Padres vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 18, 2024

Padres at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

San Diego Padres

27-20

3 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

31-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 27-20	+1.5-142	o8.5-117	+140
Phillies 31-18	-1.5+120	u8.5-103	-166

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 18, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -161

Over 8.5-120

1.2u

PHI -1.5+124

A.Nola o8.5 Ks+720

0.25u

Look for some extra break on his knuckle curve

A.Nola o6.5 Ks+225

0.25u

Best buy low spot we’re gonna get with him

A.Nola o7.5 Ks+400

0.25u

Riddled Padres lineup ain’t hitting shit today

A.Nola o5.5 Ks+125

0.63u

Take me to Cancun Father Nola

Under 8.5+100

$1000.00

K.Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

PHI -140

0.25u

Superbook. Buying out half of both positions. No Tatis or Kim for the Padres

PHI -120 (F5)

0.25u

Buying out half of both positions. No Tatis or Kim for the Padres

M.King u17.5 Outs-135

0.74u

K.Schwarber o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-140

0.71u

PHI -1.5+150

M.King u5.5 Ks-107

Mr. King please return your crown to customer service

A.Nola u2.5 Earned Runs-123

Bounceback day for big Nolastradomus

PHI -125 (F5)

0.8u

In Nola We Trust (I hope)

PHI -138

0.72u

It’s against my religion not to place this

SD +132 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +121

SD +138

0.5u

Bet to +125

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .152 (7-for-46) against Phillies RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. The Padres are batting just .220 with RISP over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth worst in MLB.

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The Phillies are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 5% of PA's over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of just 11% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- ninth lowest among qualified SPs-- 13th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .718 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has allowed an OPS of just .573 (511 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (294/823) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (129-for-662) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Phillies' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	27-22	13-12	14-10	21-19	6-3
Padres	26-21	16-8	10-13	15-12	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	22-26-1	13-12	9-14-1	19-20-1	3-6
Padres	20-26-1	8-15-1	12-11	12-14-1	8-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	31-18	17-8	14-10	26-14	5-4
Padres	27-20	16-8	11-12	17-10	10-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 17th	SD	W 9-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI -198
Jun 16th	@BAL	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 7	BAL +114
Jun 15th	@BAL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +156
Jun 14th	@BAL	W 5-3	+1.5 W	O 7	PHI +120
Jun 13th	@BOS	L 3-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -108

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	100	4.2	6	1
LY.Matsui, P	15	0.2	2	0
LA.Morejon, P	7	0.2	0	0
RJ.Estrada, P	15	1	3	0
LW.Peralta, P	14	0.2	1	1
RR.Suarez, P	9	0.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-4	0	0	1
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Solano, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Peralta, RF	0-2	1	0	0
7F.Tatis, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	1-3	1	1	2
9T.Wade, SS	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	95	6	6	3
RO.Kerkering, P	16	1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	2-4	1	1	1
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Marchan, C	0-0	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
6N.Castellanos, RF	4-5	1	0	1
7B.Marsh, LF	2-4	0	0	1
8C.Pache, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, SS	0-1	0	0	0