Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - November 2, 2024
Nuggets at Timberwolves
1:30 am • ESPNNuggets at Timberwolves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets 8-5 | +3 | +3.5-110 | o219-110 | +135 |
Timberwolves 8-7 | u218.5 | -3.5-110 | u219-110 | -160 |
Saturday 1:30 a.m.
November 02, 2024Target CenterMinneapolis
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
20d ago
Last 30d: 155-152-3 (+36.6u)
DEN +6.5 (Live)+110
1.1u
Was playing pickleball (self)
Sir Lockselot
20d ago
Last 30d: 34-91-0 (-56.1u)
DEN +158 (Live)
2u
🔑 Nuggets LIVE ML +158 (FanDuel) 2u
Liking the pace from Denver here. Cut the lead significantly and they want revenge after how the playoffs ended last year.
Wake and 💰 with me
The Degenerates
20d ago
Last 30d: 71-77-3 (-13.8u)
N.Jokic o26.5 Pts-125
1.25u
Mjaybrod
20d ago
Last 30d: 126-100-1 (+14.1u)
DEN +156
0.5u
Steak dog of day just dropped brotha catch up
CeeJ Picks
20d ago
Last 30d: 65-78-1 (+45.2u)
N.Jokic o26.5 Pts-136
1.36u
Buying a point here on the alt line on FD, but I still like this line at 27.5
Community play today, but it makes sense. The Nuggets have been awful shooting the ball to start the season and I don't see how that will magically change tonight. They will play the T-Wolves tonight and Jokic himself has talked about how they don't have enough shooting right now and we have seen him start to take over these games because of it. Since the opening game, Jokic has scored 41,40,29 pts and has put up much more volume.
This has been a system play for the last year or so because once Jokic starts shooting more, he dominates this line. Jokic attempted just 13 FG in the opener, but since he has attempted 26,27 and 16, which is big for this line. In games last season where Jokic attempts 15+ FG's he hit this line in 70% of games and 72% vs Minnesota. Since that opening game, Jokic has increased his shot volume and has hit this line in 3/3 games with 15+ FG attempts and I do not see that changing tonight.
WestBrick and the boys can't hit the side of a barn door right now and Joker knows it, so I expect him to score tonight and then go back to Serbia to check on his horses 🐎
Shady Biev
20d ago
Last 30d: 150-186-1 (-39.5u)
DEN +155
1.5u
RocketPlays
20d ago
Last 30d: 60-112-1 (+5.0u)
N.Jokic To Make 3+ Threes Yes+265
0.5u
N.Jokic To Make 4+ Threes Yes+700
0.25u
Kyle Murray
20d ago
Last 30d: 104-118-1 (-8.8u)
J.Randle u5.5 Ast-135
1.35u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
20d ago
Last 30d: 258-254-7 (-0.7u)
R.Gobert o11.5 Rebs+110
1.1u
N.Jokic o11.5 Rebs+105
1u
Scott Rickenbach
20d ago
Last 30d: 77-62-2 (+5.9u)
DEN +4.5-115
0.87u
Kevin Thomas
20d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
MIN -4-110
1u
Milly Props
20d ago
Last 30d: 10-5-0 (+5.2u)
J.Randle o6.5 Rebs-125
1u
Randle’s covered in 3/4 games - AVG 14.3 REB chances. Randle AVG a 56.4% REB chance% since LS, so if he see’s his AVG of 14.3 RC, he should record roughly ~8.07 REB.
He’ll MU against AG who primarily operates from the dunker spot, so Randle will always be around the rim. When he’s not, he’ll be in the corner and Randle will sag off - dragging him closer to the basket. Grabbing REB is always tough w/ Gobert but Jokic seems to have taken more of a scoring role this season, especially from three. He’s spoken about how DEN has no spacing/shooting threats besides MPJ/Murray and as a result has taken 3+ 3s in 3/4 games. Gobert will have to step out of the paint. More often than not, Randle will be the weak side rebounder on AG.
Randle’s floor in REB chances seems to be 13 - when he records 13+ RC in a game he’s covered this line in 35/39 games since LS (89.7%). In one game vs. DEN last season, Randle also MUST against AG and grabbed 7 REB on just 11 RC (blowout).
Weak-side rebounders vs. DEN:
- Cam Johnson: 7 REB - covered
- Jalen Wilson: 6 REB - covered
- Scottie Barnes: 12 REB - covered
- James Harden: 6 REB - covered
- Jalen Williams: 3 REB
Player Prop Savant
20d ago
Last 30d: 40-30-0 (+8.4u)
N.Jokic o19.5 Rebs+Ast+100
1u
💰🦡 Jake
20d ago
Last 30d: 105-100-4 (-6.5u)
MIN -2.5 (1H)-105
1u
PvB Bets
20d ago
Last 30d: 20-17-1 (+0.2u)
J.McDaniels u1.5 3pt M-165
1u
Sandy Plashkes
20d ago
Last 30d: 121-110-0 (+15.6u)
N.Jokic u27.5 Pts-116
1u
Markus Markets
20d ago
Last 30d: 85-81-3 (+35.8u)
M.Porter o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130
0.77u
Fliff
Mjaybrod
20d ago
Last 30d: 126-100-1 (+14.1u)
Under 218.5-110
1u
Playoff like - both teams off overs at higher totals
PRO Insights
Nuggets
DEN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Nuggets allowed an eFG% of 51% in close and late situations last season -- 6th-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves had an eFG% of 51% in close and late situations last season -- 3rd-worst in the NBA.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Timberwolves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Timberwolves are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' 7 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5-10 | N/A |
Nuggets | 5-7-1 | 3-3-1 | 2-4 | 2-6-1 | 3-1 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 9-6 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 9-6 | N/A |
Nuggets | 9-4 | 5-2 | 4-2 | 6-3 | 3-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 8-7 | N/A | N/A | 8-7 | N/A |
Nuggets | 8-5 | N/A | N/A | 6-3 | 2-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Updates
Nuggets Injuries
- Nikola JokicC
Nikola Jokic (personal) out Sunday.
Out
Timberwolves Injuries
Player Stats
- scoringAnthony Edwards29ppg
- reboundingRudy Gobert14rpg
- assistsJulius Randle7apg
- shootingRudy Gobert70fg%
Team Stats
41-92 (45%)
Field Goals
43-83 (52%)
23-29 (79%)
Free Throws
15-18 (83%)
11-32 (34%)
3P
18-42 (43%)
46
Rebounds
38
30
Assists
34
Turnovers
11
Steals
9
2
Blocks
9
18
Fouls
22
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds Comparison
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Nuggets at Timberwolves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Nuggets 8-5 | o108.5-105 | u108.5-115 |
Timberwolves 8-7 | o110.5-115 | u110.5-105 |