Akron vs. Texas Tech Odds & Betting Predictions - March 20, 2026

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#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Proj closer to 3.8, 66% chance to stay under. Can pair with the Graves u14 points on PrizePicks

#Tailing @nick_giffen

Red fukkin raiders

#EV

Adding to original position

Texas Tech was a national title contender with a full deck, having knocked off Duke, Houston, and Arizona. But then JT Toppin tore his ACL, and now they’re careening toward a first-round exit.  The Red Raiders have lost three straight, and their rebounding numbers have fallen off a cliff without Toppin’s Rodmanesque production on the glass. Since Toppin’s departure, they’ve fallen outside the top 300 in defensive rebounding percentage, they can’t turn anyone over (358th), and they’ve become overly dependent on Christian Anderson. Their star point guard has averaged 37 minutes and 14 shots per game without Toppin. That usage wouldn’t be so much of an issue if not for his sizable turnover uptick. Evan Miya’s player evaluation grades him out with a “D” in the turnover department (11th percentile). He had an 18-turnover stretch across three games alone. And now he’s battling a groin injury after slipping on the Big 12’s glass/digital monstrosity of a court. If he isn’t 100% the Red Raiders are in big trouble.  Even if Anderson is a full-go, John Groce can build a game plan to limit him. Groce was named the Hugh Durham National Coach of the Year in 2025 (Top Mid-Major HC), and this year’s team is even better. Tavari Johnson is a by-any-means-necessary point guard, capable of facilitating or taking a game over from long range (37.3% 3PT). And unlike many of the mid-majors in the field, Akron has balance with a veteran frontcourt led by Amani Lyles. He’s a poor man’s Toppin. He recorded nine double-doubles in MAC play and added some long-range touch this offseason, improving upon his three-point percentage by six percent while doubling his attempts. As team, Akron is eighth in effective field goal percentage, and their tempo generates nearly 15 fast break points per game. That can help offset their draw against the defensive mastermind Grant McCasland. 

Upset alert?