Astros vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2025

SDQL SYSTEM (60-44 Record) #YourBestBet

Fade dogs off a home shutout win Overall: 210-87-0,71% (ROI:22%) Season:9-3-0,75% (ROI:32%) away favs off a shutout Overall: 125-58-0,68% (ROI:18%) Season:8-1-0,89% (ROI:57%)

Follow @PicksOffice on X. Framber's road ERA jumps to 4.14 – not the same guy outside Houston. Pirates just shut out the Astros, held them to .212 avg. Mitch Keller has a 3.43 ERA in night games – 5 quality starts in May, just no run support. Momentum shift favors PIT at home. Astros averaging 3.8 runs/game on the road – bottom-tier offense outside Minute Maid. Pirates’ bullpen dialed in – 2.89 ERA over last 3 games. Keller’s 2.50 ERA over his last 3 starts shows he’s keeping games tight. PNC Park = pitcher-friendly, helps suppress big innings. Pirates better at home (14-17) than road (9-22). Houston just 11-15 away. Back-to-back 3-0 games this series – PIT proven they can shut the door. .

Taken on Novig Ridiculous value here for Valdez, who has been on an absolute tear and gets a top 4 K-target in the Pirates. This line is -160 and up on almost every other book, which is why a betting exchange like Novig is HUGE to snipe value like this. Framber is over this line in 7/12 games on the year, but over his last 6 games, he has caught fire. He has gone 21+ innings in 4/L5 games and just went 27 innings last game vs another top K target, the Rays. He has racked up 6+ Ks in 5/L6 games with his 1 miss being 5 Ks vs SEA. The Pirates rank 4th in K% on the season vs LHP, and over the last month, they rank 2nd. LHP vs the Pirates have gone over their K props at an astonishing 85%! That's insane. Only 2 LHP pitchers out of 13 haven't gone over their K line against this team. Framber's last meeting with the Pirates was last season when he struck out 10, and with much of the roster back this year, I expect Framber to have no problem with this lineup yet again. This is also a potential spot I would ladder or toss in a Ks lotto.

Bet to +125