Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2025

Giraffe party

Pirates have averaged just 3.19 runs per game this season. Pittsburgh is actually sitting Oneil Cruz and running out an all right-handed lineup which isn’t ideal, as Alexander Canario is batting cleanup and he took Suarez deep for a 3-run homer when these two teams met in May. Still, with this lineup the Pirates’ implied team total went slightly down from 3.8 to 3.7, and my projections for Suarez’s run prevention slightly improved. Suarez has a 2.72 ERA and 2.33 xERA this season, so I don’t think he’s a fluke. He’s also limiting home runs to just 0.25 HR/9 this season, and the Pirates rank bottom-five in power against left-handed pitching this season.

Profit boost

ChatGPT: Phillies are collapsing – 6 losses in last 7, just 4 runs over final 26 innings vs. TOR. June OPS a brutal .586, Realmuto still banged up. Offense ranked 7th overall but slumping badly. Pressure mounting as Nola injured, Wheeler out, and bullpen getting stretched thin. Pirates showing life – walk-off win Friday, 3-2 in last 5 at home. Heaney solid (3.39 ERA), outpitched Suarez last start. Suarez’s last outing: just 2 Ks, 5 whiffs – clear regression signs. Pirates’ kids like Henry Davis & Nick Gonzales stepping up with fearless swings. Philly 2-9 ATS in last 11 – can't cover even when they win. Pirates 7-4 ATS in last 11, keeping games tight. Home crowd riding Friday’s win. Pressure-free Pirates vs. spiraling contender = prime upset recipe. If Heaney holds steady, +1.5 is gold.

Bet to +145