Astros vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2025

SDQL SYSTEM (60-44 Record) #YourBestBet

Fade dogs off a home shutout win Overall: 210-87-0,71% (ROI:22%) Season:9-3-0,75% (ROI:32%) away favs off a shutout Overall: 125-58-0,68% (ROI:18%) Season:8-1-0,89% (ROI:57%)

Follow @PicksOffice on X. Framber's road ERA jumps to 4.14 – not the same guy outside Houston. Pirates just shut out the Astros, held them to .212 avg. Mitch Keller has a 3.43 ERA in night games – 5 quality starts in May, just no run support. Momentum shift favors PIT at home. Astros averaging 3.8 runs/game on the road – bottom-tier offense outside Minute Maid. Pirates’ bullpen dialed in – 2.89 ERA over last 3 games. Keller’s 2.50 ERA over his last 3 starts shows he’s keeping games tight. PNC Park = pitcher-friendly, helps suppress big innings. Pirates better at home (14-17) than road (9-22). Houston just 11-15 away. Back-to-back 3-0 games this series – PIT proven they can shut the door. .

In the alt market on FanDuel. Have Valdez projected for more than seven strikeouts due to his length, efficiency, and matchup. Would just check the weather in Pittsburgh before betting it to ensure the forecast hasn't gotten worse from what it looked like this morning.

Taken on Novig Ridiculous value here for Valdez, who has been on an absolute tear and gets a top 4 K-target in the Pirates. This line is -160 and up on almost every other book, which is why a betting exchange like Novig is HUGE to snipe value like this. Framber is over this line in 7/12 games on the year, but over his last 6 games, he has caught fire. He has gone 21+ innings in 4/L5 games and just went 27 innings last game vs another top K target, the Rays. He has racked up 6+ Ks in 5/L6 games with his 1 miss being 5 Ks vs SEA. The Pirates rank 4th in K% on the season vs LHP, and over the last month, they rank 2nd. LHP vs the Pirates have gone over their K props at an astonishing 85%! That's insane. Only 2 LHP pitchers out of 13 haven't gone over their K line against this team. Framber's last meeting with the Pirates was last season when he struck out 10, and with much of the roster back this year, I expect Framber to have no problem with this lineup yet again. This is also a potential spot I would ladder or toss in a Ks lotto.

Bet to +125