Astros vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2024

Astros at Orioles

11:10 pm • ESPN

Houston Astros

0-2

6 - 3

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10
Y.Kikuchi			4.75	4-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	-1.5+154	o8-112	-110
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-183	u8-108	-110

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

August 25, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

HOU -1.5+150

4.5u

Over 8-114

Under 8-105

BAL -105

0.53u

NOTE: Only if you have Astros ML. No Yordan. Keeping Astros F5 bet to -110. Buying off full game

BAL -105

Y.Kikuchi u5.5 Ks+130

2.6u

This is powered by BetAlytics MLB pitcher prop dashboard #1 🔑 Yusei Kikuchi u5.5Ks +130 (bet365) 2u A grade, 10.9% edge on the market, and an expected win probability of 54%. Best value for this that I found is on bet365. Always line shop! BOL if you tail or fade 🤝 Join 👉🔗 BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off

HOU -110 (F5)

0.55u

Under 8.5-105

winning team unders streak Overall: 289-200-19,59% (ROI:15%) Season:7-7-0,50% (ROI:-4%)

Over 8.5-105

Y.Kikuchi u16.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Write about him last week, as well as in this matchup before, so I’ll keep it short. I know he teeters on this line a bunch (5.2 IP in 3/L4), but this is a matchup he’s struggled with, and the Orioles are at 125 wRC+ vs lefties the L30 days, and 128 at home this season.

HOU -110 (F5)

0.55u

Bet to -110

HOU -105

0.5u

Update: Pass after lineups Bet to -110 for now and -115 if Alvarez (HOU) confirmed IN. Would want -102 if he’s out, but -110 is still a break-even price at that point for me Yordan feeling better Saturday but Astros off Monday - think hes 50/50 to play what has become an increasingly important Sunday primetime game Make this -125 with Yordan in and -110 without

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .152 (5-for-33) against Astros RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. The Orioles are batting just .177 with RISP over the last two weeks -- second worst in MLB.

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The Astros are 87-69 (.558) after a win since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

Yordan Alvarez has an OPS of .964 since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Jose Ruiz has allowed an OPS of .819 (371 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Colton Cowser has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .458 (33-for-72) against Yusei Kikuchi when he's behind in the count this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 -- third Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 47% (17 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 24th	HOU	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	BAL -115
Aug 23rd	HOU	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8	BAL +100
Aug 22nd	HOU	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	HOU -165
Aug 21st	@NYM	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +122
Aug 20th	@NYM	W 9-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +110

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	98	5.2	4	3
RH.Neris, P	18	1.1	1	0
RB.Abreu, P	17	1	2	0
LJ.Hader, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
3Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	1	1	1
4J.Pena, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5V.Caratini, C	1-2	1	0	1
6B.Gamel, RF	1-3	2	0	0
7Z.Dezenzo, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
8M.Dubon, LF	2-3	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, PH	0-0	0	0	1
8J.Meyers, CF	0-0	0	0	1
9C.McCormick, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9C.McCormick, LF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	92	6	5	3
RB.Smith, P	16	1	2	2
LC.Perez, P	17	1	1	0
RM.Bowman, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Slater, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
3G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Jimenez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Cowser, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 1B	0-0	1	0	0
7R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	1-3	1	1	3
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-3	0	0	0