Miami (FL) vs. Houston Odds & Betting Predictions - March 24, 2023
Miami (FL) at Houston
11:15 pm • CBSMiami (FL) at Houston Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami (FL) 7-24 | +7.5-110 | o140.5-106 | +280 | |
 Houston 30-4 | -7.5-110 | u140.5-110 | -350 | |
T-Mobile CenterKansas City
Miami (FL) vs. Houston Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 64-70-1 (-16.4u)
MIA +7.5-110
3u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 19-12-0 (+3.4u)
HOU +7.5 (Live)-112
0.1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -136 (Live)
1.36u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 19-12-0 (+3.4u)
HOU -138 (Live)
0.2u
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 5-24-0 (+44.1u)
HOU -8-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 90-82-5 (+5.8u)
MIA +8-110
0.91u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 61-40-1 (+16.8u)
MIA +275
1.38u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 35-29-0 (+7.7u)
M.Sasser o2.5 Ast+100
1u
If you exclude the two games he barely played due to his injury, he’s cleared this in 13 of last 18 (72%). Houston averaged 75.3 points/g over that stretch and their team total of 73.3 isn’t too far off from that. Sasser should be closer to 100% with the extra rest and play 33-37 minutes tonight. Miami sends their opponents to the line at the 14th lowest rate and I think that’s the factor that will help him get to 3+ assists tonight. We are projecting him closer to 3.5 with a 65% chance of clearing 2.5
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 42-33-3 (+9.4u)
HOU -7.5-105
3.15u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
HOU -3.5 (1H)-122
0.61u
HOU -11.5+180
0.75u
Over 139-115
1u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 34-67-0 (+14.7u)
HOU -22.5+700
0.25u
Escalator SZN
When Larranaga goes down, he goes down hard. Avg tourney loss by 17.3ppg with losses by 15 18 20 23 24 26 32. Houston has 20 wins by 14+, 14 by 23 to cover this. If Cougars win, they may roll.
https://medium.com/sportsraid/2023-second-chance-ncaa-bracket-march-madness-history-college-basketball-alabama-houston-ucla-texas-1717ec265ecf
HOU -13.5+230
0.5u
1s vs 4-5 seeds on 10-3 streak, 77% all time. 1v5 are 30-6, 6-1 when 1 is non power conf. History is clear on who wins this game. Miami D terrible and there for the taking and houston should dominate physically and on the glass and slow Miami down.
When Larranaga goes down, he goes down hard. Average tourney loss by 17.3ppg with losses by 15 18 20 23 24 26 32. Houston has 20 wins by 14+ this year and leads nation in kill shot runs. If Cougars win, they may roll. Playing alts.
https://medium.com/sportsraid/2023-second-chance-ncaa-bracket-march-madness-history-college-basketball-alabama-houston-ucla-texas-1717ec265ecf
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 225-255-5 (-14.2u)
HOU -7.5-110
1.1u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 105-158-5 (-12.7u)
HOU -7-120
1u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 4-2-0 (+0.8u)
HOU -7.5-105
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 55-39-1 (+12.7u)
MIA +280
1.4u
Bet at Bet365. Betting in Mexico while drinking. Tail & drink responsibly.
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-125-17 (-3.2u)
HOU -7.5-110
$55.00
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 81-99-3 (+6.0u)
MIA +7.5-110
1u
Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +3.5 (1H)-105
0.95u
#mattcox @threemanweave
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 190-187-20 (+1.5u)
MIA +7.5-108
0.25u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-83-1 (+18.1u)
HOU -7.5-108
1.08u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Shead u13.5 Pts-115
1.15u
Under this line in 27/33 full games with Sasser. Struggling with his shot of late (36% over the L6 games, 26% from three) and Sampson said he’s been playing at less than 100%.
Miami’s pressure defense should force him to be more of a facilitator tonight. Miami does push the pace, but HOU is implied at ~73 points, below their season average of 74. Shead is only averaging 11.5 ppg per 36 mins this season.
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 4-16-1 (-2.9u)
MIA +7.5-110
0.91u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Sasser o2.5 Ast+105
1.05u
Projection - 2.9: For more, check out BettingPros.
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU -7-115
1.15u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
HOU -6.5-110
1.65u
ligma wong
Miami (FL) vs. Houston Previews & Analysis
Miami (FL) vs. Houston Notes
Bracket Predictions
As of the start of the Sweet 16, the most likely team to make the Final Four from this region is No. 1 Houston, with 46.0% odds.
Halfway through the Sweet Sixteen, Houston is the least likely No. 1 seed to make the Final Four, with 45.9% odds (breakeven moneyline +118).
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 1 seeds like Houston are 19-6 against No. 5 seeds like Miami in the Sweet Sixteen (76.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -317).
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Miami (FL) vs. Houston Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Houston are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Houston are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Houston are 7-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Houston' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Houston' 23 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18-16 | 11-12 | 7-4 | 17-16 | 1-0 |
| 11-20 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 3-9 | 8-10 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-19-1 | 10-13 | 4-6-1 | 13-19-1 | 1-0 |
| 19-12 | 11-6 | 8-6 | 9-3 | 9-9 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-4 | N/A | N/A | 29-4 | 1-0 |
| 7-24 | N/A | N/A | 4-8 | 2-16 |
Last 5 Matchups
Houston vs. Miami (FL) Injury Updates
Houston Injuries
- J'Wan RobertsF
Roberts is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Mylik WilsonG
Wilson is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Ramon WalkerG
Walker is out with hand
Out
- Pop IsaacsG
Isaacs is out for season with hip
Out for Season
- Emanuel SharpG
Sharp is out with ankle
Out
- Jacob McFarlandC
McFarland is out with leg
Out
Miami (FL) Injuries
- Lynn KiddC
Kidd is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Matthew ClevelandG
Cleveland is questionable with leg
Questionable
- Malik ReneauF
Reneau is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Paul DjobetG
Djobet is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Team Stats
31-60 (52%)
Field Goals
24-64 (38%)
16-19 (84%)
Free Throws
18-20 (90%)
11-25 (44%)
3P
9-31 (29%)
34
Rebounds
33
16
Assists
16
5
Turnovers
8
4
Steals
3
4
Blocks
4
16
Fouls
16
Miami (FL) vs. Houston Odds Comparison
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Miami (FL) at Houston Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Miami (FL) 7-24 | N/A | N/A |
Houston 30-4 | N/A | N/A |