Marlins vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2025

Marlins at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Miami Marlins

26-33

3 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.18	6-15
S.Alcantara			5.36	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 26-33	-1.5	+1.5-170	o8-110	+124
Pirates 31-28	u8	-1.5+143	u8-110	-150

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 10, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -145

M.Keller u2.5 Earned Runs-130

0.5u

Projections do have Keller closer to 3 earned runs so this is a rare time I’m going to dive into a bet without projections on my side. The Marlins’ implied run total dropped from 4 to 3.8 after the lineup was released without Connor Norby and Liam Hicks in there. Miami has averaged 4.05 runs per game this season so I’m going to target them given they are projected below their season average. Keller is coming off two poor performances but still holds a 4.13 ERA and 3.93 xERA. He has a long leash which actually isn’t ideal as they let him work through trouble, but he’s holding a career-low walk rate (6.2%) and HR/9 ratio (0.59), which I like. Going to bank on him keeping Miami off the board enough in this matchup.

PIT -150

0.75u

PIT -147

1.47u

Under 8.5-122

0.5u

Pitcher leaning umpire - Keller all estimators below 4.13 ERA - PIT 87/87/90 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, MIA 96/96/75 - PIT strong defense - MIA 3rd best team bullpen estimators L30 days, PIT top half of league too. Keller 65 points split, but MIA only sending two LHBs out against him.

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+440

$2.20

PIT -134

1.5u

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+440

1.1u

S.Alcantara o2.5 BB+220

0.25u

PIT o4.5+115

0.5u

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.10

PIT o4.5+115

MIA +115 (F5)

MIA +120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

DK line, wouldn't take anywhere else. Don't love trusting Sandy right now but this is a good price on two very bad offenses

MIA +115 (F5)

1.15u

Under 8.5-120

0.5u

S.Alcantara u4.5 Ks-112

S.Alcantara o1.5 BB-150

1.25u

May add ladder when those lines drop

MIA +118

3.54u

4 Home Run Prop Bets & Parlay for Tuesday
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Jun 10, 2025 UTC
2 MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Tuesday
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Marlins	24-35	13-20	11-15	14-18	10-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Marlins	35-21-3	17-16	18-5-3	15-17	20-4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Marlins	26-33	18-15	8-18	20-12	6-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	MIA	W 10-3	-	O 8	PIT +100
Jun 8th	PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 6.5	PIT -120
Jun 7th	PHI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +121
Jun 6th	PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +110
Jun 5th	HOU	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU +120

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	85	6	6	0
RA.Bender, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Henriquez, P	19	1	1	2
RC.Faucher, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Wagaman, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
7D.Myers, CF	2-4	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-4	1	1	2
9J.Sanoja, 3B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	97	6	4	3
LR.Borucki, P	8	1	0	0
RI.Mattson, P	21	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4S.Horwitz, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Triolo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Frazier, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7H.Davis, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	0	0	0