Giants vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Giants at Pirates

10:40 pm • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

0-0

6 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			5.21	2-5
L.Webb			3.47	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	-1.5+121	o9-109	-135
Pirates 0-0	u0.5	+1.5-144	u9-110	+114

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

SF o4.5 Team Total (Live)-110

M.Perez o3.5 Ks-134

0.75u

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -170

M.Chapman o1.5 Total Bases+100

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -113

SF -135

2.7u

Over 7.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-106)

Featured Insight
Giants RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 44% against the Giants RPs over the last two weeks -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Pirates are just 74-16 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

56% of Wilmer Flores strikeouts are looking this season -- third highest among hitters with at least 66 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 42% of Martin Perez strikeouts are looking this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Oneil Cruz has a hard-hit rate of 46% on non-fastballs this season -- 13th best among hitters with at least 66 total PA's-- 91st Percentile. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 52% against Logan Webb non-fastballs this season -- worst among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (173/311) this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (8/60) against Martin Perez on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	@CHC	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +110
May 18th	@CHC	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC +170
May 17th	@CHC	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PIT -115
May 16th	@CHC	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8	PIT +104
May 15th	@MIL	L 2-10	+1.5 L	O 8	MIL +129

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P	103	6	6	2
RR.Walker, P	21	1	2	0
RT.Rogers, P	8	1	0	0
RL.Jackson, P	11	0.1	0	2
RC.Doval, P	25	0.2	1	0
LE.Miller, P	1	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Soler, DH	0-4	1	0	0
2T.Estrada, 2B	1-4	2	1	3
3L.Matos, CF	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
5W.Flores, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
6H.Ramos, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7R.McKenna, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, PH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Luciano, SS	2-4	1	0	0
8L.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Wisely, SS	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Casali, C	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Bailey, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9P.Bailey, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	98	4.1	4	2
RL.Ortiz, P	45	2.2	0	1
RK.Nicolas, P	23	1	1	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	15	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-5	0	1
2B.Reynolds, RF	0-5	0	2
3O.Cruz, SS	3-5	0	1
4C.Joe, 1B	1-5	0	0
4M.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	2-5	1	1
6J.Suwinski, LF	1-3	1	0
7Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	0
7J.Bart, C	0-0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 3B	0-2	1	1
9J.Bae, CF	1-3	2	1