Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Pirates at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

0 - 1

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-120	o8.5-112	+170
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+100	u8.5-108	-205

Saturday 6:20 p.m.

May 18, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

C.Morel o1.5 Total Bases+100

CHC -1.5+100

$1000.00

Under 8.5-112

0.89u

CHC -1.5+105

Under 8.5-112

0.5u

Bet to 8 (-115)

Over 8-105

1.05u

S.Imanaga o7.5 Ks+136

Projection leans to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of +112

CHC -192 (F5)

0.96u

Bet to -235

B.Falter u3.5 Ks+120

0.6u

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Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 33% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Pirates left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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MLB Props: Bets for Harper & Verlander
Doug Ziefel•
May 18, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Jared Triolo has an OPS of just .317 with two strikes this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .353 (93 PAs) with two strikes this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (43/135) against Bailey Falter this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- third Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .299 (72 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -105
May 16th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	PIT -123
May 15th	@ATL	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +154
May 14th	@ATL	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +164
May 13th	@ATL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	ATL +119

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	83	7.2	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	9	0.1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	13	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Suwinski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LS.Imanaga, P	88	7	7
RM.Leiter, P	16	1	3
RH.Neris, P	12	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1P.Wisdom, 1B	1-4	0	0
1M.Amaya, C	0-0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	1	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	0	1
5M.Tauchman, DH	0-3	0	0
6I.Happ, LF	0-2	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	1-3	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, SS	0-3	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-2	0	0
9M.Busch, PH	0-0	0	0
9M.Busch, 1B	0-0	0	0