Pirates vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Pirates at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

1 - 8

Tampa Bay Rays

35-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.McClanahan			3.29	11-2
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Rays 35-20	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

May 03, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -1.5+105

1.05u

Over 7-118

McClanahan has been great but all estimators at least 0.7 runs above 2.12 ERA, Keller estimators slighly above 3.53 ERA too - TBR 149/144/145 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, PIT 119/123/133- TB pen bottom 1/3 of lg by estimators

Over 1.5+135

PIT Pirates @ TB Rays

$50.00

PIT +185

$1.00

TB -1.5-105

$1.00

Over 7-120

$83.33

TB -0.5 (F5)-140

0.71u

M.Keller o5.5 Ks-105

0.48u

S.McClanahan o17.5 Outs-155

0.65u

PIT o2.5-122

Under 7.5-120

0.3u

PIT +194

0.5u

TB -0.5 (F5)-140

PIT +182 (F5)

0.5u

Pittsburgh Pirates+190

Pittsburgh Pirates at Tampa Bay Rays

$25.00

PIT +185

0.5u

Over 7-110

Project 8.5; best offensive splits on Wednesday w Rays v Righty and Pirates v Lefty. Rays pen now over 4 FIP

PIT +180

1.1u

PIT +194

0.5u

Bet to +187

PIT +194

McClanahan has estimators around 3.25 w/ Keller just below four - both offenses > 120 wRC+ Hm/Rd/vL/RHP/L7 days - PIT pen has estimators around half a run better - PIT has better than a 2-1 chance here

Our 4 Best Bets for Wednesday's MLB Games
Action Network Staff•
May 3, 2023 UTC
Pirates vs. Rays: Keep Betting Buccos as Underdogs
Mike Ianniello•
May 3, 2023 UTC
Cunningham: How I'm Betting Wednesday's MLB Slate
Brad Cunningham•
May 3, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 3, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Pirates are 6-4 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Rays are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Ke'Bryan Hayes had an OPS of just .659 last season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Shane McClanahan allowed an OPS of just .562 (641 PAs) last season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Austin Hedges has an OPS of just .480 since last season -- worst among hitters with at least 283 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .566 (777 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (7/38) against Mitch Keller on fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (467/812) since last season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (95/236) against Shane McClanahan this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 14-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Rays' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	33-22	19-7	14-15	20-13	13-9
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	28-25-2	12-13-1	16-12-1	18-13-2	10-12
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	35-20	20-6	15-14	22-11	13-9
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	PIT	W 4-1	-	-	-
Apr 30th	@CWS	L 9-12	-	-	-
Apr 29th	@CWS	W 12-3	-	-	-
Apr 28th	@CWS	W 3-2	-	-	-
Apr 27th	@CWS	W 14-5	-	-	-

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	100	5	8	1
LJ.Hernandez, P	21	1	2	1
RC.Bolton, P	39	2	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Santana, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5C.Joe, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Castro, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Andujar, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LS.McClanahan, P		93	6	9	1
RC.Anderson, P		43	3	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	2-5	3	1	2
3H.Ramirez, DH	1-4	1	0	1
4B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	0	0	2
5T.Walls, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Lowe, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.Siri, CF	1-3	1	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-4	0	0	1
9F.Mejia, C	1-4	1	0	0