Twins vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Twins at Tigers

10:10 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

40-42

2 - 7

Detroit Tigers

51-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 40-42	-1.5+160	o6.5-115	-118
Tigers 51-32	+1.5-191	u6.5-105	-102

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

B.Buxton o0.5 HR+500

0.25u

Over 6.5-115

0.25u

Small to -116

Under 3.5 (F5)-138

DET -104

0.96u

J.Ryan o6.5 Ks+120

2.4u

MIN -113

2.26u

T.Skubal u19.5 Outs-125

Under 6.5+100

T.Skubal u5.5 Hits Allowed-135

0.74u

Projection lands at 4.64 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -180 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

MIN +110

0.5u

Bet to -103

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Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored first in 65% of their games this month -- fourth highest in MLB. The Twins have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this month -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

46% of Edouard Julien strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 394 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 41% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .460 this season -- worst among hitters with at least 151 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Jorge Alcala has allowed an OPS of just .493 (150 PAs) this season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (204 Total Bases / 418 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 -- sixth Percentile.

Joe Ryan has walked 9 of 233 left-handed batters (4%) this season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Tigers' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	45-38	25-17	20-21	30-23	15-13
Twins	45-37	23-16	22-21	28-24	16-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	41-38-4	16-23-3	25-15-1	25-25-3	15-12-1
Twins	35-43-4	18-20-1	17-23-3	24-26-2	10-17-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	51-32	28-14	23-18	37-16	14-14
Twins	40-42	22-17	18-25	28-24	12-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	MIN	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIN +158
Jul 25th	@CLE	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	DET +124
Jul 24th	@CLE	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CLE +120
Jul 23rd	@CLE	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CLE +111
Jul 22nd	@CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7	DET -140

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	89	6	8	3
RB.Stewart, P	18	0.2	1	3
LS.Okert, P	21	0.1	1	1
RJ.Staumont, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Margot, RF	1-3	1	0	0
2B.Buxton, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Lee, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Martin, LF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	96	7	8	2
RJ.Foley, P	13	1	1	0
RB.Brieske, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, CF	2-3	3	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3J.Malloy, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Canha, LF	1-2	0	0	2
5W.Perez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Urshela, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Madris, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Baez, SS	1-3	1	1	2