Phillies vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Phillies at Astros

11:10 pm • ESPN

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

3 - 4

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Urquidy			5.29	3-3
B.Falter			5.58	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-147	o9-105	+136
Astros 0-2	-1.5+122	u9-115	-163

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Minute Maid ParkHouston

J.Urquidy u17.5 Outs-110

Phillies have kept opp RH starters under this line in 16/20 games, and Urquidy is under this line in 4/5. He’s struggled the third time through the order historically, and the Phillies have a .800 OPS both the 2nd and 3rd time through the order vs starters this season. Urquidy running at 4+ pitches per PA and 18+ pitches per inning thus far - Phillies not the most patient team, but Urquidy tends to try to nibble a bit vs good offenses.

Over 9-110

2.2u

PHI +0.5 (F5)-116

HOU -147 (F5)

0.82u

-140 on DK

Over 4.5 (F5)-128

0.5u

-120 at MGM. Bet to -135

Over 9+100

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

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The Astros are just 2-4 (.333) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Phillies are 8-0 (1.000) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Phillies are 8-2 (.800) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.

Nick Castellanos is batting .317 against RHP this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .355 (22-for-62) against Jose Urquidy this season -- fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

J.T. Realmuto is batting .367 on the road this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .378 (14-for-37) against Jose Urquidy at home this season -- tied for seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- sixth Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has allowed a slugging percentage of .560 (28 Total Bases / 50 ABs) when ahead in the count this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .309 -- second Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has located his pitches away 63% of the time (91/144) with two-strikes this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (43/235) against Bailey Falter this season -- tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 11th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	PHI	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -134
Apr 29th	PHI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -150
Apr 26th	@TB	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8	HOU +100
Apr 25th	@TB	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +152
Apr 24th	@TB	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TB +165

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	77	4.1	3	4
RC.Brogdon, P	25	1.2	1	0
LG.Soto, P	16	1	1	0
RL.Ortiz, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3K.Schwarber, LF	0-1	1	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	1	1
7A.Bohm, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Clemens, DH	1-4	1	1	1
9E.Sosa, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Urquidy, P	84	5.1	3	2
RH.Neris, P	13	0.2	1	0
RR.Montero, P	19	1	2	0
RB.Abreu, P	22	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Abreu, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	2-4	0	0	1
6D.Hensley, DH	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Meyers, CF	1-4	1	1	1
8R. Bannon, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	2-3	0	0	1