Twins vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Twins at Tigers

10:10 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

2 - 7

Detroit Tigers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+160	o6.5-115	-118
Tigers 4-3	+1.5-191	u6.5-105	-102

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

B.Buxton o0.5 HR+500

0.25u

Over 6.5-115

0.25u

Small to -116

Under 3.5 (F5)-138

DET -104

0.96u

J.Ryan o6.5 Ks+120

2.4u

MIN -113

2.26u

T.Skubal u19.5 Outs-125

J.Ryan u18.5 Outs-200

0.5u

would stop at -205

T.Skubal u19.5 Outs-123

would play to -155

Under 6.5+100

T.Skubal u5.5 Hits Allowed-135

0.74u

Projection lands at 4.64 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -180 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

MIN +110

0.5u

Bet to -103

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Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored first in 65% of their games this month -- fourth highest in MLB. The Twins have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this month -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

46% of Edouard Julien strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 394 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 41% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .460 this season -- worst among hitters with at least 151 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Jorge Alcala has allowed an OPS of just .493 (150 PAs) this season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (204 Total Bases / 418 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 -- sixth Percentile.

Joe Ryan has walked 9 of 233 left-handed batters (4%) this season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	MIN	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIN +158
Jul 25th	@CLE	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	DET +124
Jul 24th	@CLE	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CLE +120
Jul 23rd	@CLE	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CLE +111
Jul 22nd	@CLE	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7	DET -140

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Anthony DeSclafani
P
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	89	6	8	3
RB.Stewart, P	18	0.2	1	3
LS.Okert, P	21	0.1	1	1
RJ.Staumont, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Margot, RF	1-3	1	0	0
2B.Buxton, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Lee, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Martin, LF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	96	7	8	2
RJ.Foley, P	13	1	1	0
RB.Brieske, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, CF	2-3	3	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	2-4	2	1	3
3J.Malloy, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Canha, LF	1-2	0	0	2
5W.Perez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Urshela, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Madris, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Baez, SS	1-3	1	1	2