Tigers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Tigers at Guardians

5:10 pm • BSDET

Detroit Tigers

33-19

3 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

28-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Williams			4.86	3-10
T.Holton			2.19	7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 33-19	+1.5-166	o7.5-110	+124
Guardians 28-22	-1.5+140	u7.5-110	-148

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+125

1.25u

J.Naylor o3.5 Total Bases+440

0.25u

G.Williams u5.5 Ks-121

DET +1-115

1.74u

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .224 (793-for-3,535) against Guardians RPs since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. The Tigers are batting just .225 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
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Jul 25, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .602 since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .493 (747 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

33% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Gavin Williams has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 17th, 2023 -- the longest active streak is 13.

Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 33% (14 SO in 43 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) -- 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% -- eighth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 13-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Guardians' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	24-26	11-11	13-15	9-10	15-15
Tigers	28-24	14-10	14-14	16-14	12-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	21-26-3	8-13-1	13-13-2	11-8	10-17-3
Tigers	25-23-4	8-13-3	17-10-1	13-14-3	12-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	28-22	14-8	14-14	13-6	15-15
Tigers	33-19	17-7	16-12	22-8	11-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7	CLE -142
Jul 23rd	DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -131
Jul 22nd	DET	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7	DET +120
Jul 21st	SD	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SD -110
Jul 20th	SD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	SD -117

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Parker Meadows
CF
Meadows is out with arm
Out
Wenceel Perez
RF
Perez is out with back
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LT.Holton, P	36	2	2
LE.Lucas, P	27	2	2
RA.Faedo, P	22	2	3
RJ.Foley, P	17	0.2	0
LA.Chafin, P	15	1.1	2
RS.Miller, P	18	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Perez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Malloy, LF	1-3	0	0	0
3G.Urshela, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Greene, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Madris, 1B	3-4	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Baez, SS	1-4	1	1	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	105	6	9	3
RP.Avila, P	28	2	1	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4D.Fry, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4W.Brennan, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4W.Brennan, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Naylor, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Noel, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6D.Schneemann, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Schneemann, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Freeman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0