projection - 2.9: For more, check out BettingPros.

HOU -7-115

1.15u

HOU -6.5-110

1.65u

ligma wong

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See more NCAAB Coverage

As of the start of the Sweet 16, the most likely team to make the Final Four from this region is No. 1 Houston, with 46.0% odds.

Halfway through the Sweet Sixteen, Houston is the least likely No. 1 seed to make the Final Four, with 45.9% odds (breakeven moneyline +118).

Since 2002, No. 1 seeds like Houston are 19-6 against No. 5 seeds like Miami in the Sweet Sixteen (76.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -317).

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Houston are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Houston are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Houston are 7-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Houston' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Houston' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Houston	18-16	11-12	7-4	17-16	1-0
Miami (FL)	11-20	6-11	5-9	3-9	8-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Houston	14-19-1	10-13	4-6-1	13-19-1	1-0
Miami (FL)	19-12	11-6	8-6	9-3	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Houston	30-4	N/A	N/A	29-4	1-0
Miami (FL)	7-24	N/A	N/A	4-8	2-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 18th	AUB	W 81-64	-5.5 W	O 132.5	HOU -250
Mar 17th	NKU	W 63-52	-19.5 L	U 121.5	HOU -4500
Mar 12th	MEM	L 65-75	-5.5 L	O 135.5	MEM -250
Mar 11th	CIN	W 69-48	-9.5 W	U 135.5	HOU -550
Mar 10th	ECU	W 60-46	-22.5 L	U 133.5	HOU -8000

J'Wan Roberts
F
Roberts is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Mylik Wilson
G
Wilson is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable

Ramon Walker
G
Walker is out with hand
Out

Ja'Vier Francis
F
Francis is probable with concussion
Probable
Terrance Arceneaux
G
Arceneaux is questionable with achilles
Questionable
Emanuel Sharp
G
Sharp is out with ankle
Out
Jacob McFarland
C
McFarland is out with leg
Out

Nijel Pack
G
Pack is out with foot
Out
Lynn Kidd
C
Kidd is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Matthew Cleveland
G
Cleveland is questionable with leg
Questionable
Paul Djobet
G
Djobet is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable

See more NCAAB Injuries

Miami (FL)

Houston

31-60 (52%)

Field Goals

24-64 (38%)

16-19 (84%)

Free Throws

18-20 (90%)

11-25 (44%)

9-31 (29%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

See more NCAAB Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Miami (FL) 7-24	N/A	N/A
Houston 30-4	N/A	N/A

Miami (FL) vs. Houston Odds & Betting Predictions - March 24, 2023

Miami (FL) at Houston

Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Houston Cougars

Miami (FL) at Houston Odds

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Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Miami (FL) vs. Houston Public Betting Percentages

Miami (FL)

Public

Houston

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Houston vs. Miami (FL) Injury Updates

Houston Injuries

Miami (FL) Injuries

Miami (FL) vs. Houston Odds Comparison

Miami (FL) at Houston Team Totals