Phillies vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024
Phillies at Orioles
5:35 pm • NBCS-PHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 2.92 | 15-9 | |
 |  | 2.57 | 16-7 |
Phillies at Orioles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 31-18 | +1.5 | +1.5-192 | o7-115 | +114 |
Orioles 16-32 | u7 | -1.5+160 | u7-105 | -135 |
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
Phillies vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 36-32-0 (+3.2u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-138
1u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 132-111-6 (+5.5u)
BAL -135
$1000.00
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 39-49-0 (+17.3u)
PHI +113
2u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 78-70-3 (-4.5u)
Under 7.5-124
1.24u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 39-52-0 (-12.6u)
C.Burnes u6.5 Ks-140
1u
Not today Corbin
PHI o3.5 Team Total+105
1u
Phillies love to score after a 2 run stinker
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 134-154-7 (-8.9u)
BAL -124 (F5)
0.4u
Flat to -128
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 39-52-0 (-12.6u)
Z.Wheeler o6.5 Ks+120
1.5u
Clocking into the SO Factory early today
PHI +0.5 (F5)-140
2u
If Wheeler wants Cy Young this is the game to prove it
PHI +115
1u
Phillies at plus money is a weird thing
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 77-85-0 (-19.0u)
BAL -127
2.36u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 134-154-7 (-8.9u)
Over 7-110
0.5u
Bet to -115
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 122-125-6 (-4.2u)
BAL -124
1u
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies have won 59% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth best in MLB. Orioles have won just 37% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- worst in MLB.
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Orioles
BAL Insights
- Featured InsightOrioles have won 63% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Phillies vs. Orioles Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Kyle Schwarber is batting just .212 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .165 (77-for-468) against Corbin Burnes since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP-- 100th Percentile.
Nick Castellanos has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Right-handed batters are hitting just .128 (19-for-149) against Zack Wheeler this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 -- 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .195 (29 Total Bases / 149 ABs) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 -- 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (236/360) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (392/596) since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Phillies are 7-14 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Orioles are 8-6 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
The Phillies are 8-5 (.615) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Orioles are 9-16 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Orioles' 23 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Phillies vs. Orioles Injury Updates
Phillies Injuries
Orioles Injuries
- Albert SuarezRP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
- Trevor RogersSP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
- Kyle BradishSP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
- Grayson RodriguezSP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
- Tyler WellsSP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Phillies vs. Orioles Box Score
Phillies Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 91 | 4.1 | 4 | 8 | |
 | 37 | 2.2 | 4 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 94 | 6 | 7 | 2 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 16 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds Comparison
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Phillies at Orioles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Phillies 31-18 | o3.5+105 | u3.5-135 |
Orioles 16-32 | o3.5-115 | u3.5-115 |