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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

11:00 pm • TNT

Minnesota Timberwolves

4-3
106
106 - 99

Denver Nuggets

3-4
99

Timberwolves at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves
4-3
+4.5-113
o209.5-110
+153
Nuggets
3-4
-4.5-106
u209.5-110
-182
location pinSaturday 11:00 p.m.
May 04, 2024
Ball ArenaDenver
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 58-87-0 (-5.4u)
DEN +136 (Live)
0.25u
DEN -3.5 (Live)-118
0.29u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 25-31-0 (+0.7u)
DEN -2 (1H)-115
0.87u
Forgot to post the double dip nice I’m a retard
Jay Money
Jay Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Reid o13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
1u
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Gordon o3.5 Ast-129
0.78u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 37-52-1 (+13.0u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-110
0.91u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 18-18-0 (-1.6u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-115
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 29-19-4 (+13.2u)
Over 209.5-105
2u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 58-85-0 (-34.0u)
DEN -4.5-105
1.05u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 148-98-4 (+30.7u)
N.Reid o13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110
0.91u
Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -130 giving value to this number
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 79-76-0 (-11.1u)
Under 209-110
0.91u
Mark Franco
Mark Franco
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIN +4.5-105
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 4-7-0 (-8.7u)
DEN -4.5-110
2.2u
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 208.5-110
1u
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.5u)
Over 208.5-110
1.1u
DEN -4.5-110
1.1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 55-58-1 (-8.3u)
M.Porter o25.5 Pts+Rebs-105
1u
Bruce Marshall
Bruce Marshall
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 208-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 25-31-0 (+0.7u)
DEN -4-110
2u
BettingWithBush x Mjaybrod
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 32-51-2 (-3.0u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130
0.77u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 106-106-1 (+3.9u)
K.Towns o28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118
1.18u
Kevin Thomas
Kevin Thomas
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.4u)
DEN -4.5-110
1u
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 54-57-0 (-5.5u)
K.Towns u18.5 Pts-123
0.5u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 58-87-0 (-5.4u)
N.Alexander-Walker o7.5 Pts-130
0.65u
DEN -4.5-110
1.1u
Under 207.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 37-52-1 (+13.0u)
A.Gordon u7.5 Rebs-125
0.8u
My Props Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/denver-nuggets-vs-minnesota-timberwolves-player-prop-forecast
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-3-0 (-2.7u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110
1u
New series. As stated multiple times vs. PHX, it didn’t make sense logically to place him in on the court. The Suns are not very big and are guard-heavy. As a result, Naz’s PRA line moved from 16.5 to 13.5 as the series went on and rotations tightened. Wolves didn’t need to go double-big and NAW took his 4th quarter run being the new 6th man. However, that won’t be the case vs. the Nuggets. Naz saw 16-20 MPG in the Suns series but averages 22.9 MPG in the regular season with KAT healthy. I’d move the minutes sliders up to 18-22 MIN. In games where he sees these minutes and played vs. a top-15 defense a bottom-15 paced offense, he averaged 15.1 PRA, going over 12.5 PRA in 12/15 games. The Wolves will certainly place KCP on Edwards and use Aaron Gordon on Karl Anthony Towns. Naz should have some exploitable matchups at periods and can even start attacking the paint in the non-Jokic minutes. #PlayerProps
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 15-18-0 (+8.2u)
N.Reid o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110
1u
The bounceback spot. Last series wasn’t a good matchup for Reid. This line is an overreaction to how he was used vs PHX.

PRO Insights

Timberwolves logo

Timberwolves

MIN Insights
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    Nuggets logo

    Nuggets

    DEN Insights
    • Featured Insight
      Nuggets logo The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves has a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-worst in the NBA.
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    Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

    • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Spread Fits 59% Trend article feature image

      Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Spread Fits 59% Trend

      Alex Kolodziej•
      May 4, 2024 UTC
    • Saturday's 5 NBA Best Bets for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves article feature image

      Saturday's 5 NBA Best Bets for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

      Action Network Staff•
      May 4, 2024 UTC
    • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: How to Bet Game 1 article feature image

      Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: How to Bet Game 1

      Chris Baker•
      May 4, 2024 UTC
    • Player Props Forecast for Nuggets-Timberwolves article feature image

      Player Props Forecast for Nuggets-Timberwolves

      Joe Dellera•
      May 3, 2024 UTC
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    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

    Away Logo

    Timberwolves

    Public

    Home Logo

    Nuggets

    88%

    Bets%

    12%

    Money%

    NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

    Betting Trends

    • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
    • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
    • Nuggets are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
    • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
    • The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets    		38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10
    Timberwolves    		39-42-117-23-122-1927-3612-6-1

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Nuggets    		48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8
    Timberwolves    		44-3824-1720-2132-3112-7

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets    		7-7N/AN/A40-2110-11
    Timberwolves    		9-6N/AN/A40-239-10

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Apr 30thLALW 108-106-6.5 LU 217.5DEN -247
    Apr 28th@LALL 108-119-3.5 LO 219.5LAL -163
    Apr 26th@LALW 112-105+1.5 WU 217.5DEN +102
    Apr 23rdLALW 101-99-7 LU 223DEN -285
    Apr 21stLALW 114-103-6.5 WU 227DEN -259

    Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates

    Nuggets Injuries

    • DaRon Holmes
      SF

      Holmes is out with achilles

      Out

    Timberwolves Injuries

    • Terrence Shannon
      PF

      Shannon is questionable with foot

      Questionable

    See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      32
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      8
      rpg
    • assists
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      9
      apg
    • shooting
      Aaron Gordon logo
      Aaron Gordon
      66.7
      fg%
    Team Stats

    43-82 (52%)
    Field Goals
    35-75 (47%)
    9-12 (75%)
    Free Throws
    16-20 (80%)
    11-27 (41%)
    3P
    13-31 (42%)
    42
    Rebounds
    34
    24
    Assists
    24
    Turnovers
    4
    Steals
    12
    6
    Blocks
    2
    20
    Fouls
    18

    Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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    Timberwolves at Nuggets Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Timberwolves
    4-3
    o102.5-120
    u102.5-110
    Nuggets
    3-4
    o106.5-115
    u106.5-115