Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Pirates at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

3 - 2

Chicago Cubs

31-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-199	o8-103	+110
Cubs 31-27	-1.5+164	u8-115	-130

Sunday 6:20 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 7.5-105

$28.57

Under 7.5-106

0.5u

CHC -125

$1625.00

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

O.Cruz u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

J.Taillon o17.5 Outs-110

J.Taillon u5.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -110

Featured Insight
Pirates have a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- highest in MLB. Cubs left-handed hitters have struck out 30% against RHP over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- tied for third highest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Michael Busch has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (55/165) against Mitch Keller this season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 71% (999/1,415) against right-handed batters since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 97th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (160 balls in play) -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 89.9

Opponents are hitting .281 (163-for-580) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 11-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Cubs' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	23-35	12-17	11-18	14-23	9-12
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	33-25	15-14	18-11	19-18	14-7
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	31-27	18-11	13-16	21-16	10-11
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	PIT	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -205
May 17th	PIT	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PIT -105
May 16th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8	PIT -123
May 15th	@ATL	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +154
May 14th	@ATL	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +164

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	83	6	3	2
RC.Holderman, P	18	1	2	0
LA.Chapman, P	10	1	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, RF	2-4	1	0	0
1M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0	0
4C.Joe, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	2-4	0	0	2
6J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	1	1	1
6J.Suwinski, RF	1-3	1	1	1
7Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Triolo, 3B	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	92	4.2	4	3
RH.Wesneski, P	25	1.1	1	0
RB.Brown, P	42	2	3	0
LL.Little, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, RF	1-4	1	0
2S.Suzuki, DH	0-1	1	1
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-1	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0
6M.Busch, 1B	0-3	0	0
6P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	0-2	0	0
7P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, SS	0-3	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0