Tigers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Tigers at Guardians

5:10 pm • BSDET

Detroit Tigers

4-3

3 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Williams			4.86	3-10
T.Holton			2.19	7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	+1.5-166	o7.5-110	+124
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+140	u7.5-110	-148

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

J.Naylor o3.5 Total Bases+440

0.25u

J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+125

1.25u

G.Williams u5.5 Ks-121

DET +1-115

1.74u

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .224 (793-for-3,535) against Guardians RPs since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. The Tigers are batting just .225 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
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Jul 25, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .602 since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .493 (747 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

33% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Gavin Williams has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 17th, 2023 -- the longest active streak is 13.

Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 33% (14 SO in 43 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) -- 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% -- eighth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	DET	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7	CLE -142
Jul 23rd	DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -131
Jul 22nd	DET	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7	DET +120
Jul 21st	SD	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SD -110
Jul 20th	SD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	SD -117

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LT.Holton, P	36	2	2
LE.Lucas, P	27	2	2
RA.Faedo, P	22	2	3
RJ.Foley, P	17	0.2	0
LA.Chafin, P	15	1.1	2
RS.Miller, P	18	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Perez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Malloy, LF	1-3	0	0	0
3G.Urshela, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Greene, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Madris, 1B	3-4	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Baez, SS	1-4	1	1	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Williams, P	105	6	9	3
RP.Avila, P	28	2	1	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4D.Fry, DH	0-2	0	0	0
4W.Brennan, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4W.Brennan, DH	0-2	0	0	0
5J.Naylor, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Noel, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6D.Schneemann, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Schneemann, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Freeman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0