Red Sox vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2023

Red Sox at Phillies

11:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Boston Red Sox

1-2

5 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6
C.Sale			4.30	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Phillies 1-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 11:05 p.m.

May 05, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 8-110

1.1u

BOS +130

1.43u

PHI -155

1.55u

M.Yoshida o1.5 Total Bases+160

$50.00

Great look from @JoeDellera (multi sport man!) He’s hit this in 13 of last 14 and that comes on the heels of his swing change so there’s reason to believe it’s more than just noise. Wheeler is super solid but getting +160 on this is wild

M.Yoshida o1.5 Total Bases+160

0.5u

This makes no sense to me lol. Hit in 13/14.

C.Sale o5.5 Ks-146

0.68u

PHI -153

0.5u

PHI -149

1.49u

PHI -168 (F5)

0.84u

Bet to -180

PHI -145

0.73u

Bet to -160

Over 8-105

1.05u

Project 9.1; Red Sox hitting righties T10 rate, Phillies pen struggling w ERA 5.59

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The Phillies are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Red Sox are 17-3 (.850) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Red Sox are 6-6 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

28% of Rafael Devers strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 54% of Zack Wheeler's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has a strike rate of just 51% (78/152) on sliders this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Chris Sale has walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) -- tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% -- 95th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.5 MPH on inside pitches since the 2020 season (603 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	@LAD	L 6-10	-	-	-
May 3rd	@LAD	L 1-13	-	-	-
May 2nd	@LAD	L 4-13	-	-	-
Apr 30th	@HOU	L 3-4	-	-	-
Apr 29th	@HOU	W 6-1	-	-	-

Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	98	6	10	3
LR. Bleier, P	20	1	1	0
RC.Martin, P	5	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	22	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R. Tapia, RF	1-5	2	0
1R. Tapia, LF	1-5	2	0
2M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	1	0
2A.Verdugo, PR	0-0	0	0
2A.Verdugo, RF	0-0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	0-5	0	1
4R.Devers, 3B	1-3	0	1
5J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	0
6E.Hernandez, SS	2-4	1	1
7T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	1
8E.Valdez, 2B	2-3	0	1
8C. Arroyo, PH	0-1	0	0
8C. Arroyo, 2B	0-1	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	97	5.1	5	4
RC.Brogdon, P	17	0.2	0	0
LG.Soto, P	12	1	1	0
LA. Vasquez, P	30	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-5	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	0	0
3B.Harper, DH	1-4	1	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	1	1
5J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	1
6A.Bohm, 1B	1-3	0	1
7J. Harrison, 2B	1-3	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Sosa, 3B	1-3	0	0
9D. Guthrie, CF	0-3	0	0
9B.Marsh, PH	0-0	0	0