Tigers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 22, 2024

Tigers at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Detroit Tigers

28-15

8 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

25-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 28-15	-1.5	-1.5+130	o7+100	-140
Guardians 25-17	u8.5	+1.5-155	u7-120	+120

Monday 10:40 p.m.

July 22, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

DET -125

C.Carrasco u15.5 Outs-120

1.25u

DET -110

0.91u

Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored first in 67% of their games this month -- third highest in MLB. The Guardians have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games this month -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Guardians have struck out just 19% this month -- fourth lowest in MLB. Tigers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% this month -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

34% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .631 this season -- ninth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .552 (455 PAs) this season -- best among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (70-for-177) against Carlos Carrasco's inside fastball since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .261 -- 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .859 (189 Total Bases / 220 ABs) when behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .602 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 9-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Guardians' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	20-22	11-10	9-12	9-7	11-14
Tigers	26-17	14-7	12-10	16-8	10-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	20-19-3	7-13-1	13-6-2	10-6	10-12-3
Tigers	22-18-3	7-11-3	15-7	11-11-2	11-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	25-17	14-7	11-10	13-3	12-13
Tigers	28-15	16-5	12-10	19-5	9-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 21st	SD	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SD -110
Jul 20th	SD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	SD -117
Jul 19th	SD	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -165
Jul 14th	@TB	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +110
Jul 13th	@TB	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -112

Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
SP
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
CF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jake Rogers
C
Jake Rogers (oblique) has been scratched Tuesday.
Out
Parker Meadows
CF
Meadows is out with arm
Out
Wenceel Perez
RF
Perez is out with back
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	97	7	6	1
RS.Miller, P	13	1	1	0
LE.Lucas, P	16	0.1	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	10	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	3-5	1	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Malloy, DH	1-5	1	1	2
4R.Greene, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Canha, LF	3-4	1	0	0
6W.Perez, RF	2-4	3	0	1
7G.Urshela, 1B	0-2	0	0	2
8J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	96	5.1	6	6
RP.Avila, P	34	1.1	3	0
LT.Herrin, P	14	1.1	2	1
RP.Strzelecki, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	1-4	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-5	0	0
5D.Fry, DH	2-5	1	0
6J.Noel, RF	0-3	0	0
7T.Freeman, 2B	3-4	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-4	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	2-3	1	1