Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2024

Heat at Celtics

11:00 pm • TNT

Miami Heat

1-4

111

111 - 101

Boston Celtics

4-1

101

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 1-4	+14.5	+14.5-110	o205.5-110	+850
Celtics 4-1	u203.5	-14.5-110	u205.5-110	-1450

Wednesday 11:00 p.m.

April 24, 2024

TD GardenBoston

MIA +176 (Live)

3.52u

MIA +14.5-110

MIA +400 (1H)

0.5u

P.Pritchard o6.5 Rebs+Ast+105

B.Adebayo u0.5 3pt M-185

0.54u

Under 105 (1H)-108

K.Porzingis u1.5 Ast+117

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

BOS -14.5-110

1.1u

H.Highsmith o5.5 Pts-115

0.87u

K.Porzingis u1.5 Ast+117

Under 205.5-105

Under 205.5-110

BOS -14.5-110

@HPBasketball

J.Jaquez o14.5 Pts-108

1.08u

J.Brown o5.5 Rebs-122

He grabbed 8 rebounds on 17 chances in Game 1. 9, 4 (played < 30 MIN), & 6 rebounds in the regular season. He’s been positioned near the base line on defense defending low-USG% players like Caleb/Highsmith while Porzingis does the dirty work defending Bam in coverage and Jrue/White are on top of the key hedging/defending Tyler Herro. It’s essentially him & Tatum who are competing for rebounds. And we can bank on Miami to miss their shots. Betting on players to go over their rebound prop has quietly been an edge I’ve been observing and experimenting lately. It makes sense why - defense/intensity is tighter and more missed shots. #PlayerPro

BOS -14.5-110

K.Porzingis o18.5 Pts+102

0.5u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -116 giving value to this number

J.Tatum o8.5 Rebs-111

Playoff Tatum is an entirely different animal and even he is not immune to a bit of stat padding after securing a triple double in Game 1. This matchup against the Heat is one we have seen throughout the years and one where he excels, especially on the glass. In 8 Playoff games against Miami over the last two seasons, Tatum has exceeded 8.5 rebounds in 6/8 games while averaging 10.3 per game. In Game 1, Tatum grabbed 10 boards on 12 chances; however, those boards were extremely easy to come by as he barely even needed to box anyone out. Miami does not crash the offensive glass and his teammates are not hunting for the stats. Tatum should continue his success in not only the Playoffs, but against the Heat as well. I’ll back him to exceed 8.5 rebounds in Game 2.

MIA +14.5-105

0.95u

Over 203.5-110

0.91u

B.Adebayo o0.5 3pt M+145

0.5u

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE!!

MIA +14.5-110

$50.00

Celtics are the avengers, I fear

MIA +14.5-110

0.91u

J.Holiday o4.5 Ast+130

0.5u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of +109 giving value to this number

BOS -14.5-108

B.Adebayo o18.5 Pts-109

Under 207.5-110

1.1u

Featured Insight
The Heat have averaged 12.7 turnovers/game this season -- T-5th-lowest in the NBA; the Celtics have forced 12.0 turnovers per game this season -- T-lowest in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Celtics have allowed opponents to shoot 44% at home this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Heat have shot 46% (1,592/3,483) on the road this season -- T-7th-worst in the NBA.

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Celtics are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Celtics are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Celtics are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Celtics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	42-36-4	23-17-1	19-19-3	41-34-4	1-2
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Celtics	43-38-1	22-19	21-19-1	42-36-1	1-2
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	16-3	N/A	N/A	63-16	1-2
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	MIA	W 114-94	-14.5 W	U 210.5	BOS -1175
Apr 14th	WAS	W 132-122	-10 L	O 229	BOS -452
Apr 12th	CHA	W 131-98	-7.5 W	O 217.5	BOS -305
Apr 11th	NYK	L 109-118	-3.5 L	O 221.5	NYK -155
Apr 9th	@MIL	L 91-104	+3.5 L	U 231	MIL +142