Phillies vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Phillies at Orioles

8:05 pm • MASN

Philadelphia Phillies

32-18

2 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

16-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
T.Walker			7.10	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 32-18	+1.5-130	o8-113	+156
Orioles 16-32	-1.5+110	u8-108	-186

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

PHI +120 (Live)

PHI +1.5-125

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases+106

1.06u

Over 8-110

1.1u

N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+127

Nicky 2 Cigs and fat geeb to the dome piece

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases+127

Talk to em nice Bryce

BAL -185

$525.95

Play -1

BAL -1.5+114

$599.64

Play -1

BAL -1.5+120

1.2u

B.Stott o0.5 SB+475

0.25u

Stott is skied up and kicking down the Orioles front door

G.Rodriguez u5.5 Ks+125

0.5u

System play vs the Phillies - 6, 4, 10 L3

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Over 8.5-112

1.12u

BAL -180 (F5)

0.9u

Bet to -200

PHI +1.5-135

1.5u

Taijuan Runner is bout to be dialed

PHI +150

0.5u

Lil half uski for the vibrations

Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 36% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Orioles left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles have won 64% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Orioles are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Phillies are 41-5 (.891) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .458.

The Phillies are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

64% of Bryce Harper fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 69% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Alec Bohm is slugging .551 on breaking pitches this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 30% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (14/34) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 69 of Taijuan Walker's 373 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 107 of Taijuan Walker's 501 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 9-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Orioles' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	15-33	6-17	9-16	7-21	8-12
Phillies	28-22	13-12	15-10	22-19	6-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	23-22-3	14-7-2	9-15-1	15-11-2	8-11-1
Phillies	22-27-1	13-12	9-15-1	19-21-1	3-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	16-32	8-15	8-17	9-19	7-13
Phillies	32-18	17-8	15-10	27-14	5-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	PHI	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7	PHI -140
Jun 13th	ATL	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL -113
Jun 12th	ATL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -120
Jun 11th	ATL	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL +120
Jun 10th	@TB	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -136

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	92	5.2	4	3
LG.Soto, P	18	1	2	0
RJ.Ruiz, P	27	1.1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6E.Sosa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	99	7	6	2
RB.Baker, P	11	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0	1
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4J.Mateo, DH	0-0	1	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	2-2	2	2	4
6J.Westburg, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Hays, PH	1-2	1	0	0
8A.Hays, LF	1-2	1	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	2-4	1	0	0