Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2023

Phillies at Dodgers

2:10 am • SportsNet LA

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

4 - 13

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Gonsolin			4.98	8-5
T.Walker			4.38	15-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-145	o9+100	+145
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5+120	u9-120	-175

Tuesday 2:10 a.m.

May 02, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

Over 8.5-125

0.6u

Bet365 9:25.

PHI +145

0.5u

Bet365 9:24.

PHI +1.5-145

PHI +150

0.5u

T.Gonsolin u4.5 Hits Allowed-131

1.31u

Firstly, Gonsolin likely limited to ~80 pitches / 5 innings today. LAD has always been really careful with his workload, and he only threw 65 pitches in 3.1 IP in his first start. PHI bats havs cooled after a hot start - hitting only .237 vs RHP over the L2 weeks. In Gonsolin’s career, he’s only allowed 3.2 hits per 5 innings (3.0 last season).

M.Betts o1.5 Total Bases+135

0.68u

Buying low on Mookie here. He’s been struggling to start the season but has surprisingly been much better vs RHP than left 4 HRs, 5 2Bs in 19 hits (78 ABs) and draws a good matchup with Walker who has struggled with barrel rate (8.5%) as of late. 3 HRs in last 2 games (7 runs in 10 1/3) Betts vs Walker: 5-for-10 with a 2B. Bats stop the lineup so sees 4, maybe even 5 ABs here

PHI +150

PHI +136 (F5)

Over 8.5-120

Project 9.6; Both offenses 112 or better wRC+ v right hand pitching. Both pens struggling with below average ERA/FIP ranks

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The Dodgers are 13-1 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Dodgers are 212-8 (.964) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season -- tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Phillies are just 0-3 (.000) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.

The Phillies are just 12-2 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.

Kyle Schwarber is batting just .216 since last season -- fifth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .163 (41-for-252) against Tony Gonsolin since last season -- tied for second best among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber batted just .218 last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Left handed batters hit just .163 (40-for-246) against Tony Gonsolin last season -- tied for second best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	STL	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 10.5	LAD -145
Apr 30th	STL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	LAD -156
Apr 29th	STL	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	LAD -140
Apr 27th	@PIT	L 2-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -163
Apr 26th	@PIT	L 1-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	82	3.1	6	8
LA. Vasquez, P	30	1.2	4	1
RY.Marte, P	12	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	19	0.2	1	2
RL.Ortiz, P	25	0.2	0	2
RK.Clemens, P	10	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Turner, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2D. Guthrie, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
3K.Schwarber, LF	1-3	1	1	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	0	0	2
5B.Marsh, CF	2-4	0	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
7A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
8K.Clemens, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Gonsolin, P	80	4.2	3	3
RP.Bickford, P	30	1.1	1	1
LV.Gonzalez, P	18	1.1	2	0
LV.Gonzalez, P	18	1.1	2	0
RS.Miller, P	21	1.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, SS	3-5	2	1	3
1M.Rojas, PH	0-0	0	0	0
1M.Rojas, SS	0-0	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	3-5	1	0	2
3W.Smith, C	2-5	1	1	2
4M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Heyward, RF	2-4	2	1	1
6J.Outman, CF	0-3	1	0	0
7M.Vargas, DH	0-4	1	0	1
7M.Vargas, 1B	0-4	1	0	1
8D.Peralta, LF	2-4	2	1	4
9M.Busch, 2B	2-4	2	0	0